TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$422,846
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$431,707

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $422,846 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 368 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa194…a62abacked No0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No74c24,885$18,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,388.256,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No59c23,602$13,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,843.522,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe329…34f9backed Yes27c23,507$6,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,184.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+85.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No29c20,210$5,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,760.774,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x827f…7f59backed Yes28c16,311$4,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,743.914841.7%20 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes26c13,476$3,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,971.9412241.8%51 W · 71 L-0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No73c12,619$9,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,204.311,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Yes60c9,272$5,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,685.382850%14 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Yes25c8,522$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,391.43633.3%12 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-21.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Yes50c8,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0004161%25 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No52c7,896$4,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,073.4727750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9665…e721backed Yes25c7,000$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,249.994643.5%20 W · 26 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes37c5,582$2,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,513.991,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No73c5,581$4,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,072.321,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked No37c5,100$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,889.837548%36 W · 39 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed Yes25c5,000$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,724.8511346%52 W · 61 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No30c4,913$1,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,473.9630666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x3d7d…ec26backed No67c4,470$2,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,986.924447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked No52c4,354$2,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,263.863644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49d1…2a44backed No50c4,242$2,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,120.722556%14 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes26c4,078$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,026.668026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No75c4,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00038649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed Yes26c4,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9607754.5%42 W · 35 L+6.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Yes60c3,582$2,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,434.3513727%37 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes25c3,551$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,664.8417833.7%60 W · 118 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes57c3,389$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.441,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x081c…f010backed Yes79c3,379$2,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed No60c3,334$1,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,996.1420246.5%94 W · 108 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a1f…d0bbbacked Yes27c3,000$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,189.992832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes26c3,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,219.9320448.5%99 W · 105 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes51c2,967$1,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,463.8524846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked Yes48c2,700$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,404757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd6…8577backed Yes28c2,613$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,884.621118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-51.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No73c2,500$1,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,836.6814147.5%67 W · 74 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed No36c2,227$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.366134.4%21 W · 40 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed No51c2,162$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,101.094146.3%19 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed No74c2,079$1,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,538.4612454.8%68 W · 56 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bd…2182backed Yes25c2,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5002552%13 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.16per pick36cpaid+35.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed Yes26c2,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,48015944.7%71 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x82aa…fe2fbacked Yes29c1,882$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,336.091520%3 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-42.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes64c1,816$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.7696645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4afc…f01cbacked Yes57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes70c1,700$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.2769772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x681d…3fa1backed No1c1,684$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.84110%0 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8662…0731backed Yes75c1,682$1,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.34862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes25c1,500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12560728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c9e…7928backed Yes28c1,500$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0801030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes26c1,468$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,093.2136954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd9d3…f492backed No71c1,460$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.6944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed No74c1,351$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00024047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Yes80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.234367.4%29 W · 14 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Yes49c1,224$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.4930645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No63c1,161$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.518153.1%43 W · 38 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9acb…d2c7backed Yes48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.672646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes74c1,034$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.1277336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes25c1,000$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7502,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes28c1,000$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72041437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x854d…deb0backed No53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5303953.8%21 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+38.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes46c999.97$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.9820646.1%95 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7daf…0ec8backed Yes48c980.76$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5101136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-36.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No74c972.85$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.911,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No73c955.33$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.391,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes25c880$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.031,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd502…4d4cbacked No74c864.62$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.828670.9%61 W · 25 L+7.8wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x291b…b19cbacked No75c843.35$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.512748.1%13 W · 14 L-4.2wins-0.16per pick64cpaid-25.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes64c840.04$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.9243241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No74c833$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.4229458.2%171 W · 123 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf057…d05ebacked Yes50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4003525.7%9 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Yes50c785.28$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.293933.3%13 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes52c770$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.68046.3%37 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x239f…3174backed Yes32c759.98$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+214.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No45c743.89$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.7536462.9%229 W · 135 L+32.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0ed4…409fbacked Yes29c700$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4971154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+51.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Yes26c698.26$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.6610051%51 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No74c698$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.5221253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Yes26c693$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.824235.7%15 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-28.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked No53c643.51$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.256258.1%36 W · 26 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bea…f95abacked No49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011234.8%39 W · 73 L+8.5wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Yes59c604.69$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.1817744.1%78 W · 99 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd192…d266backed Yes29c600$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30053134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes25c591$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.7268942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No73c590.1$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.2130739.4%121 W · 186 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e82…86f6backed Yes70c568.07$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.073762.2%23 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ad…802abacked No25c557.05$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No33c539.31$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.2725530.2%77 W · 178 L-22.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes28c535.71$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.718851.1%45 W · 43 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed No31c535.34$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.320931.6%66 W · 143 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes69c525.95$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.5541344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033a…fc42backed Yes25c525.81$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.367557.3%43 W · 32 L+9.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+37.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Yes28c500.18$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.181963.2%12 W · 7 L+4.4wins+0.23per pick40cpaid+52.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No74c500$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3707335.6%26 W · 47 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked No75c500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37521656.9%123 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd38b…e07abacked Yes53c468.07$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.071435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Yes53c458.44$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.47633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Yes50c454.75$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.3510448.1%50 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14df…30b2backed No75c450$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.5944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid+56.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbd0…190abacked Yes57c438.6$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+19.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed No39c418$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.956240.3%25 W · 37 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+88.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.