TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will PSV Eindhoven win on 2025-03-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$93,425
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,460

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,425 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2863…0e3ebacked No77c11,081$8,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,499.721154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes26c9,615$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5004425%11 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked No74c7,377$5,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,917.845754.4%31 W · 26 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes9c6,725$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.5539842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No75c5,095$3,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.9936851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0e0…68a8backed Yes23c4,750$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092.51338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-43.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes25c4,142$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.6640222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009643.8%42 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No75c3,753$2,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.1619453.6%104 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes27c3,706$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005731.6%18 W · 39 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes22c3,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6604332.6%14 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+106.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99a3…0252backed Yes7c2,975$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick22cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No79c2,500$1,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52514953%79 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73cb…b0d0backed Yes21c2,473$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.093839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fa0…e7cfbacked Yes9c2,000$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed No76c2,000$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.762152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid+15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ead…cf47backed Yes22c1,555$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34250%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes25c1,554$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.473016.7%5 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes17c1,418$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.5113847.1%65 W · 73 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No75c1,027$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.2617658.5%103 W · 73 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed No77c999.95$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.996060%36 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06b0…afd6backed Yes8c997.01$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.271435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68e9…caf0backed Yes25c772.52$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.1320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes23c599.82$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.1138048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6178…f9a9backed No77c590.71$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.862100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x43c3…8371backed Yes12c488.1$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x143b…b2b4backed Yes25c486.52$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.63955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No77c439.13$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10120948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012230.3%37 W · 85 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x78a5…50b7backed Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9596…f5bfbacked Yes25c434.28$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.57450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No74c354.67$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.9646956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Yes26c354.26$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.7216836.3%61 W · 107 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d86…f0bbbacked No75c347.09$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.77785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick75cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa414…d03dbacked Yes25c320$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick21cpaid-67.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b6b…bfecbacked No77c291.16$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.97540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70aa…9d39backed Yes25c280$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8491…fe5dbacked Yes25c268$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6730%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa120…bc6dbacked Yes25c268$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04ef…c0f1backed Yes27c250.3$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38a0…16e9backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505614.3%8 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-39.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked No75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5012862.5%80 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Yes23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468040%32 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4623942.7%102 W · 137 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb318…8c95backed Yes24c194$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes7c193.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3124963.1%157 W · 92 L+45.5wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+63.6%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x1668…ebebbacked No76c188.8$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.31650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d22…9d0cbacked Yes25c187.68$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes24c187.5$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455242.3%22 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb0b7…af8bbacked Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501520%3 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x07cf…3094backed Yes25c179$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1950%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39e6…84ffbacked Yes24c178.13$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.75450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b23…e7ccbacked No76c176$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.24475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+69.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb297…24f0backed Yes24c170.79$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.99425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-46.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24e2…6c2ebacked No76c168.21$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.37520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.39per pick59cpaid-73.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ff9…4e59backed Yes25c162.2$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.55520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-57.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x855a…0985backed No76c159.82$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.36450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff7e…697fbacked No76c158.38$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.01683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick56cpaid+54.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes10c153.85$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.925735%90 W · 167 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Yes27c148.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011429.8%34 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa7…faa0backed No76c144$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8287…4684backed No76c141.13$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes25c140$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.429136.8%107 W · 184 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b6a…672bbacked No76c139.26$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.42666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05ca…50c3backed No76c135.71$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.57450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5818650.5%94 W · 92 L-14.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0102…e4d2backed No76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.58825%2 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-60.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x54f0…7a91backed Yes21c118.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.825625%14 W · 42 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x88cf…7d31backed Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222222.7%5 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-50.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8219…f1fabacked Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232015%3 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.18per pick33cpaid-73.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked No77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234050%20 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe896…938bbacked Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-43.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4043…5246backed Yes25c97$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.25250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf635…761bbacked No75c96.81$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick70cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Yes24c96.25$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.19538.9%37 W · 58 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cbb…dff8backed No77c94.49$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.73366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+31%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No73c84.09$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.744955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked No75c81$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2515153%80 W · 71 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8982…c934backed No77c79$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.17425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick65cpaid-67.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe31b…07e0backed Yes25c78.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-50.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No75c78$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6228357.2%162 W · 121 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x49f7…046bbacked No78c78$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.164158.5%24 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x237b…a9e5backed Yes25c77$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6173…4258backed Yes23c74$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.022035%7 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x219e…3be0backed No77c73.65$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7a…91f3backed Yes25c70$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x057c…5c07backed Yes24c69$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4fc…64d3backed Yes22c68.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf634…3c9ebacked Yes22c68.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick18cpaid-26%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…3822backed Yes26c67$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7924455.7%136 W · 108 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d4b…c5d4backed No79c65.57$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.77540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd3…f11cbacked Yes24c65.54$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.73742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7cd…9973backed Yes23c65.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed1e…abf7backed Yes24c65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a6…c820backed No75c64$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x679e…66d1backed Yes24c63.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.021637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c36…c0d5backed Yes24c62$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03b7…80e2backed Yes24c60$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48d0…fea8backed No77c55.86$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.