World Politics · resolved market
Will Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82962688c00787fce7588ef672b7c3b875db8ac1ce263f2f3cd64211bd2379c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,176,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,182,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,176,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 692 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7504…9c69backed Yes | 19c | 169,064$32,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,752.63 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9d…4cc1backed Yes | 7c | 160,810$11,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,425 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd303…9c76backed Yes | 54c | 154,100$83,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,651.85 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d17…9558backed Yes | 25c | 130,522$32,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,544.34 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Yes | 65c | 125,824$82,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,384.43 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…69eebacked Yes | 37c | 117,812$43,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,193.3 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…194bbacked Yes | 1c | 94,323$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.32 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f1…5716backed Yes | 61c | 87,982$53,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,488.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9968…a104backed Yes | 56c | 82,487$46,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,275.46 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1281…8d51backed No | 49c | 80,981$39,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,187.06 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf224…7532backed Yes | 57c | 80,000$45,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,375.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed No | 8c | 78,786$6,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,777.39 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed Yes | 16c | 74,381$12,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,208.37 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…3307backed Yes | 12c | 72,778$8,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,493.09 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +165%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81bb…bd45backed Yes | 51c | 71,013$36,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,513.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d3…45d5backed Yes | 61c | 66,822$40,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,777.96 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 30cpaid | -87.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca62…fbfabacked Yes | 7c | 64,629$4,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,755.32 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…b8b4backed Yes | 15c | 64,602$9,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,989.16 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f4…8521backed Yes | 16c | 62,000$9,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,880 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8861…eed6backed Yes | 53c | 60,650$32,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,392.68 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x824e…265abacked Yes | 50c | 58,617$29,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,094.63 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9808…a8b5backed Yes | 51c | 56,251$28,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,882.54 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed92…e5a1backed Yes | 43c | 55,474$23,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,622.27 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +643.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…6559backed Yes | 62c | 49,928$31,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,019.73 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6f…8afbbacked No | 47c | 48,821$22,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,843.74 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcce…3e55backed No | 4c | 46,469$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,791.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 12cpaid | +724.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x372a…7201backed Yes | 4c | 44,669$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748.85 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…a348backed Yes | 50c | 44,668$22,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,478.96 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed Yes | 53c | 39,339$20,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,924.37 | 80 | 25%20 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +187.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c21…d2febacked Yes | 53c | 35,796$18,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,942.18 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f34…3115backed Yes | 0c | 32,738$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f866backed Yes | 42c | 31,642$13,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,142.98 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked No | 49c | 31,636$15,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,080.92 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed Yes | 0c | 30,257$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.26 | 129 | 20.9%27 W · 102 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9464…bd9fbacked Yes | 58c | 28,070$16,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,408.22 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.22per pick | 27cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…5353backed Yes | 56c | 27,710$15,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,579.24 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd2…d91ebacked Yes | 72c | 27,335$19,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,664.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd957…c5ffbacked No | 10c | 27,240$2,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,642.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +518.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…ed66backed Yes | 63c | 27,082$17,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,009.85 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c62…5d44backed Yes | 49c | 26,738$13,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,115.51 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeae7…1884backed Yes | 13c | 26,035$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,419.57 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…b6f7backed Yes | 36c | 26,033$9,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,246.07 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x005f…2f06backed Yes | 2c | 25,584$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…8f89backed Yes | 8c | 24,193$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014.53 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe518…b8edbacked Yes | 50c | 24,131$12,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,176.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf919…4b10backed Yes | 75c | 24,015$18,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,101.34 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabc8…698cbacked Yes | 54c | 23,472$12,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,635.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +442.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Yes | 63c | 22,542$14,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,201.59 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 35c | 21,576$7,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,037.73 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 47c | 21,440$10,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,284.69 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ce…0f7ebacked Yes | 7c | 21,077$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8951…43efbacked No | 44c | 20,959$9,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,769.9 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88be…652dbacked Yes | 13c | 20,840$2,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,808.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00dc…6ab8backed No | 4c | 20,405$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,622.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +261.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15c2…1263backed Yes | 26c | 20,174$5,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,287.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5499…0ed5backed Yes | 54c | 20,109$10,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,770.63 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe3…73c4backed Yes | 4c | 20,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde77…04d2backed Yes | 58c | 19,793$11,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,435.94 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae9…5f74backed Yes | 55c | 19,281$10,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,645 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe39f…e4bdbacked Yes | 5c | 18,777$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.67 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…0a2bbacked No | 6c | 18,329$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,229.23 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 23cpaid | +391.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0f…5623backed Yes | 59c | 18,027$10,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,723.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef4a…7502backed Yes | 46c | 17,693$8,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,182.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 71cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe852…0235backed Yes | 49c | 17,658$8,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,686.38 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb914…9f51backed No | 3c | 15,932$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,406.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +953.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c39…9bdcbacked Yes | 0c | 15,111$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e32…efcfbacked Yes | 0c | 15,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…8002backed Yes | 1c | 15,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 29cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a20…b29ebacked Yes | 73c | 14,752$10,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,788.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…5343backed Yes | 66c | 14,606$9,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,633.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe529…e7b1backed Yes | 75c | 14,196$10,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,602.65 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a45…d5f8backed Yes | 1c | 14,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 29 | 3.4%1 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -95.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…a328backed Yes | 76c | 13,800$10,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,517.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b70…77f8backed Yes | 2c | 12,569$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb21…8145backed Yes | 71c | 12,483$8,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,837.38 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…34b6backed Yes | 10c | 12,393$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.03 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed Yes | 1c | 12,346$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.02 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked Yes | 55c | 12,201$6,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,708.35 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…e288backed Yes | 54c | 12,002$6,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,431.91 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +31%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d73…bae7backed Yes | 45c | 11,943$5,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,363.18 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd4…f3b6backed Yes | 59c | 11,800$6,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,979.99 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Yes | 0c | 11,775$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5097…7f17backed Yes | 6c | 11,691$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x832f…ef80backed Yes | 25c | 11,513$2,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,924.78 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51e9…c658backed Yes | 7c | 11,406$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.89 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed No | 35c | 11,120$3,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,240.46 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…07cfbacked No | 4c | 10,995$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,565.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 3cpaid | +1,179.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c3…4dcebacked Yes | 5c | 10,900$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf8…7519backed No | 49c | 10,662$5,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,446.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9a…5c75backed Yes | 0c | 10,480$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…9109backed Yes | 48c | 10,278$4,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,935.84 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ca…e881backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 18cpaid | +296.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda99…7f3ebacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 4cpaid | +739%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x796d…c7cebacked Yes | 18c | 9,317$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 0c | 9,113$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ae…7126backed Yes | 41c | 9,092$3,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,718.15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +416.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Yes | 25c | 9,048$2,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,265.05 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a0…1de0backed Yes | 56c | 8,927$4,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.18 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10bd…3a02backed Yes | 61c | 8,650$5,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,239.85 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…a57cbacked Yes | 11c | 8,073$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election?this page
- Will Lee Jae-myung win 35-40% of the vote in the South Korea election?No won
- Will Lee Jae-myung win 40-45% of the vote in the South Korea election?No won
- Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?Yes won
- Will Lee Jae-myung win 55-60% of the vote in the South Korea election?No won
- Will Lee Jae-myung win 60-65% of the vote in the South Korea election?No won
- Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 35% of the vote in the South Korea election?No won
- Will Lee Jae-myung win more than 65% of the vote in the South Korea election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.