Tennis · resolved market
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0c85327a907016a55be0def6f7972aa99a7827b974006bfb6208d017a064c99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinnerof Alcaraz, Sinner
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,393,022
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,443,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,393,022 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7606…2836backed Sinner | 63c | 540,160$340,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199,270.51 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Alcaraz | 35c | 171,160$59,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,691.33 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Alcaraz | 36c | 156,362$56,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,152.25 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked Sinner | 63c | 101,033$63,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,873.85 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked Sinner | 78c | 54,300$42,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,894.7 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…4c4cbacked Alcaraz | 36c | 54,244$19,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,570.2 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Alcaraz | 37c | 53,816$19,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,873.91 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Alcaraz | 37c | 51,110$18,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,755.12 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sinner | 77c | 49,481$38,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,219.45 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Sinner | 67c | 48,490$32,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,167.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed Alcaraz | 37c | 47,652$17,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,631.12 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Sinner | 64c | 42,127$26,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,154.27 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Alcaraz | 37c | 40,000$14,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,800 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Sinner | 64c | 33,817$21,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,174.29 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +6.5wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8605…750fbacked Alcaraz | 41c | 32,049$13,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,103.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Alcaraz | 37c | 30,978$11,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,503.84 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Alcaraz | 36c | 30,067$10,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,922.71 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa888…90a8backed Sinner | 76c | 28,251$21,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,784.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Alcaraz | 27c | 28,158$7,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,617.75 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Alcaraz | 32c | 28,000$8,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,847.28 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Sinner | 70c | 27,000$18,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,019.96 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…abe8backed Alcaraz | 38c | 26,318$10,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000.96 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Sinner | 68c | 25,888$17,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,297.74 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee50…7ed6backed Alcaraz | 18c | 25,850$4,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,660.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Sinner | 74c | 23,898$17,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,328.93 | 220 | 37.7%83 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…9e63backed Sinner | 66c | 20,621$13,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,911.29 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82ee…81b1backed Sinner | 74c | 20,144$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,143.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f8…ca2bbacked Alcaraz | 31c | 19,119$5,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,996.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…5bf6backed Alcaraz | 39c | 18,737$7,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,279.89 | 206 | 53.4%110 W · 96 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Alcaraz | 30c | 17,500$5,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,325 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…f116backed Alcaraz | 39c | 17,171$6,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,690.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…eb8fbacked Alcaraz | 36c | 16,635$5,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,997.49 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 53cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Alcaraz | 37c | 16,357$6,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,019.36 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7b…35dabacked Alcaraz | 38c | 15,782$5,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,997.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…7102backed Alcaraz | 38c | 15,781$5,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,996.89 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf41…5562backed Alcaraz | 23c | 15,031$3,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,408 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1756…4ff8backed Sinner | 61c | 14,967$9,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,863.87 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Alcaraz | 28c | 14,679$4,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,154.92 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -5.8wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Alcaraz | 29c | 14,530$4,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,284.66 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sinner | 75c | 14,478$10,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,547.31 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1993…0c02backed Sinner | 63c | 14,306$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,305.97 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aec…1158backed Alcaraz | 41c | 14,137$5,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,791.13 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…257cbacked Sinner | 62c | 13,915$8,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,221.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd041…7b26backed Alcaraz | 36c | 13,695$4,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,930.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Alcaraz | 28c | 13,629$3,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,838.28 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Alcaraz | 35c | 12,933$4,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,525.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Sinner | 68c | 12,116$8,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,869.63 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9792…0812backed Sinner | 65c | 11,878$7,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,122.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x858c…c479backed Alcaraz | 38c | 11,245$4,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,245.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3077…02b3backed Alcaraz | 37c | 11,000$4,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,070 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9faf…856dbacked Alcaraz | 37c | 10,805$3,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,997.89 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Alcaraz | 19c | 10,588$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…fcbebacked Alcaraz | 34c | 10,579$3,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,620.7 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Alcaraz | 34c | 10,252$3,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,461.75 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb0…afcebacked Alcaraz | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…20b3backed Alcaraz | 31c | 9,541$2,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,928.56 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Alcaraz | 36c | 8,906$3,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,210.57 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…f128backed Alcaraz | 36c | 8,518$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,080.39 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3831…69bebacked Alcaraz | 30c | 8,182$2,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,433.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06d…dd3ebacked Alcaraz | 37c | 8,108$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Sinner | 61c | 7,900$4,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,080.97 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c5…90dfbacked Alcaraz | 38c | 7,336$2,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,787.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Alcaraz | 36c | 7,239$2,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640.89 | 428 | 39.7%170 W · 258 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Alcaraz | 37c | 7,000$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,590 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.29per pick | 36cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9615…60ddbacked Sinner | 61c | 7,000$4,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,709.99 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Alcaraz | 37c | 6,683$2,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,472.71 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb9…74bfbacked Alcaraz | 38c | 6,579$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Alcaraz | 38c | 6,579$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.88 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc2…8b96backed Alcaraz | 24c | 6,203$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…b716backed Sinner | 64c | 6,183$3,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225.82 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Sinner | 75c | 6,068$4,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.95 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac88…9b35backed Alcaraz | 25c | 6,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Sinner | 63c | 6,000$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Alcaraz | 37c | 6,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.98 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…f18dbacked Sinner | 66c | 5,986$3,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,028.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Sinner | 61c | 5,965$3,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,353.64 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf67c…2f87backed Alcaraz | 38c | 5,811$2,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,208 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Sinner | 72c | 5,584$4,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…3b5ebacked Alcaraz | 18c | 5,566$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89f…6a27backed Sinner | 63c | 5,500$3,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,035 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Alcaraz | 37c | 5,405$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20cb…d211backed Alcaraz | 38c | 5,261$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.17 | 103 | 58.3%60 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Sinner | 63c | 5,136$3,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.42 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…6578backed Alcaraz | 21c | 5,102$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.69 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…6549backed Alcaraz | 39c | 5,036$1,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963.98 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed Alcaraz | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Alcaraz | 17c | 4,982$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.79 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596e…7b82backed Alcaraz | 36c | 4,965$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Sinner | 63c | 4,762$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.9 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +12.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Alcaraz | 30c | 4,638$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.13 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Alcaraz | 37c | 4,500$1,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 39cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Alcaraz | 22c | 4,100$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Alcaraz | 26c | 4,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Alcaraz | 28c | 4,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Alcaraz | 37c | 3,999$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.49 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Alcaraz | 30c | 3,682$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.83 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Alcaraz | 38c | 3,632$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 252 | 44.4%112 W · 140 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Alcaraz | 37c | 3,500$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Sinner | 63c | 3,478$2,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.97 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9a…099fbacked Alcaraz | 33c | 3,464$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerthis page
- Alcaraz vs. Sinner: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Alcaraz vs. Sinner: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Alcaraz vs. Sinner: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Alcaraz vs. Sinner: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Alcaraz vs. Sinner: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Alcaraz vs. Sinner: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Over won
- Alcaraz vs. Sinner: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs SinnerSinner won
- Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Alcaraz (+1.5)Sinner won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.