TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x330e…c22a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
76
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Middle East, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 60 out of 100; worst Serie A at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST2548%12 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+65.9%+$13.63
Hawks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$36.4
Pelicans vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$44.21
Cavaliers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+75.4%+$9.72
Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.12
Lakers vs. Spurs: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+76.5%+$26.69
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$40.51
Bucks vs. Warriors: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12.67
Lakers vs. Spursbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 120.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.32
Magic vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Heat vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+53.8%+$5.67
Lakers vs. Pelicans: O/U 244.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+100.5%+$38.4
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+85.4%+$54.3
Spurs vs. Grizzliesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Magic (-8.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+85.2%+$12.78
Cavaliers vs. Pacers: 1H Moneylinebacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+159.7%+$23.95
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$58.05
Nuggets vs. 76ersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+442.9%+$93.89
Suns vs. Rocketsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15.46
Hornets vs. Thunderbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+274.7%+$30.49
All 25 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Senegal win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+360.9%+$133.52
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+52.7%+$10.54
Cameroon vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+40.9%+$6.14
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+75.8%+$22.04
Mali vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Mali vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$28.02
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+90%+$27.01
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+97.3%+$22.45
Will Algeria win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20.28
Algeria vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$23.71
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+29.9%+$16.78
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$32.98
All 13 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs WOPA Esport - Map 2 Winnerbacked WOPA Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$28.52
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs WOPA Esport (BO3)backed Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+38.7%+$11.62
Counter-Strike: Universe vs los kogutos (BO3)backed los kogutos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+33.3%+$4.67
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3)backed Lilmix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$25.41
Counter-Strike: Washington vs CSDIILIT (BO3)backed CSDIILIT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+110.1%+$38.35
Counter-Strike: Brute vs HyperSpirit (BO3)backed Brute · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$46.58
Counter-Strike: FUT Academy vs MASONIC (BO3)backed MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.74
Counter-Strike: AaB esport vs OlyBet SB (BO3)backed AaB esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$17.88
Counter-Strike: NRG vs 9INE - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$13.75
Counter-Strike: NRG vs 9INE (BO3)backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+91%+$47.4
Counter-Strike: NRG vs 9INE - Map 1 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+57.1%+$7.99
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-34.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$59.64
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$10.86
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$45.47
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$26.61
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$58.47
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+283.8%+$63.35
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20.2
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+60.9%+$14.01
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$19.9
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.52per pick28cpaid+166.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick64cpaid-62.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15.9
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+87.4%+$34.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+58.2%+$9.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.