TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7eb3…0710

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
445
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT13957.6%80 W · 59 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 139 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.98
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Bucks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$7.42
Rockets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$7.42
Pistons vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Suns vs. Kingsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+29.9%+$8.96
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.32
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+33.3%+$16.67
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15.59
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.27
Heat vs. Celtics: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13.82
Lakers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+56.3%+$6.18
Nets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.56
Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+60.3%+$24.13
Suns vs. Heatbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$43.56
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$110.65
Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$35.08
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Hawks vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Bucks vs. Nuggetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$24
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Pelicans vs. Magic: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 139 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT12763%80 W · 47 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 127 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs TheMongolz (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.99
Counter-Strike: 9z vs PARIVISION (BO5) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$13.58
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$15.98
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+73.3%+$11.43
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.1
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$14.05
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+60.1%+$9.77
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners - Map 2 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$7.82
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+63.1%+$9.76
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.08
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TYLOO (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.48
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.23
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.26
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winnerbacked JiJieHao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.9
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.24
Will Vitality win IEM Rio 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+76.9%+$30.01
Will Falcons win IEM Rio 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$61.37
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.56
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.02
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.92
Will Vitality win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+95.6%+$71.73
Showing 25 of 127 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT11163.1%70 W · 41 L+0.4wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 111 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.19
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$7.78
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.82
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.78
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs OG (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group Bbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$13.7
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.76
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.57
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$13.17
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.08
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Dota 2: Aurora vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.5
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$9.19
Will Team Liquid win DreamLeague 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$27.14
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$10.42
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+26.6%+$6.37
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+33.3%+$11.67
Showing 25 of 111 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT5660.7%34 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.88
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.25
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$7.43
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+89%+$17.81
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+31.6%+$12.63
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+26.6%+$10.63
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.25
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$28.95
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$77.46
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+143.9%+$57.56
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+35.1%+$12.3
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+38.9%+$11.67
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+38.9%+$11.67
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+117.2%+$22.28
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO5)backed Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$74.25
LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+79.5%+$31.81
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$26.5
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$76.47
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+53.8%+$26.79
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+135.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+212.5%+$21.25
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$11.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Union Berlin win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+66.7%+$8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Open de Moselle: Jan Choinski vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Norway (-2.5)backed Iraq · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.