Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs OG - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7ccd1b138f5c83f7818b6c5d23f4d131fbf0514aa2b5217b2f99a13fae3a0f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof Xtreme Gaming, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $282,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $282,271 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 60,732$38,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,484.16 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked OG | 37c | 51,134$18,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,902.97 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed OG | 33c | 25,340$8,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,394.21 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 14,963$9,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,662.96 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed OG | 39c | 14,615$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,699.85 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 11,053$7,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,130.68 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked OG | 36c | 8,447$3,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,062.18 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…afadbacked OG | 27c | 7,538$2,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,048.35 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 7,100$4,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 6,077$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,577.21 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…37e7backed Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 5,980$4,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,977.33 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed OG | 43c | 4,004$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.57 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba4a…9fa6backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 4,000$2,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 3,906$2,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.35 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 3,079$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked OG | 31c | 2,895$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.91 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed OG | 36c | 2,834$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.39 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 1,955$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.71 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked OG | 35c | 1,754$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.38 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed OG | 42c | 1,750$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 1,716$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.35 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33f3…d80abacked OG | 1c | 1,700$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked OG | 37c | 1,616$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.94 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 1,499$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.98 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…4088backed Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.89 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed OG | 37c | 1,481$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed OG | 24c | 1,479$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.68 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 1,320$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.92 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked OG | 37c | 1,312$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.32 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 1,281$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.84 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed OG | 37c | 1,201$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.98 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2969…d6e5backed OG | 35c | 1,148$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 1,128$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.25 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 1,119$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked OG | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed OG | 32c | 988.68$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.98 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…8311backed Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 951.2$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.49 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed OG | 17c | 948.9$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.17 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 911.03$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed OG | 6c | 849.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de4…67a8backed OG | 37c | 791.22$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.42 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed OG | 37c | 753.93$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.54 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea8…077dbacked OG | 37c | 724.2$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.51 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…48fabacked OG | 37c | 720.36$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 714.07$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.19 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x917b…e433backed OG | 37c | 710.53$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.44 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…9d98backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 652.21$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.73 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 651.38$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.93 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 616.48$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.75 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 612.7$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.7 | 153 | 38.6%59 W · 94 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8af1backed OG | 17c | 599.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked OG | 23c | 590$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.6 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…764ebacked OG | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6d61backed Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 537.46$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.46 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 529.69$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.69 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed OG | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed OG | 41c | 499$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.68 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 449.99$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 436.21$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.21 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked OG | 30c | 410$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.99 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f5…40d7backed OG | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 400$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed OG | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…8e3bbacked OG | 37c | 390.67$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.84 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…15e5backed OG | 29c | 380$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed OG | 37c | 379.3$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.27 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 367.03$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.13 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 352.38$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.38 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ac…c7b0backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 350$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 76c | 341.91$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.09 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…0535backed OG | 37c | 324.27$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.2 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aab…15c5backed Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 322.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.32 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…ea2ebacked OG | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb22d…3a13backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 310.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1019…d7cabacked OG | 37c | 303.14$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.37 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec61…4a2ebacked OG | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 299.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48aa…2eeebacked OG | 37c | 291.09$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.9 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf151…24c7backed OG | 37c | 288.4$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.88 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e6…24e6backed OG | 37c | 263.93$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.49 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b05…7b7dbacked OG | 37c | 258.61$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.84 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed OG | 27c | 255.37$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.14 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -7.3wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 246.95$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.25 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa15…270ebacked OG | 37c | 246.05$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.15 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 240.63$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.63 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd5…8d10backed OG | 19c | 239.94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.09 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked OG | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b48…88f2backed OG | 37c | 238.05$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.08 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52c6…520abacked Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 234.22$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 228.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.76 | 348 | 60.1%209 W · 139 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…6a12backed Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 225$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…c59ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 218$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.67 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked OG | 20c | 209.47$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…c6afbacked OG | 37c | 208.5$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.27 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 202.75$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.99 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked OG | 25c | 201.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f0…2923backed OG | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs OG - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs OG (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group BXtreme Gaming won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs OG - Game 1 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.