TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Manchester City beat Juventus?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$177,173
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$202,807

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,173 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc58d…9373backed Yes55c50,903$28,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,671.5712536.8%46 W · 79 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+33.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed No45c30,000$13,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,499.98740.2%35 W · 52 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+81%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3503…b8babacked No44c11,263$4,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,901.765448.1%26 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No44c10,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4005352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No30c9,910$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.5936851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes57c7,809$4,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,358.077042.9%30 W · 40 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed No35c7,633$2,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,651.8410736.4%39 W · 68 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No44c6,538$2,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,905.1412147.1%57 W · 64 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd59…c3a5backed Yes62c5,807$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,206.616232.3%20 W · 42 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No44c5,234$2,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,303.0410040%40 W · 60 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No43c5,000$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,15017853.9%96 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes55c4,786$2,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,153.517852.8%94 W · 84 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Yes54c3,593$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,652.943464.7%22 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes80c3,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6007548%36 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbc1…9be6backed No46c2,938$1,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,351.3920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No45c2,812$1,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,255.3429136.8%107 W · 184 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No47c2,801$1,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.5319453.6%104 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No43c2,629$1,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.2120948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes61c2,442$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.810931.2%34 W · 75 L-9.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x279a…c95fbacked No49c2,042$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick51cpaid-64.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes61c1,960$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.1626443.9%116 W · 148 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No47c1,852$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.4215442.9%66 W · 88 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60b2…c82fbacked Yes60c1,549$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.571877.8%14 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes56c1,481$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.2112848.4%62 W · 66 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x497f…fe58backed Yes58c1,349$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.631090%9 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick60cpaid+50.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x736f…d0c5backed Yes76c1,284$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.433265.6%21 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+24.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked No39c1,065$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.334330.2%13 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes54c1,058$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.1838935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No45c1,034$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.4838048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No45c1,000$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44534449.7%171 W · 173 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.49142.9%39 W · 52 L-9.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5d21…28ddbacked Yes56c917.64$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.761060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27a9…8781backed Yes56c908.43$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.716053.3%32 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fcb…0426backed Yes80c850.63$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.133666.7%24 W · 12 L+5.6wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa3d3…16d9backed No11c812.04$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.131533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+24.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No16c808.28$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.1230754.1%166 W · 141 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes56c803.57$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.5722054.1%119 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes62c743.13$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.4915250.7%77 W · 75 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked No22c582.12$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.9711132.4%36 W · 75 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Yes54c574.07$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.0715966.7%106 W · 53 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Yes61c572.13$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.137737.7%29 W · 48 L-8.6wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0107…96c5backed Yes54c460.08$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.64666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f93…e313backed No21c400$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843545.7%16 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed No44c399.99$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17613333.1%44 W · 89 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda10…ffeabacked Yes61c315.36$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.091770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed No32c307.94$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.32528%7 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96ac…633bbacked Yes54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa264…e26abacked Yes53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.023060%18 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+29.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No29c281.53$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9516036.9%59 W · 101 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.7314655.5%81 W · 65 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e42…b020backed Yes78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.412673.1%19 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Yes55c220.97$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.445444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadae…705fbacked Yes64c215.94$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.94333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-47.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes57c210.53$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.5316447.6%78 W · 86 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa73c…aea3backed Yes72c210.25$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.34250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-30.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4225450%127 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49f7…046bbacked Yes54c200$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934158.5%24 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3c2…4074backed Yes54c188.89$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.894344.2%19 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x048d…a493backed Yes55c184.18$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.881464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82b9…3e7ebacked No17c179.96$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.051241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6245…d3c0backed No44c179$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.663828.9%11 W · 27 L-7.9wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-51.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x7541…09d1backed Yes56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.574639.1%18 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe781…5e52backed Yes56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.572853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+123.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05c8…0de1backed Yes56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.571573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…6130backed No45c164.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.252857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes59c152.27$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.278543.5%37 W · 48 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6613538.5%52 W · 83 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x442a…7c94backed No15c149.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.55437%20 W · 34 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61c0…21febacked No27c147.72$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-38.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No46c118.52$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5219755.3%109 W · 88 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Yes53c115.13$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1111070%77 W · 33 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c65…845dbacked No44c113.07$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.751225%3 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-50.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4f36…4e9cbacked No45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503735.1%13 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3653…f695backed No45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15b3…9d9ebacked No44c109.36$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f3c…ceb7backed Yes80c108.68$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed Yes56c107.7$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.394266.7%28 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0890…ef85backed Yes80c107.44$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d5…ac1ebacked Yes57c103.88$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.673033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ab2…e698backed Yes66c101.43$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.334459.1%26 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Yes54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-37.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3a5…3249backed Yes53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed Yes54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461650%8 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x024f…daf0backed Yes57c98.25$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.25666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6222…825fbacked Yes56c96.43$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.43250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9d…a540backed No41c94.64$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.684647.8%22 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc444…ae19backed Yes53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.34728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-47.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2af2…3965backed Yes80c93.75$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.751181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick72cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a3c…a9a8backed Yes55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.912330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-44.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4116…330abacked No46c86.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-35.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa07e…9851backed Yes56c84.93$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.671471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+26.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ca7…ed82backed No23c83.44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.391369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick48cpaid+51.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0791…383cbacked Yes61c83.18$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.74540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-39.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed Yes80c81.29$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.262157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e77…cb47backed Yes53c77.21$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.29666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+66.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0466…1395backed Yes56c77.08$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No30c76.43$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6818758.8%110 W · 77 L+18.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+33.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x61cd…541ebacked Yes64c75.1$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.861369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c92…b9c9backed Yes55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.731758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c4b…a5d5backed Yes55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.731369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.