TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x697f…8705

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: World Politics, grading 64 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 64 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+30.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$4,591Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,591.02
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,469Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,468.97
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$672Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$671.71
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,819Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,818.99
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$784Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+53.1%+$416
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+244.8%+$709.99
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+66.7%+$400
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,560Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+156.4%+$2,439.99
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,402Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$2,401.71
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,509Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+114%+$2,859.57
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,842Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+114.6%+$3,257.84
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$4,187Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+221.7%+$9,280.09
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,239Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+86.4%+$1,070.56
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,560
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,800
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$5,140Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT+127.3%+$6,545.08
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$7,105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,105.01
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$666.66
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$780
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,440Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$1,560
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$173.6
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$609.97
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$220
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$739.99
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2025, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+4.0wins+0.50per pick25cpaid+316.2%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kim Moon-soo win more than 40% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$5,572Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+130.5%+$7,271.93
Will Lee Jae-myung win between 49% and 51% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+401.2%+$665.72
Will Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,570Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+191.8%+$4,929.99
Will Lee Jae-myung win 40-45% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$112.42
Will Kim Moon-soo win between 35% and 40% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+60%+$750
Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$2,341Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+1,689.1%+$39,541.16
Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$85
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$4,969Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$12,776.96
All 8 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-38.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-47.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Della Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$3,540Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$3,539.96
Rakic vs. Murzakanovbacked Rakic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Volkov vs. Almeidabacked Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$1,240
Park vs. Aliskerovbacked Park · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$660
Pereira vs. Ankalaevbacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,518Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,517.7
All 5 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$689Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$689
Hornets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$334.01
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$880Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$880
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,035Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,034.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN (BO3)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$323.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$239.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$400
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$7,089Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,089.26
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.