Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66bdb295b3eb45acfe7e5ff25790c01c3d0677e6b070b3d233c8d8cb64bda4cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,812
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,812 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5083…9cbdbacked Over | 62c | 6,729$4,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,557.06 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…ad46backed Under | 38c | 4,992$1,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,896.97 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.26per pick | 53cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4592…49b6backed Under | 38c | 4,875$1,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,852.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 37c | 3,843$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.93 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…b0c5backed Under | 39c | 3,009$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.5 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9726…892ebacked Over | 62c | 2,396$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.46 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd997…53f2backed Over | 62c | 1,807$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44fc…7961backed Under | 38c | 1,081$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.78 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde0c…a715backed Under | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.88 | 252 | 69.8%176 W · 76 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Over | 63c | 943.05$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.93 | 131 | 36.6%48 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed Over | 63c | 891.35$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.8 | 175 | 61.1%107 W · 68 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…2b2dbacked Over | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 261 | 55.9%146 W · 115 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Over | 63c | 750$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.5 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 292 | 40.1%117 W · 175 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7c…454fbacked Under | 39c | 499.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Under | 19c | 429.54$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.66 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Under | 37c | 419.97$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.39 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Under | 9c | 400$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 563 | 17.2%97 W · 466 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7e…cbbdbacked Over | 64c | 303.59$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.29 | 116 | 59.5%69 W · 47 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Under | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 194 | 51%99 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Under | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Over | 62c | 249.98$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.99 | 166 | 39.2%65 W · 101 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Over | 64c | 229.69$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.69 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Over | 63c | 193.19$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.48 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Over | 61c | 164.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.14 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfef8…1681backed Over | 62c | 160.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 65cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeaae…ec88backed Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…359dbacked Over | 63c | 158.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.61 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…3b41backed Over | 62c | 151.81$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.81 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…ed24backed Over | 63c | 105.6$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.07 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x750c…2fe3backed Over | 63c | 105.51$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93c9…1e77backed Under | 38c | 80.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36c…440abacked Over | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f5…f3d4backed Over | 63c | 78.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.03 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4243…62d4backed Over | 64c | 67.26$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…dbd6backed Over | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 560 | 60.4%338 W · 222 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Over | 63c | 63.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Over | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed Over | 63c | 60.52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 183 | 42.6%78 W · 105 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23c9…9795backed Over | 63c | 56.13$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Over | 62c | 53.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5a…ff90backed Under | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…b99dbacked Under | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c8c3backed Over | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8f…1ee8backed Over | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 78c | 45.12$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b19…babebacked Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd641…0635backed Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fb…66b2backed Over | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked Over | 60c | 22.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Over | 63c | 19.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 539 | 55.1%297 W · 242 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbda…f10fbacked Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7e…74bfbacked Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 69cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?T1 won
- First Blood in Game 2?BNK FEARX won
- First Blood in Game 3?BNK FEARX won
- First Blood in Game 4?BNK FEARX won
- Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)BNK FEARX won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)BNK FEARX won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs BNK FEARX (+2.5)BNK FEARX won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup PlayoffsBNK FEARX won
- LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 WinnerBNK FEARX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.