TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will PSV Eindhoven vs. Arsenal end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,876
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,740

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,876 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1321…1f21backed Yes27c10,021$2,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,705.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick19cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x91c5…8ed0backed No73c10,000$7,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,700.04250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x109f…4f0cbacked No72c2,600$1,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e55…e3b9backed Yes28c2,600$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes25c2,203$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.1236851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed No70c2,133$1,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.55853.4%31 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No71c1,817$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52712359.3%73 W · 50 L+12.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Yes4c1,779$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.179244.6%41 W · 51 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec2c…8f76backed Yes30c1,683$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No75c1,584$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.944955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc072…fe79backed Yes28c1,407$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ead…cf47backed Yes29c1,179$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34250%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes29c1,100$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810631.1%33 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No74c1,023$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.3846956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011218.8%21 W · 91 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-34.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0678…9fd0backed Yes29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2905038%19 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No71c899.8$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.738048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes27c798.02$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.4719453.6%104 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes29c691.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002528%7 W · 18 L-4.9wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-47.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9955…35b9backed No72c650$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1821100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2137…0677backed Yes6c628.88$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.72714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x471f…f60abacked No73c499.99$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1351376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick75cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes24c463.42$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.8639842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No71c378.76$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.8417658.5%103 W · 73 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked No74c359$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.615153%80 W · 71 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Yes27c355$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0216836.3%61 W · 107 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2105…64adbacked Yes28c353.26$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001540%6 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc167…4056backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+29.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70f5…53d2backed No72c322$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9e…0792backed Yes28c285.71$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No74c282$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.7228357.2%162 W · 121 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c12…39a8backed No72c263$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No74c254$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4938356.7%217 W · 166 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9cb…9bd6backed Yes28c226.57$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.44425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54f0…7a91backed Yes9c210.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205625%14 W · 42 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes29c206.9$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012230.3%37 W · 85 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No71c203.54$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9934449.7%171 W · 173 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf187…4bd9backed No72c203$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes27c194.15$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4229136.8%107 W · 184 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabdf…46e1backed Yes28c181$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89c6…7961backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-45%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0661…a72ebacked No74c164.84$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.861580%12 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19bf…bbfcbacked No72c150$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a58…5e2fbacked Yes27c142$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc03…e6c7backed No73c108$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ab7…7ad7backed No73c106$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.622100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9473…058fbacked Yes29c101.93$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.56450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Yes26c101$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.265754.4%31 W · 26 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.525735%90 W · 167 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88cf…7d31backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292222.7%5 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-50.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8cfa…12a3backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…1219backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273525.7%9 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x033f…53c8backed No71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Yes28c96.07$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.99538.9%37 W · 58 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadbd…7b97backed Yes27c87$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaa3…1ef8backed No75c82.8$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fc0…5cdbbacked Yes28c80$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.41428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-52.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5635…8eddbacked Yes27c78$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4da…428ebacked No75c77.81$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.45250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3051…1ff3backed Yes27c77$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57bb…7e33backed Yes27c76$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb5b…69ebbacked Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202931%9 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x090b…1e29backed No73c71$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.17250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick67cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…a327backed Yes27c68$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfbf…7271backed Yes27c68$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb60…09bdbacked No75c66.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.51580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+58%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe50…7f05backed Yes27c66$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f8…c2a6backed No73c65$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4093…a5dbbacked No73c64.38$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.38560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+37.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25de…a006backed Yes28c64.29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aa9…cf28backed Yes27c64$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5d…28a4backed Yes28c63$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x679e…66d1backed Yes29c62.34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.081637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcea6…e56abacked Yes27c62$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc96d…6df0backed Yes27c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x647f…0611backed Yes27c59$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f3…0ab3backed No73c59$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3363…77aebacked No73c58$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.662100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbca…7f63backed Yes27c56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x179b…674cbacked Yes28c55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe103…5f67backed Yes27c53$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bb8…7471backed No76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129341.9%39 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc930…0f33backed Yes28c49$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x080b…3fbdbacked Yes27c49$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8df7…6918backed Yes28c48$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08c8…df5bbacked Yes27c48$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77cd…454ebacked Yes27c43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22fa…3f15backed Yes27c42$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.34250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27c7…38c5backed Yes27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfe…1c14backed No72c37$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2603…15c4backed No73c35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89ce…9ef9backed No73c34$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.183100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+71.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5256…e3b3backed No73c34$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.182100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe54f…24d4backed No73c32$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x124b…c455backed No73c31$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.37250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf130…15eabacked No73c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebe3…5f31backed No73c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8f4…02c1backed No73c29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6417…a23ebacked No73c29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.832100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2536…8fe6backed No73c28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.