Lol · resolved market
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa6de2be935e1834cd65547466f0b70fba4cbf9d1a5e24c0bc98ce8a15d77366
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- T1of T1, BNK FEARX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $576,146
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $733,375
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $576,146 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 350 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0775…b0c5backed T1 | 72c | 78,541$56,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,075.89 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5329…1011backed BNK FEARX | 0c | 36,070$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed BNK FEARX | 28c | 35,714$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed T1 | 47c | 23,048$10,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,126.7 | 234 | 47.9%112 W · 122 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed BNK FEARX | 27c | 20,005$5,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,401.13 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…0af2backed BNK FEARX | 3c | 10,800$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed BNK FEARX | 28c | 10,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 823 | 52.7%434 W · 389 L | +41.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked BNK FEARX | 42c | 9,610$3,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,993 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked BNK FEARX | 45c | 9,301$4,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,167.25 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6842…20d0backed BNK FEARX | 41c | 9,118$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700.39 | 1,011 | 47.1%476 W · 535 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed T1 | 55c | 8,832$4,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,972.2 | 179 | 33%59 W · 120 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed BNK FEARX | 40c | 7,631$3,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,024.36 | 811 | 43.5%353 W · 458 L | +30.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked T1 | 64c | 7,594$4,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,714.92 | 257 | 51%131 W · 126 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed BNK FEARX | 44c | 6,481$2,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,865 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked BNK FEARX | 47c | 6,330$2,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,978.46 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed T1 | 57c | 5,575$3,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,412.38 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed BNK FEARX | 41c | 5,472$2,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,235.57 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcae6…4f85backed T1 | 74c | 5,416$4,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.12 | 672 | 76.9%517 W · 155 L | +87.3wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed BNK FEARX | 28c | 5,311$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.3 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…37e7backed T1 | 65c | 5,192$3,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,803.39 | 151 | 66.2%100 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed BNK FEARX | 41c | 4,635$1,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,893.36 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5419…fcb2backed T1 | 64c | 4,580$2,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.02 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8568…bc38backed BNK FEARX | 24c | 4,300$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…692bbacked T1 | 73c | 3,966$2,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.09 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed BNK FEARX | 46c | 3,569$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.02 | 854 | 42.7%365 W · 489 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked BNK FEARX | 32c | 3,538$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.56 | 536 | 40.3%216 W · 320 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…85f1backed T1 | 73c | 3,469$2,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.63 | 130 | 56.9%74 W · 56 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed BNK FEARX | 39c | 3,446$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.12 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed BNK FEARX | 28c | 3,392$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953 | 766 | 39.6%303 W · 463 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcff4…3609backed BNK FEARX | 39c | 3,372$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.97 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked BNK FEARX | 42c | 3,269$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.41 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed T1 | 75c | 3,112$2,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.98 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked T1 | 73c | 3,076$2,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.04 | 960 | 57.4%551 W · 409 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed BNK FEARX | 45c | 2,881$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.44 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…9015backed BNK FEARX | 51c | 2,755$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 369 | 43.9%162 W · 207 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…97a4backed BNK FEARX | 46c | 2,636$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.97 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa50b…74b2backed T1 | 54c | 2,581$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.01 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed BNK FEARX | 28c | 2,578$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.84 | 1,305 | 55.9%729 W · 576 L | +44.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed BNK FEARX | 29c | 2,487$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.61 | 1,067 | 47%502 W · 565 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed T1 | 74c | 2,432$1,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.18 | 391 | 52.2%204 W · 187 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76d0…c092backed T1 | 48c | 2,410$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.02 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed BNK FEARX | 31c | 2,230$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.67 | 495 | 49.1%243 W · 252 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed BNK FEARX | 27c | 2,210$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.8 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed BNK FEARX | 32c | 2,143$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.62 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a6…e96bbacked BNK FEARX | 22c | 2,130$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466 | 1,218 | 48.7%593 W · 625 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b8…b4d8backed T1 | 74c | 2,069$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.92 | 431 | 51.3%221 W · 210 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed BNK FEARX | 28c | 2,057$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.98 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde0c…a715backed BNK FEARX | 40c | 2,029$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.71 | 252 | 69.8%176 W · 76 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked BNK FEARX | 27c | 2,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed BNK FEARX | 27c | 1,989$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.03 | 398 | 51.8%206 W · 192 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed BNK FEARX | 26c | 1,920$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.19 | 140 | 38.6%54 W · 86 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc19b…a935backed BNK FEARX | 28c | 1,910$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.77 | 219 | 37.9%83 W · 136 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x910d…cfc0backed BNK FEARX | 49c | 1,812$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.06 | 184 | 51.6%95 W · 89 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed T1 | 72c | 1,775$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.11 | 596 | 47.7%284 W · 312 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked BNK FEARX | 48c | 1,761$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.95 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed BNK FEARX | 27c | 1,750$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.99 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked BNK FEARX | 28c | 1,740$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.2 | 1,212 | 54.5%660 W · 552 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb91…7db6backed T1 | 61c | 1,644$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.29 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…bacabacked T1 | 49c | 1,614$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.22 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…c852backed T1 | 64c | 1,556$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…f3efbacked T1 | 54c | 1,544$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.32 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked BNK FEARX | 20c | 1,468$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.03 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked BNK FEARX | 53c | 1,400$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742 | 445 | 50.1%223 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed BNK FEARX | 33c | 1,384$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.25 | 439 | 47.6%209 W · 230 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed BNK FEARX | 26c | 1,274$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.63 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked BNK FEARX | 32c | 1,243$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.44 | 453 | 44.6%202 W · 251 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39bb…9e51backed BNK FEARX | 41c | 1,200$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.81 | 181 | 49.2%89 W · 92 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd2…8414backed BNK FEARX | 29c | 1,200$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 36cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e50…1efebacked T1 | 71c | 1,200$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 64cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd60f…b6c4backed T1 | 68c | 1,139$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.98 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…6de5backed BNK FEARX | 36c | 1,125$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.58 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed BNK FEARX | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 230 | 20%46 W · 184 L | -17.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd501…b86ebacked BNK FEARX | 40c | 1,111$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.3 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1c…fc18backed T1 | 58c | 1,104$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.39 | 99 | 65.7%65 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked BNK FEARX | 28c | 1,100$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2f…552cbacked T1 | 53c | 1,100$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.08 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca5…4b51backed T1 | 79c | 1,099$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.2 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58ce…e206backed BNK FEARX | 30c | 1,078$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.42 | 224 | 52.2%117 W · 107 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked BNK FEARX | 28c | 1,050$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x309b…2c72backed BNK FEARX | 48c | 1,040$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6260…fccbbacked BNK FEARX | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 629 | 7%44 W · 585 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed BNK FEARX | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 757 | 38.6%292 W · 465 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc903…b175backed BNK FEARX | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked BNK FEARX | 37c | 980.59$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.36 | 135 | 25.2%34 W · 101 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed T1 | 67c | 901.04$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.08 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…0fdfbacked T1 | 73c | 900$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 318 | 49.7%158 W · 160 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed BNK FEARX | 30c | 900$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 712 | 49.2%350 W · 362 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7623…8390backed T1 | 73c | 898.63$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.63 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…fe01backed T1 | 56c | 894.36$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.52 | 362 | 60.5%219 W · 143 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…c16dbacked T1 | 76c | 892.71$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.61 | 233 | 57.1%133 W · 100 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd690…93a6backed T1 | 68c | 891.11$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.51 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4989…8ff0backed T1 | 74c | 809.53$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.48 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…5172backed T1 | 62c | 806.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.58 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a1…2169backed T1 | 57c | 800$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed BNK FEARX | 43c | 800$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 337 | 36.5%123 W · 214 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed T1 | 74c | 799.99$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 306 | 61.1%187 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed T1 | 65c | 786.78$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.37 | 1,003 | 54%542 W · 461 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed BNK FEARX | 39c | 767.99$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.21 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x959f…9e2fbacked T1 | 66c | 762.12$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.12 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -10.0wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…c864backed BNK FEARX | 35c | 729.71$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.41 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- First Blood in Game 1?T1 won
- First Blood in Game 2?BNK FEARX won
- First Blood in Game 3?BNK FEARX won
- First Blood in Game 4?BNK FEARX won
- Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)BNK FEARX won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)BNK FEARX won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs BNK FEARX (+2.5)BNK FEARX won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup PlayoffsBNK FEARX won
- LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 WinnerBNK FEARX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.