TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$105,759
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,321

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,759 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xac47…d234backed No74c20,752$15,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,395.524841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes26c13,764$3,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,578.581,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No61c5,975$3,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,352.124,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe99a…918fbacked Yes56c5,328$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-50%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes26c4,408$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.041,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9a3…b1dfbacked No70c3,870$2,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes34c3,067$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.262,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No75c3,031$2,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.8310057%57 W · 43 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfcbc…71c1backed No74c2,565$1,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.861163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No75c2,028$1,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.687448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes36c2,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72040640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Yes26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5207929.1%23 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52019729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes26c1,930$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.814943%64 W · 85 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5bd…2182backed Yes26c1,926$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.72552%13 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.16per pick36cpaid+35.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No73c1,575$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.192,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes26c1,565$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4076437.5%24 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+47.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No73c1,475$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.7439156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Yes35c1,421$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004367.4%29 W · 14 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No74c1,411$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.914147.5%67 W · 74 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes25c1,400$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35017833.7%60 W · 118 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes27c1,341$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.071,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Yes56c1,195$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.452642.3%11 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x471c…9e94backed Yes29c1,064$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.062343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid0%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No75c1,051$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.3496645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes26c907.58$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.972,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No73c899$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.7372249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a4c…8138backed Yes54c825.57$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.813450%17 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No74c799$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.746,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002425%6 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No74c762.15$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.1635941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No74c700$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1821,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes26c650$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16913939.6%55 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No74c599.99$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15632453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0f4…e02fbacked Yes34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-44.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Yes35c571.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005543.6%24 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a59…a364backed Yes19c547.57$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1025822.4%13 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Yes36c532.86$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.833727%10 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes19c527.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019654.6%107 W · 89 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c34…1d5bbacked Yes19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004318.6%8 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-12.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes27c477.63$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.8520246.5%94 W · 108 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes25c447.9$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.9830739.4%121 W · 186 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes26c430.89$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.0326229.8%78 W · 184 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc450…f2f7backed No71c428.92$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.575461.1%33 W · 21 L-6.9wins-0.13per pick74cpaid-16.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2116…d3c2backed Yes24c418.48$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003026.7%8 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes13c399.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5115735.7%56 W · 101 L+15.5wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019732.5%64 W · 133 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd951…f30bbacked Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4417…01eebacked Yes12c373$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0311142.3%47 W · 64 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a2d…6db9backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015543.9%68 W · 87 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaca5…08f1backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006738.8%26 W · 41 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09a5…0306backed Yes27c360.87$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993040%12 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-30%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes6c336.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011227.7%31 W · 81 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes30c327.79$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9542324.3%103 W · 320 L-36.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes19c300$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573630.6%11 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No74c300$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7818551.9%96 W · 89 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b34…294cbacked Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.29per pick44cpaid-70.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8374…8f24backed No74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.27633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-55.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yes26c250$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6518646.8%87 W · 99 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1294…9dbabacked No68c249.98$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.47753.2%41 W · 36 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes26c238.46$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6210626.4%28 W · 78 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed No23c235$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.956520%13 W · 52 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick11cpaid+165.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x06d5…0417backed Yes27c222.22$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6016142.9%69 W · 92 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed No73c218.2$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0118251.6%94 W · 88 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dd6…8577backed Yes61c202.44$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.491118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-51.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5230050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe83d…3324backed Yes27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542544%11 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6422125.8%57 W · 164 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe328…f4a3backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202740.7%11 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick28cpaid+56.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaf36…386bbacked Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-60%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010139.6%40 W · 61 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes29c173.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509534.7%33 W · 62 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes29c170.03$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3120027%54 W · 146 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Yes21c151$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3217744.1%78 W · 99 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadf2…8f6bbacked Yes9c150$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.550%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked No77c139$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5924146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No73c138.57$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.411,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bf5…0144backed Yes29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8662…0731backed Yes37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No65c132.29$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.829041.7%121 W · 169 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55b6…f8d1backed Yes24c126.05$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.45425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-54.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2000…df78backed Yes37c121.62$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452626.9%7 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-34.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes23c118.18$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.711,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Yes36c111.17$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405955.9%33 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1166…a8e1backed Yes27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309736.1%35 W · 62 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2316…b824backed Yes27c111$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.97825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Yes16c104$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.261540%6 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a65…15b1backed No73c103.21$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.872774.1%20 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+38.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf711…db0bbacked No74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+40%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2629158.4%170 W · 121 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276328.6%18 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2744036.8%162 W · 278 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf5f…fc90backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26825%2 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Yes26c99.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2620958.9%123 W · 86 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No73c99.99$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2725551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdff3…70e4backed Yes27c99.98$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.991637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No65c99.39$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.925530.2%77 W · 178 L-22.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d66…0e16backed Yes27c92.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513951.1%71 W · 68 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x625a…7bb3backed Yes29c85$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.653135.5%11 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc2b…b582backed Yes60c83.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.