TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x89c6…7961

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
196
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Weather, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 54 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
F1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT3420.6%7 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.29
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.08
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16.81
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$18.55
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Will there be a red flag during the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+354.5%+$118.36
Will Lando Norris win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$35.25
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$28.65
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+900%+$450
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$65
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.69
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.8
Will George Russell win the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$522Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$521.87
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$175
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$726Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$725.67
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Hamilton vs. Leclercbacked Leclerc · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$245
Albon vs. Sainzbacked Sainz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+128.2%+$191
Hamilton vs. Russellbacked Russell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$70.76
Verstappen vs. Norris backed Verstappen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT219.5%2 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-63%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.54
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.8
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.75
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.28
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.09
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Greece finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+490.6%+$272.76
Will Poland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$88
Will San Marino finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.26
Will Ireland qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$154.25
Will Serbia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+85.7%+$127.46
Will Czechia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$119.86
Will Czechia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Will Lithuania qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.5
All 21 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT2025%5 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.77
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.02
LoL: GIANTX vs Shifters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.35
LoL: Fnatic vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
LoL: HMBLE vs Colossal Gaming (BO1) - LIT Regular Seasonbacked Colossal Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.94
LoL: Aeterna Esports vs GMBLERS ESPORTS (BO1) - LIT Regular Seasonbacked Aeterna Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.77
LoL: G2 NORD vs Eintracht Spandau (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.07
LoL: Apex Mission Impossible vs CCG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked CCG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$42.27
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$135.91
LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs HMBLE (BO1) - LIT Regular Seasonbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.92
LoL: Zena Esports vs Aeterna Esports (BO1) - LIT Regular Seasonbacked Zena Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.98
LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 1 Winnerbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.46
Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)backed Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+150.3%+$327.99
LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.47
Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.24
Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+88.3%+$290.31
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.27
LoL: SK Gaming vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.43
LoL: SK Gaming vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$266.04
All 20 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-50.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Djokovicbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$36.53
Lehecka vs. Sinner: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$134
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+163.2%+$186
ATP Washington D.C: Norrie vs. Musettibacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$951Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$950.6
Wimbledon Final – Alcaraz vs. Sinner backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$852Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$348
Wimbledon: Alcaraz vs. Fritz backed Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$117
Wimbledon: Cobolli vs. Djokovic backed Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$321
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Shelton backed Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$148.05
Wimbledon: Norrie vs. Alcaraz backed Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.15
Wimbledon: Shelton vs. Sonego backed Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$405.19
Wimbledon: De Minaur vs. Djokovic backed De Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$111.47
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$181.42
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.58
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Carlos Alcaraz vs. Jannik Sinnerbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$465.03
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST1428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-45%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$187.22
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Fluminense beat Chelsea in Regulation Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.92
Will Al Hilal beat Pachuca?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$152.47
Will Juventus beat Manchester City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.74
Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter Milanbacked Inter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$320
Will Barcelona win on 2025-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+88.7%+$177.36
Will Inter win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+73%+$105.5
Will Lille win on 2025-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$73.67
Will Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$28.09
Will PSV Eindhoven vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+143.9%+$81.1
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
All 14 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2025, EDT110%0 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Chess — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$274.81
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.64
Will Arjun Erigaisi win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.09
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.7
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.28
Will Maxime Vachier-Lagrave win the 2025 Chess.com Classic tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$91
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Chess.com Classic tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$129.82
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025 Chess.com Classic tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.91
Will Ian Nepomniachtchi win the 2025 Chess.com Classic tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.4
World Chess Championship 2024 Winnerbacked Ding · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$145
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2025, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win on 2025-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$340
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.68
Will Bournemouth vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Chelsea win on 2025-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$407Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+46.5%+$189.04
Will Tottenham win on 2025-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$180.69
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+203%+$40.61
Will Fulham win on 2025-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+29.9%+$23.9
Will Crystal Palace vs. Ipswich end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$46.08
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+345%+$232.58
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+36.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+518.9%+$880.35
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.65
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+164.4%+$98.64
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$729Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$478.39
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+219.6%+$85.38
All 10 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST100%0 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Olympics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$18.02
Will France win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.02
Will Netherlands win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$27.91
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$93.58
Will Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Women's 4 X 6km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will France win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Women's 4 X 6km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$69.19
Will Norway win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Women's 4 X 6km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$27.98
Will Johannes Lochner (GER) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Bobsled - 2 Man (Driver) at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$24.1
Will Troy Podmilsak (USA) win the gold medal for Ski Big Air - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$14.83
Will Matias Roche (FRA) win the gold medal for Ski Big Air - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10.16
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick12cpaid-19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid-69.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2025, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick24cpaid+10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Governor" at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.55
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 3+ times at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
Will Trump say "Obama" at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.41
Will Trump say "RFK" or "Kennedy" at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$134.34
Will Trump say "India" at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.85
Trump deportation executive order in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$130
Will Trump say "Biden" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Trump say "Kamala" in his speech after the election is called?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+781.8%+$350.77
All 8 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+217%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-39%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Senators vs. Capitalsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 5star vs Alter Ego (BO3) - BLAST Open Asian Qualifier Playoffsbacked 5star · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$28.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan beat Lazio?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST+81.8%+$225
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.71
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.