TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Bucks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Kings, Bucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,907,084
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,886,680

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,907,084 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 571 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb744…5210backed Kings30c593,887$179,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414,781.7715443.5%67 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Bucks68c171,162$115,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115,985.7136148.5%175 W · 186 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Kings26c125,000$32,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92,249.9938248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Bucks68c76,238$51,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,493.651,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Bucks44c69,255$30,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,407.6885742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Bucks70c68,004$47,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,602.5647144.2%208 W · 263 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Bucks69c65,072$45,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,188.2620253.5%108 W · 94 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Bucks53c64,415$34,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,261.9619249.5%95 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bucks67c57,658$38,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,786.018,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x154c…ce5ebacked Kings34c57,120$19,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,699.341833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Bucks65c54,707$35,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,424.2847448.7%231 W · 243 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b8c…1556backed Bucks50c50,000$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,0005646.4%26 W · 30 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+33.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x220c…43c8backed Kings32c50,000$16,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,999.997149.3%35 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c8…fed1backed Bucks70c48,977$34,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,087.653748.6%18 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-3.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bucks42c41,566$17,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,435.2681529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Bucks67c40,000$26,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,599.9851350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68df…4815backed Bucks71c38,200$27,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,2802240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Kings30c36,794$11,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,755.891,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02fc…2c31backed Kings29c36,655$10,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,025.051729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Bucks80c35,669$28,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,474.0449849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Kings70c35,495$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,494.9834062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Bucks69c33,048$22,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,777.041,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8628…6f0bbacked Kings33c30,897$10,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,700.83026.7%8 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-37.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Kings34c30,000$10,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,899.835235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bucks68c21,659$14,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,669.19,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x575a…bba6backed Bucks37c20,000$7,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,30012529.6%37 W · 88 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Kings33c20,000$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,4001,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff36…e757backed Kings31c15,000$4,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,321.311547%54 W · 61 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Bucks66c15,000$9,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,899.9834645.4%157 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Kings19c14,806$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,006.0825925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked Bucks70c14,264$9,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,984.9911558.3%67 W · 48 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Bucks70c13,326$9,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,328.3247751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Bucks72c12,863$9,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,218.5448046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Bucks69c10,000$6,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,90066853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Bucks70c9,966$6,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,976.3222243.7%97 W · 125 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Bucks70c9,829$6,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,835.4636057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Bucks74c9,389$6,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,902.62,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Bucks34c9,303$3,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,169.41,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Kings32c9,101$2,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,217.32,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Bucks69c8,916$6,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,182.832,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Bucks55c8,794$4,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,875.973,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Bucks68c8,651$5,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,900.5512160.3%73 W · 48 L+10.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Bucks67c8,142$5,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,438.887739%30 W · 47 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Kings32c8,128$2,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,494.4862351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Kings27c8,100$2,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,887.9861835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Bucks69c8,059$5,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,568.9769852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Kings29c8,053$2,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,728.342,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed Bucks69c6,994$4,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,82013455.2%74 W · 60 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Kings32c6,649$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,549.1255346.8%259 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd123…d341backed Bucks67c6,468$4,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,353.622240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Kings31c6,458$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,457.916251.9%84 W · 78 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Bucks67c6,000$4,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,02016942%71 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Kings31c5,910$1,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,087.6971052.1%370 W · 340 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Kings32c5,467$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,717.781,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a59…770cbacked Bucks22c5,354$1,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.366665.2%43 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeef4…32a1backed Kings34c5,000$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,299.9610041%41 W · 59 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff12…09f9backed Kings76c4,993$3,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,210.9619388.1%170 W · 23 L+48.6wins+0.25per pick63cpaid+46.2%equal weight75+0.22 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Kings66c4,834$3,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,645.441,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9e8…731cbacked Kings32c4,378$1,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,971.427255.6%40 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbcb9…4734backed Bucks45c4,334$1,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,967.464843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Kings70c4,281$2,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,284.278036.3%29 W · 51 L-8.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Kings31c4,250$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,94530947.6%147 W · 162 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Kings30c3,959$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,754.0941848.3%202 W · 216 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4667…cab0backed Kings34c3,784$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,483.9713355.6%74 W · 59 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Kings63c3,636$2,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,342.1285344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed Kings47c3,288$1,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,745.5113950.4%70 W · 69 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid+9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Kings35c3,050$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,982.51,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Kings34c3,000$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,985.9875347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bucks29c2,935$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.191,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Kings31c2,870$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,988.4140133.4%134 W · 267 L+27.0wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Kings36c2,778$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,777.7831044.8%139 W · 171 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Kings28c2,600$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,87847535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Bucks67c2,500$1,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,67517250%86 W · 86 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad23…47c4backed Bucks48c2,500$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.53933.3%13 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3600…606fbacked Bucks36c2,500$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.88933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked Bucks79c2,408$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,900.4518140.3%73 W · 108 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x737e…8e9bbacked Bucks54c2,300$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2413946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Kings32c2,288$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,555.592753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe47c…3afabacked Bucks22c2,287$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50023342.9%100 W · 133 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked Kings22c2,273$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,772.736435.9%23 W · 41 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77b6…a912backed Bucks22c2,266$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.951442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Kings15c2,228$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,894.1318142%76 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Kings31c2,166$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,494.5295049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x478a…2deabacked Bucks45c2,100$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9559050%45 W · 45 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x163e…d18cbacked Bucks6c2,042$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.898246.3%38 W · 44 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Kings62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76080146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Bucks72c2,000$1,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,448.516962.1%105 W · 64 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc631…9655backed Kings18c2,000$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6502524%6 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked Bucks65c1,872$1,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,216.666746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked Bucks58c1,800$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04410852.8%57 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Kings39c1,685$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.5448944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3804…6136backed Kings24c1,667$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,263.7126749.8%133 W · 134 L+17.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Bucks50c1,648$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.611,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd99…f375backed Bucks66c1,579$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.9338151.2%195 W · 186 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Kings32c1,563$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.8454747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84b8…1193backed Kings32c1,529$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.9334942.7%149 W · 200 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Bucks69c1,500$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0357640.8%31 W · 45 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Bucks80c1,500$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.7646342.5%197 W · 266 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Kings66c1,497$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.741,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Kings34c1,481$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.8642827.3%117 W · 311 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.