TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5a0e…4dc6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
319
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Serie A, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 55 out of 100; worst La Liga at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST11956.3%67 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 119 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$940
Magic vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+56.3%+$7.88
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+122.2%+$28.11
Bulls vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$8
Kings vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+122.2%+$25.67
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+37%+$87.8
Trail Blazers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.22
Lakers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+47.1%+$8
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+81.8%+$22.91
Hornets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$770Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$769.76
Nets vs. Wizardsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$47.39
Celtics vs. Jazzbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,355Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+38.9%+$526.94
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+92.3%+$429.23
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,428Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$1,428
Pelicans vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$738Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+28.2%+$208.15
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,639Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$1,638.73
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$111
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+78.6%+$108.43
Grizzlies vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$108
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$88
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+108.3%+$105.08
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$359.76
Showing 25 of 119 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST6167.2%41 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$795Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+26.6%+$211.33
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+127.3%+$24.18
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$14.19
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.84
Will Everton FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+104.1%+$33.31
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+31.6%+$10.42
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$745Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$744.56
Will Chelsea FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$806Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+29.9%+$240.82
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$454Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$454
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$235
Will Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$575Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+35.1%+$202.03
Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$370
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+44.2%+$79.64
Will Chelsea win on 2025-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$81.43
Will Ipswich vs. Brentford end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+25%+$28.75
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-05-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$10.89
Will Aston Villa vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+33.4%+$69.3
Will Brentford vs. Brighton end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$72.03
Will Everton win on 2025-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$48.95
Will Manchester City win on 2025-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will Leicester vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+25%+$46.25
Will Fulham win on 2025-04-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+30.5%+$27.44
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST4156.1%23 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jackets vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+108.3%+$26
Islanders vs. Capitalsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Kings vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$8.58
Jets vs. Panthersbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+117.4%+$28.17
Jets vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$66
Predators vs. Bruinsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Bruins vs. Rangersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Islanders vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Utah vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+69.5%+$11.12
Golden Knights vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+122.2%+$42.78
Devils vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+112.8%+$24.81
Wild vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$174.84
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Sharks vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$22.77
Predators vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$183.82
Kraken vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$115
Jets vs. Utahbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Panthers vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$43.79
Blackhawks vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$22.55
Kraken vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.5
Jets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$19.59
Capitals vs. Bruinsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$6.35
Hurricanes vs. Sharksbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+30.1%+$84.16
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2365.2%15 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$16.71
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$22.67
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.95
Will Real Madrid beat PSG in regulation time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+45.1%+$179.92
FIFA Club World Cup: Real Madrid vs. Dortmund (To Advance) backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$15
FIFA Club World Cup: Inter Milan vs. Fluminense (To Advance)backed Inter Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Will Flamengo vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+40%+$151.83
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-05-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Barcelona win on 2025-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$10.23
Will Arsenal vs. Paris Saint Germain end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$20.22
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$11.75
Will Bayern Munich vs. Inter end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$50
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$158
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+54.5%+$23.77
Will Lille win on 2025-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+52.7%+$193.59
Will Liverpool win on 2025-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+73.1%+$202.87
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$139.08
Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will PSV Eindhoven win on 2025-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+31.6%+$9.47
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST+28.2%+$99.77
All 23 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2055%11 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$28.75
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$25.93
Browns vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$260
Colts vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+117.4%+$140.87
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$855Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+61.3%+$524.03
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,620Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,620
Bills vs. Texansbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Titans vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,015Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$269.81
Giants vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$748Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$290.89
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$35.6
Bills vs. Chiefsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$39
Chiefs vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+25.1%+$75.12
Lions vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$208
Raiders vs. Saintsbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+85.8%+$173.15
Titans vs. Jaguarsbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$209
49ers vs. Dolphinsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$42
Jaguars vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+86.9%+$48.69
Rams vs. Jetsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+133%+$77.12
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$42
Bills vs. Lionsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+127.3%+$133.64
All 20 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$18.22
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$168
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+59.2%+$15.4
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+122.2%+$24.44
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will BSC Young Boys win on 2025-09-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$45.26
Will Bodo/Glimt vs. Tottenham end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$832Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+32.7%+$272.24
Will Tottenham vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$108.24
Will Fenerbahce win on 2025-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$149.97
Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$211.64
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$201.5
Will Ajax vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+37%+$9.25
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Tottenham win on 2025-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9.82
Will Lyon win on 2025-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+81.3%+$136.63
All 16 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 6, 2025, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick57cpaid-41.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+31.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Paris Basketballbacked FC Bayern Munchen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+47.1%+$5.65
Panathinaikos vs. Real Madridbacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$10.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Alverca win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+100%+$19
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 12, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wings vs Feverbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$105
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.