TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x366c…6578

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
219
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: F1, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category F1 at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT4355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. England: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$132
France vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Giuliano Simeone: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.15
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$34.75
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$902Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+33%+$297.6
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$271.75
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$30.63
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$916Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+74.7%+$683.99
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$61
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$8.1
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.25
Michael Olise: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.3
Brazil vs. Norway: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+457.9%+$352.25
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$108
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$70.98
Erling Haaland: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+640.7%+$172.99
Erling Haaland: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.58
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT3265.6%21 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+36.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$901Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$499
Jannik Sinner vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$21
Brasov: Keegan Smith vs Zsombor Pirosbacked Zsombor Piros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$518Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+58.8%+$304.66
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$88
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.1
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$292
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,072Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$1,071.69
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,803Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$2,802.97
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex de Minaurbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+536.3%+$1,385.5
Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,546Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+50.2%+$775.59
Hellenic Championship: Sebastian Korda vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+85.2%+$184
US Open: Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcarazbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$695Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$694.98
WTA Cincinnati - Kudermetova vs. Paolinibacked Kudermetova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.2
ATP Cincinnati - Khachanov vs. Brooksbybacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$64
Wimbledon Final – Alcaraz vs. Sinner backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,809Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$1,604.59
Sinner vs. Djokovic – Will Sinner win by 4+ games? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$21.32
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Dimitrov backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT+60.3%+$286.86
Wimbledon: Cilic vs. Cobolli backed Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$718Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT+28.9%+$207.56
Wimbledon: Noskova vs. Anisimova (W) backed Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Wimbledon: Fucsovics vs. Monfilsbacked Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+112%+$158.5
Wimbledon: Fritz vs. Diallo backed Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+45.3%+$187
Wimbledon: Fritz vs. Perricardbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$25
HSBC Championships: Alcaraz vs. Leheckabacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+41.1%+$41.62
Terra Wortmann: Medvedev vs. Bublik backed Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+48.5%+$50.6
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$338.76
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+68.4%+$272.07
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$145.84
Will FC København win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$127
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+34.2%+$51
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$348.16
FIFA Club World Cup: Chelsea vs. PSG – Both Teams To Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.5
Palmeiras vs. Chelsea: 3+ Goals Scored?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$111.99
FIFA Club World Cup: Fluminense vs. Al Hilal (To Advance)backed Fluminense · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+25%+$51.74
Fluminense vs. Al Hilal: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$107.99
Manchester City vs. Al Hilal: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$40
Will Boca Juniors beat Auckland City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.1
Auckland City vs. Boca Juniors: 6+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$92
Benfica vs. Bayern Munich: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$74
Will Pachuca beat Real Madrid?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+32.4%+$49.02
Real Madrid vs. Pachuca: 4+ Goals Scored? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$117.8
Seattle Sounders vs. Atlético Madrid: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$21.46
Will two total goals be scored in regulation time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+33.8%+$26
Will five total goals be scored in regulation time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+150.7%+$131.79
Will Inter win on 2025-04-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,817Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+41.3%+$750.51
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$323.99
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$95
Will Paris Saint Germain vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.71
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.78
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+41.2%+$138.8
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST1952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick44cpaid-19.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$95
Will turnout in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election be at least 46%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+28.2%+$30.5
Will Ciucu win by at least 12%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$661Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$660.63
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,216Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+51.3%+$1,137.52
Will Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$549Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+27.5%+$151
Will PAS win a majority of seats in Moldova elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$166.67
Will Chan Santokhi be the next president of Suriname after the election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$360
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$653Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+83.8%+$547
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,844Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+32.4%+$596.47
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15,840Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$15,839.77
Will Anton Pisaroglu win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.04
Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,177Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+28.8%+$914.84
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$7,463Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+99%+$7,386.98
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$192.64
Will Crin Antonescu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$32
Georgescu banned from Romania election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$122.65
Will PSD win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,174Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST+72.5%+$2,302.74
Will AUR win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$259.85
All 19 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick43cpaid+27.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
F1 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.93
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+78.7%+$27.14
Will Max Verstappen leave Red Bull before 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$75.99
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$934Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$933.67
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$9,066Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$9,065.71
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$937Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+314.1%+$2,941.9
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$449Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$449.36
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+27.5%+$6.9
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+42.1%+$332.2
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+37.6%+$41
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+29.7%+$108.58
Will Mercedes have the highest Constructor score at the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+461.9%+$87.85
Will George Russell win the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+53%+$34.65
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$5.4
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Saudi Arabian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$543Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+44.2%+$239.9
F1: Will Lawson finish ahead of Tsunoda in the Japanese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$46
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$65
All 18 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tony Blair be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,075Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,075.13
Will Alec Baldwin be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$32.85
Will David Copperfield be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$15.1
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Trump disparage Zohran Mamdani on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+30.4%+$105.73
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.42
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June  23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$104
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June  30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$142
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Friday June  27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+53.6%+$135.23
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Sunday June  22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+49.8%+$27.37
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,271Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,271
Will Trump's approval rating be between 47.5% and 47.9% on March 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$95
Will Trump's approval rating be between 47.0% and 47.4% on March 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$35
Will Trump's approval rating be between 46.5% and 46.9% on March 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.8
Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$4,729Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+36.8%+$1,738.16
Will there be a US Government shutdown? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,652Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST+88.6%+$2,348.67
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-43.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+49.9%+$33.3
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$41
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$646Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+59%+$381.22
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$307
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$10.6
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$455Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+53.8%+$245
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$46.9
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$48.8
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+47.1%+$32
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,734Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$1,733.78
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+29.7%+$20.61
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$218.27
All 13 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-57.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Israel strikes Iran before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Israel strikes Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+33.9%+$40
Another U.S. strike on Fordow nuclear facility before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+55.3%+$89
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Israel strike on Iran on June 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Iran strike on Qatar today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.49
Will Russia pull out of Syria before April 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$319
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$204.15
Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$434Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+38.1%+$165.6
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick58cpaid+94.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC vs. PAOK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+809.1%+$264.33
Will BSC Young Boys win on 2025-09-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+46%+$63
Will Real Betis beat Chelsea?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$5
UEFA Europa Conference League Final: Real Betis vs. Chelseabacked Chelsea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$168
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+28.8%+$67
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.8
Will Manchester United win on 2025-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$163.92
Will Lyon vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$11.68
Will Tottenham vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+48.1%+$16.9
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-37.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2025, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-80.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-34.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+86.9%+$186
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich Win the Treble?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Usyk vs. Fury have no official winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UConn vs. Floridabacked UConn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$128.74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.