Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will BSC Young Boys win on 2025-09-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf876df4ea0838a2cf13e27018b9a96218f22c119e0c8e27471431494222a4ff8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,348
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,348 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 40c | 5,500$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.95 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed No | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.96 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 45c | 4,414$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed Yes | 6c | 3,395$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.42 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 55c | 2,533$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 2,413$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.27 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 57c | 2,404$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.68 | 122 | 69.7%85 W · 37 L | +14.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Yes | 43c | 2,330$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.9 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 56c | 1,501$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.41 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 54c | 1,407$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.02 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 8c | 637.05$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.35 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 6c | 563.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.41 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 45c | 455.62$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.03 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20f…f493backed Yes | 43c | 304.95$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 6c | 282.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691e…9b99backed Yes | 11c | 268.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc585…252dbacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes | 60c | 200$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…6578backed No | 69c | 200$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 8c | 184.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 42c | 180$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25a1…f2fdbacked Yes | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3339…1db6backed No | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 41c | 139.02$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbea6…eab2backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 57cpaid | +54%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…4dc6backed No | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe31…2ab1backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2abd…61e9backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…22adbacked No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x393d…7dc7backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37c…189abacked Yes | 43c | 80.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 54c | 53.26$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7869…61d8backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be6…45bbbacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23de…bdb1backed Yes | 24c | 46.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…d4d8backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda95…e997backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 56c | 39.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 44c | 36.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa261…da11backed Yes | 46c | 34.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 39c | 25.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed No | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will BSC Young Boys win on 2025-09-25?this page
- Will BSC Young Boys vs. Panathinaikos end in a draw?No won
- Will Panathinaikos win on 2025-09-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.