CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fa08f537eaefb4a1276b5cc94a58f68851586d151db1923fae4c4e67da6ad5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiNof FURIA, paiN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,549
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7e2…826cbacked paiN | 38c | 5,068$1,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,164.91 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked FURIA | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6775…17efbacked FURIA | 56c | 2,381$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed paiN | 45c | 2,145$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.36 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed paiN | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.16 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed paiN | 29c | 1,678$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.56 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed FURIA | 73c | 1,594$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.4 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | -19.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xea56…ef48backed FURIA | 2c | 1,402$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df5…b34abacked FURIA | 71c | 1,124$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked paiN | 34c | 769.16$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.87 | 116 | 31.9%37 W · 79 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae87…e848backed FURIA | 71c | 712.05$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.9 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.6wins | -0.35per pick | 58cpaid | -64%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…45debacked FURIA | 65c | 701.47$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.44 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed FURIA | 73c | 669$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.37 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…5d0fbacked paiN | 50c | 611.76$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.76 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed FURIA | 71c | 600$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked paiN | 50c | 520$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 355 | 50.1%178 W · 177 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed FURIA | 17c | 512.62$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.16 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed FURIA | 52c | 499.98$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef1a…d048backed paiN | 23c | 498.01$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.16 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8e…b1c7backed FURIA | 57c | 491.23$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed FURIA | 50c | 490.4$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.2 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…ee34backed FURIA | 68c | 456.49$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.51 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked paiN | 27c | 405.54$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.99 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…df49backed paiN | 30c | 349.98$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.99 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked paiN | 46c | 327.69$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.39 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked FURIA | 61c | 327.05$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…81b0backed paiN | 37c | 320.55$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.93 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f48dbacked FURIA | 61c | 308.89$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf91f…a82bbacked FURIA | 30c | 286.65$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed paiN | 44c | 266.93$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.48 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked paiN | 27c | 230$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.9 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c6…e547backed paiN | 34c | 187.91$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.02 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.35per pick | 43cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked paiN | 50c | 170.36$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.53 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed paiN | 30c | 163.89$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a2…c111backed FURIA | 72c | 159.79$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd403…01b7backed paiN | 33c | 152.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.12 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e6…53b2backed paiN | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…04dabacked FURIA | 67c | 150$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked FURIA | 70c | 150$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…995abacked FURIA | 56c | 141.07$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…1b46backed paiN | 50c | 120.4$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.4 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed paiN | 31c | 111.07$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.46 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…dbb4backed FURIA | 72c | 111.03$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked paiN | 48c | 104.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 325 | 48.3%157 W · 168 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7db…35bdbacked FURIA | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed paiN | 23c | 93.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.68 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x217f…5d10backed paiN | 27c | 87.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.52 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b7…5479backed FURIA | 71c | 81.69$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7665…f332backed paiN | 41c | 81.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked FURIA | 67c | 75.76$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca82…997bbacked paiN | 33c | 72.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.73 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…4705backed paiN | 28c | 70$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c9…34eebacked FURIA | 52c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733e…859dbacked FURIA | 59c | 68.35$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbc…c03cbacked FURIA | 56c | 66.93$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed paiN | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…9c2abacked FURIA | 71c | 52.11$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 289 | 64%185 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab6…bf68backed paiN | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -6.1wins | -0.24per pick | 56cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x037c…509ebacked FURIA | 55c | 45.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked paiN | 35c | 45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.03 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked FURIA | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 184 | 43.5%80 W · 104 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf1…2920backed FURIA | 55c | 36.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…8fabbacked FURIA | 31c | 33.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e41…dab5backed FURIA | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed FURIA | 57c | 26.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe40f…3749backed FURIA | 65c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad2…6fe3backed FURIA | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a12…ba9cbacked FURIA | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x000b…b712backed FURIA | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN (BO3)FURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN - Map 2 WinnerFURIA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.