TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN (BO3)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FURIAof FURIA, paiN
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$304,115
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$345,620

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $304,115 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1341…0853backed paiN29c18,758$5,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,434.5333043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d3b…c46bbacked paiN17c17,473$3,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,005.53933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed paiN29c17,247$5,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,072.3281843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7e2…826cbacked paiN38c13,397$5,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,105.618342.2%35 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed paiN43c13,146$5,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,652.9323852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5922…3388backed FURIA75c9,598$7,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,423.664445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fe9…706abacked FURIA64c9,313$5,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,374.6616448.2%79 W · 85 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7eed…5a28backed paiN19c8,933$1,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,689.379329%27 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked FURIA67c7,939$5,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,634.453,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9a3…b1dfbacked FURIA80c7,749$6,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,573.4613050%65 W · 65 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed paiN36c6,153$2,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,206.516335%57 W · 106 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed FURIA72c5,628$4,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,586.971984.2%16 W · 3 L+4.6wins+0.24per pick60cpaid+36.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2cdb…4d30backed FURIA74c5,005$3,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,301.434862.5%30 W · 18 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+35.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked FURIA56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20018051.1%92 W · 88 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed paiN17c4,750$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.567041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc550…353fbacked paiN17c4,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6802729.6%8 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2219…a5e9backed paiN28c4,000$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,13020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed paiN25c4,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9801,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cf4…20b3backed FURIA54c4,000$2,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,859.9810748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked FURIA59c3,697$2,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,507.7883652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed FURIA73c3,500$2,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.9946949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd97b…ebd8backed FURIA64c3,417$2,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.76757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25ed…6ac6backed FURIA74c3,400$2,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8849050%45 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed paiN20c3,290$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.74555.6%25 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4b7…d2a2backed paiN19c3,231$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe103…59fdbacked paiN23c3,013$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.861233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb020…d974backed FURIA67c2,970$1,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.2314237.3%53 W · 89 L-18.6wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-32.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed FURIA58c2,767$1,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150.884,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed FURIA76c2,634$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.51650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9823…02dbbacked FURIA63c2,610$1,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.8447055.7%262 W · 208 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed paiN32c2,320$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.4753746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fdf…ec4bbacked FURIA78c2,194$1,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.794850%24 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed FURIA65c2,164$1,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.491,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xced3…ce6bbacked FURIA51c2,014$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.63046.7%14 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0bd…efddbacked FURIA57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8601533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8541…a367backed FURIA56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88028344.2%125 W · 158 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3df5…b34abacked FURIA57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.082544%11 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed paiN24c1,693$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.4964552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked FURIA47c1,607$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.2260147.4%285 W · 316 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x697f…8705backed paiN21c1,522$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3402…9446backed paiN27c1,511$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.0110043%43 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked paiN28c1,386$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.1911631.9%37 W · 79 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed paiN21c1,289$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.895,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae87…e848backed FURIA57c1,228$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.851323.1%3 W · 10 L-4.6wins-0.35per pick58cpaid-64%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed paiN17c1,181$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.8160853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3520…f128backed FURIA55c1,170$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.5610951.4%56 W · 53 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed paiN24c1,057$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.3225941.3%107 W · 152 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed FURIA80c1,040$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20858651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked paiN24c1,033$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.224440.6%99 W · 145 L-12.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed FURIA71c1,010$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.967455.4%41 W · 33 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed FURIA57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43011852.5%62 W · 56 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed FURIA69c1,000$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31557647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7fa…44e5backed FURIA53c956.12$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.126546.2%30 W · 35 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed paiN22c936.41$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.3716935.5%60 W · 109 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaf4d…757fbacked FURIA57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.192638.5%10 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed paiN25c838$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.421,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed FURIA57c800$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34421846.8%102 W · 116 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d9…717bbacked FURIA80c779.89$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.983767.6%25 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d8e…b1c7backed FURIA57c762.68$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.544551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fcc…25e1backed FURIA67c745.88$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.146764.2%43 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed paiN18c737.95$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.8421639.8%86 W · 130 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed FURIA74c708.45$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.216349.7%81 W · 82 L-19.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x333f…f198backed paiN29c685.69$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.9120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x75fc…ee34backed FURIA74c675.68$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.682661.5%16 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb99…5d0fbacked FURIA54c667.89$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.895750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55ed…938dbacked paiN50c653.92$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.73520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked paiN39c638.62$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.143,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed paiN21c600$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12697230%292 W · 680 L-23.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc01a…4bb8backed FURIA60c597.67$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.68742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-31.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked paiN20c589.47$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.891,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bd5…81b0backed paiN26c545.35$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.793327.3%9 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked FURIA70c520$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15858254.3%316 W · 266 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67d3…0af2backed paiN23c504.88$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.741010%1 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick11cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed FURIA74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13046340.8%189 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8465…6bbdbacked paiN19c499.99$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959541.1%39 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad46…df49backed paiN25c496.61$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.159631.3%30 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x258b…7859backed FURIA71c482.3$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.34683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+27.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa178…487dbacked FURIA68c470.44$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.51258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabd9…203ebacked FURIA80c454$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.8540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-37.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a68…6525backed paiN18c450$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819215.2%14 W · 78 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-54.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed FURIA74c446.18$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.1458961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked paiN50c440$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22035550.1%178 W · 177 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ee4…3485backed paiN26c370.37$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968446.4%39 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef1a…d048backed FURIA57c309.97$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.2811558.3%67 W · 48 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf8a8…48c0backed paiN39c305.13$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11925251.2%129 W · 123 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed paiN18c303$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0685446.4%396 W · 458 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48a5…a903backed paiN44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13211440.4%46 W · 68 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a38…82f5backed FURIA65c292.34$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.321421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-49.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86f8…b0f3backed paiN59c287.98$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.972142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-27.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed FURIA59c278.66$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.6696545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12ff…0852backed paiN19c278.35$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6120445.6%93 W · 111 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec15…37a7backed FURIA55c274.99$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.74450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3289…4538backed paiN19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed paiN17c255$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.357152.1%37 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6590…ad78backed paiN21c254.96$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.492123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-44.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f21…fa6dbacked paiN27c251.85$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ba0…ff3abacked FURIA67c250.35$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.345858.6%34 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f26…c83bbacked FURIA61c245$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.5520936.4%76 W · 133 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed FURIA76c224.66$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.6613646.3%63 W · 73 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf8a2…c111backed paiN16c216.36$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355731.6%18 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.