TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x06c6…4162

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
225
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst Middle East at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2025, EDT7560%45 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yankees vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+71.4%+$12.91
Rangers vs. Marinersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.85
Rangers vs. Marinersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+134.6%+$18.36
Yankees vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$9.5
Dodgers vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$8.4
Rangers vs. Marinersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.19
Rangers vs. Angelsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$16.56
Rays vs. Yankeesbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.6
Pirates vs. Giantsbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$13.52
Braves vs. Royalsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.55
Red Sox vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.32
Rangers vs. Angelsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.5
Rays vs. Yankeesbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.84
Blue Jays vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$14.7
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$13.86
Rangers vs. Angelsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Blue Jays vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT+100%+$16
Mets vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.28
Braves vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$19.04
Cubs vs. White Soxbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$13.2
Braves vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+128.4%+$20.8
Blue Jays vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.4
Guardians vs. Royalsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+70.9%+$16.6
Braves vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$9.02
Rockies vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.8
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2025, EDT5242.3%22 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance)backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.53
FIFA Club World Cup: Fluminense vs. Chelsea (To Advance) backed Fluminense · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
FIFA Club World Cup: Fluminense vs. Al Hilal (To Advance)backed Al Hilal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.18
FIFA Club World Cup: Dortmund vs. Monterrey (To Advance) backed Monterrey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.3
FIFA Club World Cup: Real Madrid vs. Juventus (To Advance) backed Juventus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.05
FIFA Club World Cup: Inter Milan vs. Fluminense (To Advance)backed Inter Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.5
FIFA Club World Cup: Flamengo vs. Bayern Munich (To Advance)backed Bayern Munich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$14
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Inter Miami (To Advance) backed Inter Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.8
FIFA Club World Cup: Benfica vs. Chelsea (To Advance)backed Benfica · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.55
Will Al Hilal beat Pachuca?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT+46%+$115.76
Will Juventus beat Manchester City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$107.59
Will Monterrey beat Urawa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+79.8%+$35.5
Will Inter Milan beat River Plate?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$35.1
Will Fluminense beat Mamelodi?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$29.9
Will Esperance Sportive beat Chelsea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.65
Will Bayern Munich beat Benfica?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Will FC Porto beat Al Ahly?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will Al Ahly beat FC Porto?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+37.8%+$16.59
Will Inter Miami beat Palmeiras?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$44
Will Atlético Madrid beat Botafogo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$37.9
Will Al Ain beat Manchester City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.64
Will RB Salzburg beat Al Hilal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+25%+$16.8
Will Pachuca beat Real Madrid?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+37%+$32.4
Will Real Madrid beat Pachuca?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+27.6%+$15.36
Will Juventus beat Wydad AC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$28
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2025, EDT5141.2%21 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP Toronto – Shelton vs. Fritzbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$21.35
ATP Toronto – De Minaur vs. Sheltonbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+42.2%+$5.64
ATP Toronto – Rublev vs. Fritzbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
ATP Toronto – Michelsen vs. Khachanovbacked Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.1
ATP Toronto – Zverev vs. Popyrinbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$10.4
ATP Toronto – Lehecka vs. Fritzbacked Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.3
ATP Toronto – Cobolli vs. Sheltonbacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.85
ATP Toronto – Rublev vs. Davidovich Fokinabacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+208.4%+$33.11
ATP Toronto – Zverev vs. Cerundolobacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$10
ATP Toronto – Nakashima vs. Sheltonbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
ATP Toronto – Rublev vs. Sonegobacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$9
ATP Toronto – Medvedev vs. Popyrinbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.8
ATP Kitzbuhel – Bublik vs. Cazauxbacked Cazaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
ATP Washington D.C – Medvedev vs. Moutetbacked Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$75.05
ATP Kitzbuhel – Cazaux vs. Rinderknechbacked Cazaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$17.6
ATP Washington D.C – Evans vs. Moutet backed Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$5.44
ATP Kitzbuhel: Cazaux vs. Busebacked Cazaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$25.5
Nordea Open: Darderi vs. De Jongbacked De Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.58
Swiss Open: Cerundolo vs. Bublikbacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.8
Nordea Open: Cerundolo vs. Darderi backed Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.78
Swiss Open: Kym vs. Cazauxbacked Cazaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+66.4%+$12.37
Swiss Open: Comesana vs. Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$15.4
Swiss Open: Cerundolo vs. Goffin backed Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$25.5
Wimbledon Final – Alcaraz vs. Sinner backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.9
Wimbledon Final – Anisimova vs. Swiatekbacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.8
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2025, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-39.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.8
Warriors vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$7.59
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.7
Hawks vs. Grizzliesbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+40.3%+$8.04
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.75
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.5
Kings vs. Cavaliersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+53.1%+$12.83
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.14
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$135.38
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$141.79
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+28.4%+$9.52
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$40.3
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.79
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick38cpaid-82%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick24cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-73.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-50.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$35.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$64.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Diddy convicted of a felony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 30–June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$109.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the UEFA Nations League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$93.15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.