Lol · resolved market
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x073941df54b70c23d849f14d57aa077035172f5decbacc3da21d3baf19e5e3ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BNK FEARXof T1, BNK FEARX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $701,501
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $788,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $701,501 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 395 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed BNK FEARX | 77c | 104,979$80,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,029.67 | 811 | 43.5%353 W · 458 L | +30.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb6…5154backed T1 | 0c | 50,183$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 262 | 45.4%119 W · 143 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed T1 | 2c | 50,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 204 | 38.2%78 W · 126 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed BNK FEARX | 30c | 35,747$10,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,103.95 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…b0c5backed T1 | 57c | 24,022$13,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,711.98 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked T1 | 48c | 23,533$11,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,209.43 | 252 | 44.4%112 W · 140 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked BNK FEARX | 38c | 23,417$8,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,494.73 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…97a4backed BNK FEARX | 58c | 23,136$13,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,811.59 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked BNK FEARX | 40c | 19,940$7,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,030.14 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed BNK FEARX | 41c | 14,262$5,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,466.9 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…0af2backed T1 | 4c | 14,000$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed BNK FEARX | 48c | 13,559$6,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,086.76 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked BNK FEARX | 34c | 12,170$4,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,035.82 | 257 | 51%131 W · 126 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked BNK FEARX | 42c | 12,005$5,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,004.12 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed T1 | 5c | 10,767$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed BNK FEARX | 44c | 10,448$4,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,884.35 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6967…7f28backed T1 | 2c | 10,131$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.4 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bac…6fb7backed T1 | 30c | 10,000$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,998.57 | 186 | 33.3%62 W · 124 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…45eebacked T1 | 80c | 8,911$7,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,096.92 | 595 | 58.3%347 W · 248 L | -29.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed T1 | 76c | 8,333$6,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,298.68 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6842…20d0backed BNK FEARX | 37c | 6,706$2,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,234.68 | 1,011 | 47.1%476 W · 535 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed T1 | 44c | 6,543$2,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,910.42 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd763…8037backed T1 | 77c | 6,473$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 72cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…8f18backed T1 | 73c | 6,361$4,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,642.74 | 250 | 38%95 W · 155 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked BNK FEARX | 44c | 6,121$2,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,423.05 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed T1 | 47c | 6,021$2,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,815.97 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed T1 | 53c | 5,778$3,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,067.05 | 283 | 61.5%174 W · 109 L | +18.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…2b51backed T1 | 42c | 4,487$1,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,873.5 | 191 | 22.5%43 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed BNK FEARX | 63c | 4,389$2,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630.7 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed T1 | 72c | 4,135$2,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,977.2 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed BNK FEARX | 50c | 4,017$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,006.57 | 854 | 42.7%365 W · 489 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed T1 | 73c | 4,000$2,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,920 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed T1 | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked BNK FEARX | 46c | 3,782$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,033.03 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…85f1backed T1 | 69c | 3,500$2,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,428.83 | 130 | 56.9%74 W · 56 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked T1 | 72c | 3,070$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,210.4 | 960 | 57.4%551 W · 409 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5c…a5debacked T1 | 28c | 3,066$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.8 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60f…b6c4backed T1 | 60c | 3,032$1,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,807.98 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed BNK FEARX | 28c | 3,000$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.05 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed BNK FEARX | 38c | 2,952$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.78 | 1,056 | 28.5%301 W · 755 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed BNK FEARX | 46c | 2,800$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed BNK FEARX | 25c | 2,709$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,031.79 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked T1 | 56c | 2,697$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.09 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed T1 | 78c | 2,600$2,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,027.99 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8568…bc38backed T1 | 37c | 2,500$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.76 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcad2…c9e4backed T1 | 74c | 2,297$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.54 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed T1 | 73c | 2,245$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.81 | 823 | 52.7%434 W · 389 L | +41.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1c9fbacked BNK FEARX | 77c | 2,200$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.1 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec02…3dd1backed T1 | 78c | 2,190$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | -22.3wins | -0.16per pick | 65cpaid | -29%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed T1 | 74c | 2,122$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.04 | 1,305 | 55.9%729 W · 576 L | +44.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x959f…9e2fbacked T1 | 66c | 2,112$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.17 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -10.0wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5419…fcb2backed T1 | 59c | 2,020$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.59 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed BNK FEARX | 42c | 2,000$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.65 | 495 | 49.1%243 W · 252 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed BNK FEARX | 24c | 2,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…4a1bbacked T1 | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed BNK FEARX | 23c | 2,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.98 | 1,067 | 47%502 W · 565 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked T1 | 69c | 1,941$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.38 | 536 | 40.3%216 W · 320 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed BNK FEARX | 40c | 1,931$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.44 | 457 | 39.6%181 W · 276 L | -37.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc299…1384backed T1 | 77c | 1,861$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.64 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…9015backed BNK FEARX | 54c | 1,855$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 369 | 43.9%162 W · 207 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed T1 | 70c | 1,817$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.32 | 234 | 39.7%93 W · 141 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed T1 | 43c | 1,803$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.41 | 179 | 33%59 W · 120 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…922bbacked BNK FEARX | 70c | 1,738$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.12 | 354 | 57.9%205 W · 149 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked BNK FEARX | 26c | 1,620$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.79 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked T1 | 48c | 1,570$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.9 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked BNK FEARX | 71c | 1,559$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.26 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed T1 | 76c | 1,539$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.64 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…c16dbacked T1 | 78c | 1,532$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.15 | 233 | 57.1%133 W · 100 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6260…fccbbacked T1 | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 629 | 7%44 W · 585 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39bb…9e51backed BNK FEARX | 39c | 1,493$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.13 | 181 | 49.2%89 W · 92 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb66…5e13backed T1 | 70c | 1,428$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.49 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2f…552cbacked T1 | 59c | 1,400$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.14 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed BNK FEARX | 24c | 1,291$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.61 | 766 | 39.6%303 W · 463 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked T1 | 72c | 1,250$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.17 | 187 | 55.1%103 W · 84 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked T1 | 50c | 1,215$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.35 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed BNK FEARX | 26c | 1,186$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.04 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed BNK FEARX | 28c | 1,153$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.87 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked BNK FEARX | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.63 | 502 | 42.2%212 W · 290 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked BNK FEARX | 40c | 1,047$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.46 | 445 | 50.1%223 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed BNK FEARX | 35c | 1,030$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.97 | 712 | 49.2%350 W · 362 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2733…ac38backed T1 | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc537…f385backed T1 | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcff4…3609backed T1 | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed BNK FEARX | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 757 | 38.6%292 W · 465 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x534b…983fbacked T1 | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 428 | 35%150 W · 278 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a6…e96bbacked BNK FEARX | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 1,218 | 48.7%593 W · 625 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked BNK FEARX | 26c | 999.98$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.98 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…c864backed BNK FEARX | 32c | 999.98$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.49 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47a1…2169backed BNK FEARX | 41c | 996.88$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.88 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed T1 | 71c | 974.03$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.01 | 397 | 49.1%195 W · 202 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed BNK FEARX | 41c | 969.98$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.89 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8542…9405backed T1 | 2c | 916.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 189 | 10.1%19 W · 170 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1c…fc18backed T1 | 75c | 900$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678 | 99 | 65.7%65 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked T1 | 69c | 882.02$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.49 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7c…5a30backed T1 | 29c | 868.99$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.81 | 289 | 42.6%123 W · 166 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked T1 | 70c | 854.31$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.01 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked T1 | 55c | 853$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.15 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b8…b4d8backed T1 | 62c | 823.67$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.74 | 431 | 51.3%221 W · 210 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…2ed2backed T1 | 23c | 800$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked T1 | 77c | 800$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- First Blood in Game 1?T1 won
- First Blood in Game 2?BNK FEARX won
- First Blood in Game 3?BNK FEARX won
- First Blood in Game 4?BNK FEARX won
- Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)BNK FEARX won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)BNK FEARX won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs BNK FEARX (+2.5)BNK FEARX won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup PlayoffsBNK FEARX won
- LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 WinnerBNK FEARX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.