CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f8b6e483f9a3ee9d97c778349e2375e68f591572c9b4d7d189f7517f1bfc5f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIAof FURIA, paiN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,323
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,323 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x720f…0aabbacked paiN | 0c | 26,564$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e2…826cbacked paiN | 30c | 10,636$3,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,239.44 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed paiN | 22c | 6,013$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.97 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked FURIA | 69c | 5,171$3,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,577.61 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked paiN | 25c | 5,148$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.12 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed FURIA | 74c | 3,160$2,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.6 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked FURIA | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked paiN | 24c | 2,532$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.68 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed FURIA | 75c | 2,516$1,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.56 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed FURIA | 73c | 2,455$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.21 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…6ac6backed FURIA | 75c | 1,510$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.61 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked paiN | 26c | 1,466$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.11 | 116 | 31.9%37 W · 79 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…0af2backed paiN | 4c | 1,409$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.7 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed paiN | 26c | 1,297$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.2 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed FURIA | 79c | 1,228$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.37 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +4.6wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…45debacked paiN | 26c | 1,150$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked paiN | 17c | 1,017$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.42 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed FURIA | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed FURIA | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…81b0backed paiN | 17c | 983.16$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.68 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed paiN | 3c | 983$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…ee34backed FURIA | 77c | 779.22$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.22 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed FURIA | 77c | 650$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.5 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed FURIA | 77c | 648.99$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.98 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed paiN | 30c | 551.17$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.35 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…4705backed FURIA | 75c | 537.18$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.29 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked FURIA | 76c | 526.32$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.32 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed paiN | 25c | 485.99$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.6 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed paiN | 22c | 437$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.25 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x217f…5d10backed paiN | 18c | 428.03$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.92 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked paiN | 25c | 412.18$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.05 | 325 | 48.3%157 W · 168 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked FURIA | 75c | 401$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.2 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked FURIA | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked paiN | 26c | 355.91$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.26 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…df49backed paiN | 29c | 314$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.52 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked FURIA | 70c | 280$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked paiN | 16c | 206.11$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef1a…d048backed paiN | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed paiN | 17c | 196.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6837…a488backed paiN | 18c | 194.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a2…c111backed paiN | 23c | 191.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbc…6d64backed paiN | 26c | 164.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a01…56fdbacked paiN | 27c | 162.37$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…0710backed FURIA | 78c | 156.01$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 127 | 63%80 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…51edbacked FURIA | 74c | 134.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed FURIA | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 374 | 48.4%181 W · 193 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…914abacked FURIA | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4d…757fbacked FURIA | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…cd3dbacked paiN | 13c | 120$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6a5cbacked paiN | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1693…bf49backed paiN | 16c | 110$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked FURIA | 76c | 105.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9a…cf52backed paiN | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x716d…eaf2backed FURIA | 78c | 101$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…ad78backed paiN | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked FURIA | 74c | 91.11$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 213 | 43.7%93 W · 120 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab6…bf68backed FURIA | 79c | 88.61$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -6.1wins | -0.24per pick | 56cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed paiN | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed paiN | 25c | 78.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca82…997bbacked paiN | 30c | 73.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf1…2920backed paiN | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…1b46backed FURIA | 66c | 69.7$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…dd82backed paiN | 30c | 67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x733e…859dbacked FURIA | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b7d4backed paiN | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked FURIA | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddd…6144backed paiN | 20c | 59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…f128backed FURIA | 70c | 57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed FURIA | 75c | 50.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…9c2abacked FURIA | 77c | 45.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 289 | 64%185 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked paiN | 25c | 41.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 184 | 43.5%80 W · 104 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b3…5411backed FURIA | 75c | 41.12$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea56…ef48backed paiN | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…c756backed FURIA | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…adcfbacked FURIA | 76c | 30.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 172 | 36.6%63 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked FURIA | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9784…e452backed FURIA | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…aacabacked FURIA | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN (BO3)FURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN - Map 1 WinnerpaiN won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.