Champions League · resolved market
Will Juventus beat Manchester City?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30e65275d91a392c36e9a697ce3e9b565a5eabc9c44348e21638ffea9df3e9f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,820
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,258
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,820 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 79c | 8,109$6,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.96 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Yes | 9c | 3,247$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 21c | 3,123$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.1 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc1…9be6backed Yes | 20c | 3,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 22c | 2,668$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.55 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked Yes | 18c | 2,480$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.4 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a6…aac8backed Yes | 21c | 2,392$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.6 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 79c | 2,258$1,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.28 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 8c | 2,123$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.82 | 204 | 62.3%127 W · 77 L | +19.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfff7…c47fbacked Yes | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…e69dbacked Yes | 19c | 1,350$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.5 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 16c | 938.96$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.23 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d57…a418backed Yes | 19c | 935.95$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59a3…350ebacked Yes | 6c | 913.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.51 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 21c | 728.57$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 16c | 681.04$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.97 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked No | 79c | 648$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.08 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 79c | 627.14$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.07 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…5f5bbacked Yes | 20c | 596.67$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e8…0819backed Yes | 20c | 556.06$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c6…4162backed Yes | 21c | 519.96$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.59 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Yes | 18c | 432.1$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.1 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 26c | 415.23$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.86 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 79c | 319.18$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.21 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Yes | 19c | 318.52$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.52 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x89c6…7961backed Yes | 18c | 285.82$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…6939backed Yes | 20c | 260$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 79c | 244$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.24 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb59…48a1backed Yes | 21c | 214.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 22c | 205.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf488…b954backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06db…35f5backed Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 79c | 157.35$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 206 | 67.5%139 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…16d0backed Yes | 20c | 150.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 11c | 136.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 107 | 17.8%19 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf82…c406backed Yes | 23c | 128.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0790…fd72backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 79c | 121.52$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc281…7ebbbacked Yes | 17c | 105.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7717…4f58backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a3…ae13backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61c0…21febacked Yes | 18c | 86.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 79c | 84.55$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked No | 80c | 68.2$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…c476backed Yes | 20c | 66.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe407…c5f9backed Yes | 22c | 57.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…ee5cbacked Yes | 20c | 53.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Yes | 19c | 53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -7.7wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -57%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf431…6cd4backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 78c | 49.55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe681…f4d1backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 79c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf95b…1692backed No | 80c | 20.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 77c | 13.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Juventus beat Manchester City?this page
- Will Juventus vs. Manchester City end in a draw?No won
- Will Manchester City beat Juventus?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.