Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs OG - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69292cf1b126de8f7e9761df86463e5d67fce93b1275e74ed6b4c94c69c70d55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof Xtreme Gaming, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $224,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,790 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 25,448$14,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,044.52 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked OG | 43c | 13,238$5,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,651.41 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 11,586$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,585.64 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 10,252$7,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,314.47 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked OG | 18c | 9,259$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.08 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed OG | 40c | 9,000$3,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,591.45 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked OG | 27c | 8,930$2,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,420.66 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed OG | 42c | 6,537$2,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,740.52 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 5,770$4,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.53 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 5,303$3,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,121.28 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…37e7backed Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 4,834$3,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.72 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 3,923$2,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,726.69 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 3,887$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,887 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 3,868$2,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.18 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked OG | 35c | 3,615$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.65 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked OG | 34c | 3,498$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed OG | 43c | 3,005$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.31 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 2,976$2,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.47 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 2,740$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.54 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked OG | 39c | 2,713$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.35 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed OG | 43c | 2,648$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.55 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked OG | 45c | 2,491$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 1,814$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.64 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c01…8c6cbacked OG | 47c | 1,641$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.42 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed OG | 26c | 1,637$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.3 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed OG | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed OG | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.99 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2969…d6e5backed OG | 42c | 1,429$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed OG | 44c | 1,366$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.19 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 1,351$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.39 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked OG | 28c | 1,347$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.33 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked OG | 45c | 1,300$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked OG | 28c | 1,238$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.15 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed OG | 20c | 1,225$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.09 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed OG | 45c | 1,104$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked OG | 30c | 1,091$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.57 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…84c1backed OG | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed OG | 33c | 964.79$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.13 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 949.83$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.32 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 917.65$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.7 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed OG | 39c | 890.23$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.51 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed OG | 42c | 871.26$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.93 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed OG | 44c | 853.22$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.42 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 811.97$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.13 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed OG | 43c | 808.58$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.68 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked OG | 43c | 804.72$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.01 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 803.4$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.46 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…4088backed Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 799.99$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed OG | 43c | 790.56$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.94 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked OG | 7c | 786$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a53…1b12backed OG | 39c | 750.23$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…c59ebacked OG | 33c | 749.59$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.67 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed OG | 38c | 725.52$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.07 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed OG | 39c | 699.99$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.84 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8af1backed OG | 23c | 699.99$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 664.91$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.91 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 655.36$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.36 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed OG | 46c | 602.04$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.9 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…a736backed OG | 6c | 600$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…6a12backed OG | 24c | 600$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked OG | 42c | 596.72$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.86 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed OG | 4c | 589.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 587.29$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.01 | 153 | 38.6%59 W · 94 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…8311backed Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 558.37$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.6 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 544.79$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.54 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed OG | 18c | 544$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 318 | 35.8%114 W · 204 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 541.85$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.85 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked OG | 40c | 531.24$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.5 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed OG | 35c | 508.57$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked OG | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed OG | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed OG | 42c | 487.93$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.93 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…5739backed OG | 44c | 473.85$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 430.17$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.08 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 430$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.6 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 422.32$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.6 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed OG | 48c | 420$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be4…1f20backed Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 411.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.23 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 408$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.32 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked OG | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 400$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 386.23$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.23 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a3…f319backed OG | 21c | 372.39$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…e75fbacked OG | 22c | 363.48$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.07 | 137 | 32.8%45 W · 92 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…702dbacked OG | 4c | 350$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7aab…15c5backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 318.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.1 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed OG | 37c | 315.79$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5132…020dbacked OG | 34c | 295.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 278.13$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.13 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x765d…610bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 266.14$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b4…17b1backed OG | 6c | 260.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked OG | 22c | 251.31$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.29 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked OG | 46c | 248.26$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.67 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed OG | 46c | 235$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.1 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 228.33$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.33 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked OG | 21c | 226.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.79 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs OG - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs OG (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group BXtreme Gaming won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs OG - Game 2 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.