TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe0f4…e02f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
148
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Valorant, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 63 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST4134.1%14 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FURIA win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will Vitality win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+488.2%+$498
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+270.4%+$81.11
Will MOUZ win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$255.65
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$73
Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$78
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FaZe (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$77
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+230.6%+$1,153.16
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 (BO3)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$33.65
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$296.8
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Vitality (BO1)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: paiN vs G2 (BO1)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO1)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO1)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+44.9%+$22.46
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FaZe (BO1)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+81.8%+$409.09
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy (BO3)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$9,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$9,059.77
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NIP (BO1)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$7,895Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$7,894.51
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs RED Canids (BO1)backed RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs M80 (BO1)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$570
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs FlyQuest (BO1)backed Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$41.53
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs RED Canids (BO1)backed RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$130.9
Counter-Strike: NIP vs NRG (BO1)backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs The Huns Esports (BO1)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+89.9%+$26.98
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FlyQuest (BO1)backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+143.9%+$28.78
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1963.2%12 W · 7 L+5.2wins+0.27per pick36cpaid+58.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
Valorant — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: BBL Esports vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,984Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+185.8%+$3,686
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,928Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+108.5%+$5,344.78
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs MIBR LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+98.1%+$121.89
Valorant: Team Heretics vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$79.69
Valorant: MIBR LOS vs AG.AL International (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked AG.AL International · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.37
Valorant: NRG vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$26.07
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+196.7%+$393.92
Valorant: Global Esports vs AG.AL International (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked AG.AL International · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$41.73
Valorant: MIBR LOS vs Team Heretics (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked MIBR LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$253
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Paper Rex (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$40.04
Valorant: Team Vitality vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+100.3%+$161.4
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+245.1%+$490.24
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,665Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+174.7%+$2,907.75
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$253
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$278
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$23.19
Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$161.53
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$39.94
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$6.22
Will Scotland win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+259.2%+$220.31
Will Latvia win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Serbia vs. Latvia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+53.8%+$13.46
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-44.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Manchester City vs. Leeds United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,329Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$1,328.69
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will West Ham win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will West Ham win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+75.4%+$19.61
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$18.33
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
Will Fulham win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-58%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$30
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Jannik Sinner vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Taylor Fritz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Bublikbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.25
Rolex Paris Masters: Corentin Moutet vs Reilly Opelkabacked Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.5
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Zizou Bergsbacked Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Rolex Paris Masters: Daniel Altmaier vs Marcos Gironbacked Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$22.03
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-41.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-35.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-46.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+88.7%+$35.47
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$122.71
Chiefs vs. Broncosbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Commanders vs. Dolphinsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$14.7
All 4 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick24cpaid+274.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-42%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Devils vs. Lightningbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Canucks vs. Lightningbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+74.1%+$74.08
Ducks vs. Avalanchebacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$18.6
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-20.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gen.G win the LCK Cup 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+59.6%+$84.67
LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$98
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+394.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+394.8%+$750.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Malmö FF win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$15.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chris Eubank Jr. vs Conor Benn Nov 15, 2025backed Eubank Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$133.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.