Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe573df2d6a3b001ef65da841b5fbd13e647e8f2f2304731e09d4633c3aa1d39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,613,973
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,629,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,613,973 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 563 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Yes | 49c | 1,980,051$970,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970,218.88 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 51c | 338,154$172,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165,695.27 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 51c | 314,539$160,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154,269.43 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 51c | 311,999$159,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152,879.51 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked No | 51c | 250,000$127,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122,500 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 53c | 141,381$75,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,209.23 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked No | 51c | 100,000$51,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,000 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 47cpaid | +99%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked No | 51c | 100,000$51,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,000 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 51c | 85,550$43,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,711.11 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 52c | 63,852$32,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,862.87 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked No | 51c | 61,224$31,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,999.76 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 51c | 59,978$30,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,371.53 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Yes | 49c | 43,547$21,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,278.04 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed No | 51c | 41,400$21,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,286 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes | 49c | 41,159$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 35,416$27,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,830.76 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 51c | 35,000$17,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,150 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 51c | 35,000$17,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,150 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 52c | 31,500$16,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,120 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 48c | 30,014$14,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,353.84 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 63c | 25,046$15,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,295.38 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Yes | 48c | 24,638$11,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,826.09 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff7d…37e8backed Yes | 5c | 19,108$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.06 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed No | 51c | 19,038$9,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,308.89 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 51c | 18,888$9,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,255.12 | 168 | 48.8%82 W · 86 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 51c | 15,429$7,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,531.91 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 10c | 15,000$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.22 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1a65…15b1backed No | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,350 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed No | 52c | 13,394$6,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,461.13 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 48c | 12,909$6,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,134.38 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 50c | 11,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed No | 54c | 10,964$5,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,093.57 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 51c | 10,000$5,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,879.97 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | +13.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed No | 51c | 8,832$4,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,324.41 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 36cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 0c | 7,950$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 130 | 5.4%7 W · 123 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 52c | 7,917$4,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,839.45 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Yes | 49c | 7,755$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed No | 54c | 6,200$3,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,872.34 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.99 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 68c | 5,849$3,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,882.86 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 51c | 5,421$2,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,633.7 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed No | 51c | 5,216$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,556.04 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed No | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.97 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed Yes | 27c | 4,559$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.17 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…e4bdbacked Yes | 8c | 4,556$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.47 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +47%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Yes | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.99 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd6…8577backed Yes | 15c | 3,841$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.17 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 52c | 3,500$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.67 | 216 | 56.9%123 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 53c | 3,480$1,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.63 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed No | 53c | 3,435$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.34 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 61c | 3,037$1,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.41 | 1,161 | 57.4%666 W · 495 L | +40.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 54c | 3,000$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.1 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked No | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde6c…c5d8backed No | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.98 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.97 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 53c | 2,829$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.14 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked No | 51c | 2,753$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.94 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff1…c775backed Yes | 19c | 2,700$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 2,696$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.27 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79f5…5952backed Yes | 8c | 2,442$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 51c | 2,381$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.54 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed No | 53c | 2,155$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.85 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed No | 52c | 2,095$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.79 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Yes | 46c | 2,085$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Yes | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…f95abacked Yes | 30c | 2,055$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.3 | 112 | 34.8%39 W · 73 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Yes | 48c | 2,038$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…d7f1backed No | 53c | 2,020$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.49 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 52c | 1,973$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.72 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.89 | 210 | 56.7%119 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 52c | 1,863$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.99 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3909…335fbacked No | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.9 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +6.5wins | +0.46per pick | 47cpaid | +113.7%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7556…3989backed Yes | 48c | 1,635$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 51c | 1,607$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.19 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 26c | 1,578$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.13 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 51c | 1,556$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.94 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 181 | 23.2%42 W · 139 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Yes | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 52c | 1,499$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.36 | 310 | 53.2%165 W · 145 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 52c | 1,434$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.32 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac36…e266backed Yes | 48c | 1,371$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.87 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 16c | 1,341$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.61 | 364 | 62.9%229 W · 135 L | +32.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…bc29backed Yes | 48c | 1,325$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e4…f125backed Yes | 5c | 1,160$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Yes | 37c | 1,111$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.65 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed No | 51c | 1,062$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.48 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…fe1abacked Yes | 17c | 1,056$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.46 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2015…3ddcbacked No | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.61 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c4…2852backed Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa70d…f721backed Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47e6…fd61backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1649…7d8abacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed No | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-07?this page
- Will Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.