Will Lee Jae-myung win 55-60% of the vote in the South Korea election?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78fbe059685718732f1f584e2290f0e80aa7c5c3ddd324083e3bde9429caab2b

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 3, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,783,870
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,016,291

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,783,870 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 235 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7702…9791backed No	77c	186,631$143,638 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42,992.96	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	-6.2wins	-0.24per pick	51cpaid	-60.1%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xed92…e5a1backed Yes	2c	181,068$4,133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,133.34	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	15cpaid	+643.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x824e…265abacked Yes	14c	165,409$22,634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,634.12	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-3.6wins	-0.30per pick	46cpaid	-78.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7d17…9558backed Yes	14c	119,534$16,779 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,779.44	20	25%5 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-25%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde77…04d2backed Yes	16c	113,981$18,074 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,074.28	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7c8…a348backed Yes	20c	102,322$20,391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,391.31	44	34.1%15 W · 29 L	-2.6wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8861…eed6backed Yes	11c	100,000$10,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,699.96	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c85…7a3ebacked Yes	0c	89,097$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.1	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2dbd…ed66backed Yes	29c	71,651$21,077 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,077.08	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	-3.4wins	-0.13per pick	44cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x022e…2a77backed Yes	22c	64,719$14,243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,242.72	80	25%20 W · 60 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+187.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d60…03d8backed Yes	6c	60,387$3,481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,481.12	101	22.8%23 W · 78 L	-9.5wins	-0.09per pick	32cpaid	-52.1%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb3d3…45d5backed Yes	20c	52,610$10,520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,519.8	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-2.9wins	-0.22per pick	30cpaid	-87.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Yes	3c	52,470$1,627 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,627.47	54	14.8%8 W · 46 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6091…972bbacked No	71c	50,000$35,487 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,512.99	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+2.2wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2461…906fbacked Yes	0c	46,990$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.12per pick	5cpaid	+423.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9464…bd9fbacked Yes	15c	45,165$6,634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,633.76	21	4.8%1 W · 20 L	-4.7wins	-0.22per pick	27cpaid	-86.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes	0c	44,136$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.68	513	2.9%15 W · 498 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+88.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c21…d2febacked Yes	17c	43,787$7,346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,345.54	38	31.6%12 W · 26 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	2c	39,050$678 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$678.11	688	3.6%25 W · 663 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e25…1531backed Yes	11c	35,316$3,885 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,884.79	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.21per pick	29cpaid	+73.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x919a…23b4backed Yes	2c	35,007$559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$558.79	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+206.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf6b8…d54cbacked Yes	0c	35,000$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+1.5wins	+0.16per pick	6cpaid	+71.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x983e…c6e6backed Yes	10c	34,177$3,418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,417.72	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2ca…e881backed Yes	0c	30,330$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.33	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+2.6wins	+0.20per pick	18cpaid	+296.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x832f…ef80backed Yes	23c	28,632$6,594 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,593.71	32	12.5%4 W · 28 L	-3.5wins	-0.11per pick	23cpaid	-76.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc12b…af60backed Yes	2c	28,015$566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$565.82	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+3.0wins	+0.50per pick	17cpaid	+661.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2227…b572backed Yes	14c	25,849$3,611 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,611.36	167	44.3%74 W · 93 L	+6.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f73…8d13backed Yes	25c	24,705$6,176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,176.18	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	23cpaid	-76.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xabc8…698cbacked Yes	6c	21,620$1,274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,273.56	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.11per pick	22cpaid	+442.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6828…1056backed Yes	7c	20,414$1,473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,473.47	247	36.8%91 W · 156 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e7e…3e1dbacked Yes	31c	19,379$6,068 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,068.04	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ae9…5f74backed Yes	26c	17,000$4,490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,490	47	29.8%14 W · 33 L	-3.8wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9968…a104backed No	73c	16,748$12,153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,594.3	37	51.4%19 W · 18 L	+2.2wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51e9…c658backed Yes	15c	16,396$2,413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,412.99	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	+2.4wins	+0.11per pick	21cpaid	+94.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e68…5472backed No	73c	15,000$10,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,050	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16bd…e288backed Yes	18c	13,969$2,474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,473.72	53	39.6%21 W · 32 L	+5.2wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	+31%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa667…b6f7backed Yes	11c	13,827$1,572 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,572.27	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-2.5wins	-0.13per pick	29cpaid	-77.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b21…eaf9backed Yes	1c	13,810$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	4cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a88…f866backed Yes	20c	12,788$2,584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,583.55	78	28.2%22 W · 56 L	-5.1wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1b0…f829backed Yes	6c	12,229$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$699.99	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.30per pick	3cpaid	+1,566.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d34…747fbacked Yes	5c	11,934$573 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$573.49	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…6657backed Yes	3c	11,162$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.73	62	38.7%24 W · 38 L	+5.5wins	+0.09per pick	30cpaid	+102.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdfaf…30c2backed Yes	1c	11,057$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.93	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+62%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa072…5353backed Yes	10c	10,781$1,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,040.37	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-2.1wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4293…aa5abacked Yes	0c	10,595$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.19	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.11per pick	23cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7616…69eebacked Yes	18c	10,548$1,848 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,848.42	54	31.5%17 W · 37 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb343…ac27backed Yes	9c	10,178$878 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$877.85	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe22a…a8abbacked Yes	0c	10,150$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.15	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.24per pick	9cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x490e…a742backed Yes	24c	10,031$2,380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,379.67	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaea…95e8backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+1.7wins	+0.43per pick	7cpaid	+695.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0063…765ebacked Yes	2c	10,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes	2c	10,000$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	58	15.5%9 W · 49 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	+40.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00a6…9343backed Yes	21c	10,000$2,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,099.91	62	25.8%16 W · 46 L	-5.0wins	-0.08per pick	34cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8bd8…7eaabacked Yes	3c	9,802$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.38	44	22.7%10 W · 34 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8de0…87a0backed Yes	11c	9,091$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4583…bfebbacked Yes	6c	8,964$521 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$521.21	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-63%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b7a…353abacked Yes	3c	8,770$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.32	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	26cpaid	-78.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfacd…9109backed Yes	7c	8,602$616 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$616.25	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-38%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa066…bfd4backed Yes	8c	7,366$598 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$598.32	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d73…bae7backed Yes	25c	7,220$1,823 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,822.81	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes	25c	7,128$1,782 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,782.09	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x10bd…3a02backed No	75c	6,630$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,630.14	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-3.1wins	-0.20per pick	47cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8774…e19abacked Yes	33c	6,087$2,008 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,008.07	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	5,359$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.02	1,431	10.1%145 W · 1,286 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc767…ef0fbacked Yes	1c	5,239$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.71	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	+178.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66cc…a735backed Yes	1c	5,229$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.62	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-3.0wins	-0.27per pick	36cpaid	-84.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa2e0…fd91backed Yes	3c	4,705$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.92	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	17c	4,692$777 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$777.06	563	14.6%82 W · 481 L	-39.3wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe561…a68dbacked Yes	8c	4,552$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375.4	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.12per pick	40cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b5d…b69cbacked Yes	18c	4,500$830 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$829.67	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-2.6wins	-0.16per pick	41cpaid	-63.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf921…94dbbacked Yes	2c	4,491$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.54	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…52bcbacked Yes	2c	4,251$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92c7…c136backed Yes	6c	4,010$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.61	129	20.9%27 W · 102 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd039…2532backed Yes	1c	4,000$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.93	121	29.8%36 W · 85 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed Yes	10c	4,000$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	118	50.8%60 W · 58 L	+29.2wins	+0.25per pick	26cpaid	+132.4%equal weight	73+0.20 edge/pick
0xce82…b52ebacked Yes	25c	4,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4241…4da7backed Yes	3c	4,000$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc3c…b218backed No	71c	3,703$2,645 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,058.67	63	31.7%20 W · 43 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c7d…420fbacked Yes	5c	3,674$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-84.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a86…dea8backed Yes	3c	3,638$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.68	482	24.7%119 W · 363 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2069…c7cfbacked Yes	1c	3,600$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.6	49	30.6%15 W · 34 L	+7.5wins	+0.15per pick	15cpaid	+166.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1707…93c4backed Yes	22c	3,600$794 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$794	35	31.4%11 W · 24 L	-3.8wins	-0.11per pick	42cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x14b5…16bfbacked Yes	10c	3,524$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.5	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+1.5wins	+0.10per pick	34cpaid	+76.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c37…92a4backed Yes	24c	3,512$829 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$829.03	52	38.5%20 W · 32 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5676…b103backed No	67c	3,206$2,134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,071.93	205	38%78 W · 127 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a04…c1bebacked Yes	7c	3,170$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.75	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa6…0a57backed Yes	28c	3,168$884 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$883.56	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf919…4b10backed Yes	17c	3,111$523 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$522.75	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-2.7wins	-0.11per pick	35cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	6c	3,013$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.23	1,022	28%286 W · 736 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0bb5…a5f6backed Yes	25c	3,000$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-59.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9480…f3fcbacked Yes	7c	3,000$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.11	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ce5…7c13backed Yes	23c	3,000$690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$690	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+65.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe852…0235backed Yes	7c	2,896$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.92	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.18per pick	38cpaid	+29.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x58f4…12a9backed Yes	2c	2,866$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.45	21	4.8%1 W · 20 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	10cpaid	+150.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x334b…d734backed Yes	24c	2,830$692 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$692.2	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-2.1wins	-0.12per pick	36cpaid	-50.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a55…71bcbacked Yes	7c	2,692$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.11per pick	28cpaid	-78.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ca3…947abacked Yes	4c	2,654$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcad4…1a4cbacked Yes	27c	2,500$665 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$665	83	30.1%25 W · 58 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes	5c	2,500$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.83	152	30.3%46 W · 106 L	-18.7wins	-0.12per pick	43cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6779…0400backed Yes	4c	2,487$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	+2.7wins	+0.10per pick	12cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Lee Jae-myung win 55-60% of the vote in the South Korea election?this page
Will Lee Jae-myung win 35-40% of the vote in the South Korea election?No won
Will Lee Jae-myung win 40-45% of the vote in the South Korea election?No won
Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?Yes won
Will Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election?No won
Will Lee Jae-myung win 60-65% of the vote in the South Korea election?No won
Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 35% of the vote in the South Korea election?No won
Will Lee Jae-myung win more than 65% of the vote in the South Korea election?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Lee Jae-myung win 55-60% of the vote in the South Korea election?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event