NBA · resolved market

Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54fa148f5f6e94c1832e0ab0461f937f957433c59a645ad38a5d01aa7e2a5e4e

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 30, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $54,971
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $53,726

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,971 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9731…9b35backed Over	45c	4,533$2,056 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,055.71	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under	56c	4,345$2,433 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,911.64	346	54%187 W · 159 L	+13.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over	49c	4,058$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Over	42c	4,000$1,680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,679.95	1,048	41.1%431 W · 617 L	+23.6wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over	49c	3,663$1,805 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,804.93	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed Under	54c	3,652$1,979 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,672.22	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+4.1wins	+0.29per pick	35cpaid	+103.1%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Under	58c	3,186$1,848 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,338.31	158	55.7%88 W · 70 L	-9.8wins	-0.06per pick	62cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over	46c	3,022$1,377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,376.91	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed Under	51c	2,396$1,214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,181.48	40	50%20 W · 20 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under	51c	2,238$1,142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,095.78	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Over	46c	2,171$994 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$993.99	1,204	55.3%666 W · 538 L	+52.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	51c	2,042$1,041 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000.58	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Over	49c	1,465$718 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$717.74	177	44.1%78 W · 99 L	-7.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	45c	1,140$509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$508.81	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Under	60c	919.48$555 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$364.48	271	58.3%158 W · 113 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	22c	662.78$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$513.74	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	41c	605.51$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.78	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over	44c	452.59$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.14	1,157	47.9%554 W · 603 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7289…8d16backed Under	58c	344.83$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.83	133	54.1%72 W · 61 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Under	58c	312.07$181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.07	193	59.6%115 W · 78 L	+14.1wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+14%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over	45c	311.31$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.09	382	53.4%204 W · 178 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Under	51c	299.93$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.22	79	35.4%28 W · 51 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Over	43c	281.77$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.03	203	53.7%109 W · 94 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Under	60c	248.78$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.22	690	49.4%341 W · 349 L	-30.0wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f40…600dbacked Over	47c	212.81$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.22	139	45.3%63 W · 76 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebb1…e7afbacked Under	58c	210$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.2	368	54.1%199 W · 169 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over	39c	207.81$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.05	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over	44c	200.32$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.14	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Under	61c	200$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78	909	57.6%524 W · 385 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under	60c	199.95$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.14	410	52%213 W · 197 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over	40c	199.64$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.94	1,198	38.8%465 W · 733 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over	44c	196.86$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.56	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under	56c	192.61$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.75	806	53.6%432 W · 374 L	+16.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Over	44c	181.82$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	334	42.8%143 W · 191 L	-17.9wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-13%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over	43c	165$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.07	1,695	44.7%758 W · 937 L	-30.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf36f…e5b8backed Under	61c	164.02$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.02	162	61.7%100 W · 62 L	+15.6wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over	43c	140.87$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.58	888	45.7%406 W · 482 L	-12.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over	49c	129.9$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.65	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0791…b6c7backed Over	44c	124.99$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.51	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.11per pick	38cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Under	56c	124.38$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.73	204	56.4%115 W · 89 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over	39c	118.09$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.43	938	49.7%466 W · 472 L	+36.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x797f…d774backed Under	53c	117.49$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.72	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under	54c	117.1$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.33	661	43.4%287 W · 374 L	-32.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Over	44c	110.39$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.57	625	41.9%262 W · 363 L	-32.7wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-11%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xab20…d9e2backed Under	55c	105.04$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.27	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b4b…14e2backed Under	58c	103.45$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.45	235	47.7%112 W · 123 L	+8.3wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce65…6759backed Under	52c	100$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	134	41%55 W · 79 L	-16.1wins	-0.12per pick	53cpaid	-30%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Over	44c	100$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	637	45.8%292 W · 345 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4977…8fd6backed Under	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x552e…a856backed Under	57c	99.97$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.99	46	50%23 W · 23 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over	40c	98.83$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.53	285	37.9%108 W · 177 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe371…466abacked Under	52c	98.08$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.08	116	42.2%49 W · 67 L	-8.0wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x88ae…9c62backed Over	42c	95.24$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-2.4wins	-0.12per pick	42cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d29…5111backed Under	57c	87.72$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.72	49	55.1%27 W · 22 L	-4.6wins	-0.09per pick	65cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8986…b357backed Under	55c	84.04$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.82	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65f9…4dd7backed Under	33c	77.96$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.45	59	32.2%19 W · 40 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…019dbacked Under	56c	72.01$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.59	43	25.6%11 W · 32 L	-5.0wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb405…c706backed Under	63c	71.54$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.47	149	49.7%74 W · 75 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Under	51c	71.03$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.8	336	53.9%181 W · 155 L	+13.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb779…ab22backed Under	61c	70.25$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.45	135	51.1%69 W · 66 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb95…ec26backed Under	58c	69.53$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.53	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.3wins	+0.43per pick	57cpaid	+76.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe56e…0bb4backed Under	61c	65.57$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.57	242	48.3%117 W · 125 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eb3…0710backed Under	62c	64.13$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.13	139	57.6%80 W · 59 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed Under	56c	60$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.57	287	51.9%149 W · 138 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under	50c	58.58$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.29	1,212	48.3%586 W · 626 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Over	44c	56.25$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.54	248	46.8%116 W · 132 L	+8.7wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Over	42c	56.12$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.75	397	56.7%225 W · 172 L	+21.4wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea33…ae06backed Under	60c	54.96$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.96	117	59.8%70 W · 47 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x00f7…4476backed Under	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	51	47.1%24 W · 27 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f05…3dfcbacked Under	53c	50$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.5	57	54.4%31 W · 26 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc699…d378backed Under	58c	50$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc5ee…6899backed Over	43c	49.81$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.42	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed Over	46c	49.13$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.36	160	36.3%58 W · 102 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-10%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Under	53c	47.17$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.17	498	52.4%261 W · 237 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3bb1…7917backed Under	59c	42.71$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.43	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+68.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6257…99f6backed Over	43c	41.51$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.85	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0f…1ecdbacked Under	61c	40.98$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.98	67	56.7%38 W · 29 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under	60c	40.67$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.27	425	51.3%218 W · 207 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under	60c	40.67$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.27	413	54%223 W · 190 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca6d…492bbacked Over	49c	40$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.4	90	53.3%48 W · 42 L	+4.1wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over	36c	39.89$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.56	1,786	53.2%950 W · 836 L	+52.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Under	53c	37.85$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.85	1,661	50.3%836 W · 825 L	-14.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba0d…9a6ebacked Over	44c	36.56$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.09	147	42.2%62 W · 85 L	-8.9wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under	60c	36.2$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.48	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5748…7b81backed Under	61c	36.07$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.07	147	51%75 W · 72 L	-6.2wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x330e…c22abacked Under	60c	34.31$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.63	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over	42c	34.19$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.51	509	48.5%247 W · 262 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	43c	34.05$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.64	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Under	57c	34.05$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.64	207	62.3%129 W · 78 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedb5…ce8ebacked Under	63c	31.75$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.75	217	56.7%123 W · 94 L	+6.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2522…c593backed Over	50c	28$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	-5.0wins	-0.18per pick	44cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x65d8…bac6backed Under	55c	27.27$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.27	383	50.4%193 W · 190 L	+12.5wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over	44c	27$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.88	1,170	50.3%588 W · 582 L	+46.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1206…eaeebacked Under	53c	25.62$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.04	66	45.5%30 W · 36 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cbc…3b01backed Under	51c	23.76$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.64	54	42.6%23 W · 31 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Over	50c	23$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	172	43%74 W · 98 L	-12.4wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9985…9b14backed Over	47c	21.35$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.02	87	43.7%38 W · 49 L	-6.2wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa2f…9ee1backed Under	54c	20.6$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.39	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.24per pick	57cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58ac…7e1fbacked Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	-3.3wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x97b8…0f5dbacked Under	59c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.2	139	53.2%74 W · 65 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event