Lol · resolved market
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd35336cd883c5495ededa1c665c02267595c833622a071d19d07109bc114dc23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BNK FEARXof T1, BNK FEARX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $435,229
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $436,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $435,229 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 293 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0775…b0c5backed T1 | 67c | 88,240$59,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,221.76 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed BNK FEARX | 30c | 41,172$12,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,839.55 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed T1 | 3c | 19,440$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.2 | 377 | 5.6%21 W · 356 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…c2ddbacked T1 | 71c | 17,103$12,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,082.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed BNK FEARX | 32c | 16,534$5,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,228.44 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed BNK FEARX | 47c | 16,060$7,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,580.54 | 481 | 57.6%277 W · 204 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ab…0fe6backed T1 | 70c | 15,000$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,499.93 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -8.4wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked BNK FEARX | 80c | 12,171$9,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,485.88 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed BNK FEARX | 40c | 12,115$4,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,244.66 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed BNK FEARX | 31c | 10,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,900 | 823 | 52.7%434 W · 389 L | +41.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed BNK FEARX | 54c | 9,115$4,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,166.21 | 259 | 52.9%137 W · 122 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6842…20d0backed BNK FEARX | 64c | 8,083$5,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,903.12 | 1,011 | 47.1%476 W · 535 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed T1 | 3c | 7,506$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.8 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde0c…a715backed BNK FEARX | 53c | 6,918$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,267.96 | 252 | 69.8%176 W · 76 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed BNK FEARX | 30c | 6,851$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,805.1 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8568…bc38backed BNK FEARX | 30c | 5,152$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,619.34 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked BNK FEARX | 49c | 5,122$2,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,619.83 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed T1 | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked T1 | 71c | 4,478$3,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,162.83 | 257 | 51%131 W · 126 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked BNK FEARX | 50c | 4,058$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.22 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…f837backed BNK FEARX | 48c | 3,937$1,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040.67 | 218 | 57.8%126 W · 92 L | +18.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ac…6b83backed T1 | 32c | 3,637$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed BNK FEARX | 31c | 3,418$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,358.42 | 1,305 | 55.9%729 W · 576 L | +44.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked BNK FEARX | 46c | 3,138$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.6 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked T1 | 62c | 3,099$1,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.24 | 923 | 54.3%501 W · 422 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked BNK FEARX | 74c | 3,058$2,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.4 | 127 | 63%80 W · 47 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…45eebacked T1 | 68c | 2,770$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890.36 | 595 | 58.3%347 W · 248 L | -29.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed BNK FEARX | 30c | 2,760$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932 | 1,003 | 54%542 W · 461 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed BNK FEARX | 31c | 2,700$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,863 | 1,067 | 47%502 W · 565 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked T1 | 51c | 2,571$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.66 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…71eebacked BNK FEARX | 31c | 2,500$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed BNK FEARX | 31c | 2,500$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,730 | 484 | 40.5%196 W · 288 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed T1 | 62c | 2,459$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.58 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6260…fccbbacked T1 | 4c | 2,400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 629 | 7%44 W · 585 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd690…93a6backed T1 | 22c | 2,330$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.8 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed T1 | 28c | 2,324$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.97 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed T1 | 7c | 2,300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.15 | 786 | 9.8%77 W · 709 L | +22.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked BNK FEARX | 31c | 2,296$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.24 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6967…7f28backed T1 | 7c | 2,290$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed T1 | 68c | 2,200$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed BNK FEARX | 31c | 2,104$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.79 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc19b…a935backed T1 | 69c | 2,028$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.11 | 219 | 37.9%83 W · 136 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed T1 | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked BNK FEARX | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed BNK FEARX | 30c | 2,000$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.99 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcff4…3609backed BNK FEARX | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked BNK FEARX | 31c | 1,955$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.29 | 1,212 | 54.5%660 W · 552 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…754cbacked BNK FEARX | 43c | 1,840$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.86 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…2a26backed BNK FEARX | 31c | 1,800$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242 | 645 | 53.3%344 W · 301 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x429a…cdf6backed BNK FEARX | 31c | 1,760$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.54 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +58%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked T1 | 70c | 1,704$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 960 | 57.4%551 W · 409 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed T1 | 44c | 1,699$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.28 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47a1…2169backed BNK FEARX | 40c | 1,693$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.64 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…8a41backed T1 | 26c | 1,640$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.92 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…0fc6backed BNK FEARX | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.9 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked BNK FEARX | 37c | 1,600$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012 | 1,007 | 48.2%485 W · 522 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed BNK FEARX | 78c | 1,500$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.11 | 175 | 61.1%107 W · 68 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…6de5backed T1 | 12c | 1,500$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.19 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0002…103ebacked T1 | 32c | 1,440$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.6 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ce…e206backed T1 | 12c | 1,342$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.98 | 224 | 52.2%117 W · 107 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68a6…e96bbacked BNK FEARX | 31c | 1,300$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897 | 1,218 | 48.7%593 W · 625 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x534b…983fbacked T1 | 15c | 1,300$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 428 | 35%150 W · 278 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked T1 | 70c | 1,300$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2f…552cbacked T1 | 38c | 1,300$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7af0…509dbacked BNK FEARX | 31c | 1,289$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.57 | 252 | 68.3%172 W · 80 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked T1 | 16c | 1,241$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.52 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ad…4c93backed BNK FEARX | 73c | 1,233$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.45 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf344…13ffbacked T1 | 69c | 1,185$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.19 | 281 | 66.5%187 W · 94 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda9e…ac09backed T1 | 5c | 1,113$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed BNK FEARX | 31c | 1,100$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 712 | 49.2%350 W · 362 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb3…8689backed T1 | 61c | 1,098$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.59 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked T1 | 64c | 1,060$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.4 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f0…25aebacked BNK FEARX | 31c | 1,050$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +293.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39bb…9e51backed BNK FEARX | 58c | 1,026$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.88 | 181 | 49.2%89 W · 92 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…bacabacked T1 | 41c | 1,023$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…d66fbacked BNK FEARX | 32c | 1,015$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.94 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed T1 | 70c | 1,000$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.71 | 306 | 61.1%187 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa394…89e9backed T1 | 69c | 1,000$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x697f…8705backed BNK FEARX | 29c | 999.98$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.99 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbecd…7fd6backed BNK FEARX | 70c | 999.41$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.96 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked BNK FEARX | 31c | 961.35$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.33 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2b…3be8backed BNK FEARX | 63c | 927$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.84 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad6…a93cbacked T1 | 63c | 920.6$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.98 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed BNK FEARX | 30c | 900$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33f3…d80abacked T1 | 2c | 900$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 8.5%5 W · 54 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1581…b2febacked T1 | 10c | 817.5$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked T1 | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a2…dc15backed BNK FEARX | 32c | 760.13$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.55 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8425…be0abacked T1 | 11c | 754.59$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f84…202ebacked BNK FEARX | 30c | 749.97$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.98 | 958 | 47.6%456 W · 502 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x959f…9e2fbacked T1 | 67c | 744.31$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -10.0wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b48…73e2backed T1 | 14c | 721.12$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9503…c47fbacked T1 | 20c | 674.2$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.43 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8da…012abacked BNK FEARX | 30c | 652.66$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.86 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc5…7b98backed T1 | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59aa…3376backed BNK FEARX | 32c | 624.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.41 | 1,131 | 43.1%487 W · 644 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x741e…9014backed T1 | 11c | 600$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.69 | 81 | 21%17 W · 64 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed T1 | 29c | 600$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed T1 | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 421 | 48.2%203 W · 218 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed T1 | 66c | 600$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 757 | 38.6%292 W · 465 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 Winnerthis page
- First Blood in Game 1?T1 won
- First Blood in Game 2?BNK FEARX won
- First Blood in Game 3?BNK FEARX won
- First Blood in Game 4?BNK FEARX won
- Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)BNK FEARX won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)BNK FEARX won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs BNK FEARX (+2.5)BNK FEARX won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup PlayoffsBNK FEARX won
- LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 WinnerBNK FEARX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.