TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs OG (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Xtreme Gamingof Xtreme Gaming, OG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,834

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,834 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd74…6a59backed OG41c10,366$4,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,249.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66fb…9f72backed Xtreme Gaming57c7,059$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,059.2254556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30cd…16fbbacked Xtreme Gaming59c5,593$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,293.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ea1…642dbacked Xtreme Gaming59c4,773$2,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,956.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked OG43c4,000$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,719.999839.8%39 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed OG43c2,316$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9966160.7%37 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Xtreme Gaming57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86018452.2%96 W · 88 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed OG28c1,657$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.812,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked OG34c1,607$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.641,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked OG44c1,390$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.7134544.3%153 W · 192 L-15.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Xtreme Gaming71c1,273$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.211557.4%66 W · 49 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e3a…780cbacked OG43c1,265$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.085839.7%23 W · 35 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed OG35c1,218$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.941,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc3e…6774backed OG48c1,049$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003336.4%12 W · 21 L-5.3wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-40%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed OG44c830$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.22722.2%6 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-38.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked Xtreme Gaming56c826.6$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.629160.1%175 W · 116 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked OG44c812.42$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.7160542.6%258 W · 347 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked OG42c742.48$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.487243.1%31 W · 41 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked OG19c690.97$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.491,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Xtreme Gaming57c600$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25820642.2%87 W · 119 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabe5…d99abacked Xtreme Gaming56c547.91$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.0838649.5%191 W · 195 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e64…89c3backed Xtreme Gaming56c534.99$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.097243.1%31 W · 41 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x74c5…6cb7backed Xtreme Gaming57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.322373.9%17 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+25.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed OG45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2252045%9 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+23.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed OG13c427.09$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8246649.8%232 W · 234 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae10…d0d9backed Xtreme Gaming59c400$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.0517353.2%92 W · 81 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed OG22c369.98$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6980742.6%344 W · 463 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bba…d34cbacked Xtreme Gaming56c355.75$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.751060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Xtreme Gaming71c336.33$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.9923342.9%100 W · 133 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Xtreme Gaming55c197.06$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.2534154.5%186 W · 155 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd57b…d3b7backed Xtreme Gaming73c191.78$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed OG18c186.52$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5714744.2%65 W · 82 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f3c…3206backed Xtreme Gaming57c176$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.68666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Xtreme Gaming58c170.75$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.7541248.8%201 W · 211 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed Xtreme Gaming59c169.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.8961745.7%282 W · 335 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed Xtreme Gaming60c167.85$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.1451550.9%262 W · 253 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37d6…d8d8backed Xtreme Gaming76c158.88$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.883663.9%23 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked OG28c151.3$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.311,15147.8%550 W · 601 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Xtreme Gaming63c150$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.513733.6%46 W · 91 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-34.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff7f…bb30backed Xtreme Gaming54c150$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-57.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c06…bbeebacked Xtreme Gaming54c149.99$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.993330.3%10 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x736d…c635backed OG40c133.79$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5296942.8%415 W · 554 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c77…6747backed OG16c133.4$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.694314%6 W · 37 L-9.2wins-0.21per pick35cpaid-73.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked OG39c133$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8769552.2%363 W · 332 L+45.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Xtreme Gaming60c107.78$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7812751.2%65 W · 62 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Xtreme Gaming52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4818544.9%83 W · 102 L-0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe99e…0084backed Xtreme Gaming60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4087645.7%400 W · 476 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked OG41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4117638.6%68 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x639e…a9d4backed OG44c99.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick39cpaid-81.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xea49…434fbacked Xtreme Gaming63c95.15$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.257157.7%41 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12ec…6ce1backed OG38c92.7$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick22cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x156b…c533backed Xtreme Gaming66c92.42$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.426163.9%39 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed OG41c92.26$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.571,01345.5%461 W · 552 L-46.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed OG31c81.49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.471,03416.3%169 W · 865 L-158.1wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x4923…6866backed Xtreme Gaming54c78.76$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.011060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed OG29c77.2$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6122456.3%126 W · 98 L+11.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x194f…c849backed OG45c76.82$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9115642.9%67 W · 89 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae60…1f06backed Xtreme Gaming57c75.11$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.31973.7%14 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed OG15c74.49$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.378516.6%130 W · 655 L-135.4wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-66.7%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xc869…bc8dbacked OG46c74.46$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3437441.2%154 W · 220 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc937…273bbacked Xtreme Gaming60c66.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.439036.7%33 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-30.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbb2…0b31backed OG41c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.48246.3%38 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed OG43c55.02$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5918739%73 W · 114 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb64c…393dbacked Xtreme Gaming55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5529350.2%147 W · 146 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Xtreme Gaming63c52.38$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.387451.4%38 W · 36 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00f7…4476backed OG41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.54738.3%18 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb020…92f3backed OG46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238554.1%46 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe09…7acebacked OG30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick62cpaid-50%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e0a…07fdbacked Xtreme Gaming58c48.28$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2824349%119 W · 124 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Xtreme Gaming63c47.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6231126%81 W · 230 L-17.5wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-37.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d2…83b3backed OG44c45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0111563.5%73 W · 42 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x30de…1f9dbacked Xtreme Gaming61c42.62$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.62771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+33.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x34c5…db89backed Xtreme Gaming60c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1612759.8%76 W · 51 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed OG43c36.32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6250247.6%239 W · 263 L+31.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdae3…cf78backed Xtreme Gaming58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.481811.1%2 W · 16 L-4.2wins-0.23per pick35cpaid-74.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7eb3…0710backed Xtreme Gaming58c32.6$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.711163.1%70 W · 41 L+0.4wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6dd…c6b6backed Xtreme Gaming57c32.22$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.821450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a12…6450backed Xtreme Gaming79c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72c2…5e74backed OG40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1279343.6%346 W · 447 L+38.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4eb8…a474backed Xtreme Gaming69c24.62$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3999…c2bbbacked Xtreme Gaming57c21.05$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.055453.7%29 W · 25 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x81fc…f616backed Xtreme Gaming71c20.28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.882774.1%20 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb94f…07a6backed Xtreme Gaming75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52536%9 W · 16 L-3.9wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-29.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Xtreme Gaming80c16.03$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.2171142.6%303 W · 408 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.