TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

ATP Toronto – De Minaur vs. Shelton

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sheltonof De Minaur, Shelton
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,751
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,857

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,751 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4e94…6243backed Shelton50c23,852$12,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,844.6117833.1%59 W · 119 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed De Minaur59c8,105$4,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,774.1776146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ef4…412cbacked De Minaur29c6,680$1,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,910.84436.4%16 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked De Minaur60c6,439$3,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,863.5339144.2%173 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Shelton40c6,317$2,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,793.219935.4%35 W · 64 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf22e…f52cbacked De Minaur60c4,892$2,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,934.335525.5%14 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3868…5683backed De Minaur24c4,000$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.27330.1%22 W · 51 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Shelton39c2,697$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,637.0726039.2%102 W · 158 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69cd…06f3backed Shelton41c1,951$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.222045%9 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Shelton41c1,600$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94428828.5%82 W · 206 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Shelton42c1,522$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.985950.8%30 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Shelton41c1,394$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.9596035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed De Minaur40c1,274$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.3932141.1%132 W · 189 L-1.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Shelton41c1,220$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.5111060.9%67 W · 43 L+12.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+17.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked De Minaur35c1,173$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.4814540.7%59 W · 86 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Shelton39c1,122$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.581,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cd4…ce48backed Shelton41c1,049$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.789742.3%41 W · 56 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f47…120dbacked De Minaur59c1,020$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.85158.8%30 W · 21 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed De Minaur59c1,000$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.8215957.2%91 W · 68 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+18.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked De Minaur63c845.56$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.251,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked De Minaur57c840.35$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47962742.4%266 W · 361 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed De Minaur60c833.2$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9247639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Shelton67c746$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.471,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Shelton39c699.96$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.9829636.8%109 W · 187 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Shelton74c680$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.989130.8%28 W · 63 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e79…42e0backed De Minaur61c640.3$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.961546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0709…f2edbacked De Minaur61c628.09$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3838453.6%45 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed De Minaur60c570$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34215452.6%81 W · 73 L+10.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+26.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked De Minaur58c560$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.895140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8d7…7ad5backed De Minaur62c550$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.2520%1 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.43per pick63cpaid-66.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Shelton42c501.81$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.9528443%122 W · 162 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Shelton40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30081938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed De Minaur59c500$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.2516140.4%65 W · 96 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked De Minaur45c486.95$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22013356.4%75 W · 58 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Shelton68c442.35$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.943441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad98…8733backed Shelton41c412.2$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.24035%14 W · 26 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick24cpaid+33.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked De Minaur60c350$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21012954.3%70 W · 59 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked De Minaur61c327.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006535.4%23 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f0b…2305backed De Minaur60c324.61$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.773234.4%11 W · 21 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcbaa…59b8backed De Minaur47c319.35$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.6232448.1%156 W · 168 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed De Minaur62c301$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.384843.8%21 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Shelton53c300$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1408943.8%39 W · 50 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Shelton59c294$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.1462952.1%328 W · 301 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed De Minaur62c267.74$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1669149.5%45 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5555…d3d0backed De Minaur62c251.77$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.814151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe64f…5976backed Shelton40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15014940.9%61 W · 88 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b3a…df40backed Shelton40c249.48$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.6923847.1%112 W · 126 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed De Minaur61c246.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15017767.2%119 W · 58 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Shelton41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.948043.3%208 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Shelton41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.963942.4%271 W · 368 L+1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7665…f332backed Shelton41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.96844.1%30 W · 38 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Shelton54c223.81$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.8118543.2%80 W · 105 L-13.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed De Minaur61c215$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.155552.7%29 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1a8…3b1fbacked De Minaur62c206.39$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.22544%11 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed Shelton37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12615724.8%39 W · 118 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed De Minaur58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11617349.1%85 W · 88 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb90…1917backed Shelton39c199.99$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1221346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa405…4788backed Shelton41c182.93$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.93250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed De Minaur32c178.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9911927.7%33 W · 86 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed De Minaur62c177.42$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11012560%75 W · 50 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-12.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3233…2adcbacked De Minaur62c176.13$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.06955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed De Minaur60c166.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014343.4%62 W · 81 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8aea…c5f2backed De Minaur61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e3b…14fcbacked De Minaur62c162.9$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f4d…6be0backed De Minaur49c149.98$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.492045%9 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Shelton41c134.15$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.1573147.9%350 W · 381 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed Shelton38c129.03$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8020431.4%64 W · 140 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0667…42e1backed De Minaur62c127.4$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.938351.8%43 W · 40 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99fc…ec26backed Shelton41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9564540.2%259 W · 386 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed De Minaur60c116.67$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7038356.9%218 W · 165 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc287…f30dbacked De Minaur61c114$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.543253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…060ebacked De Minaur10c110$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-43.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8330…b3b1backed Shelton40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6037233.9%126 W · 246 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f8…0ff2backed De Minaur60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-40.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Shelton38c99.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.9922840.4%92 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3823…2784backed De Minaur62c81.45$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.532161.7%198 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Shelton39c80$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.828747.7%137 W · 150 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed Shelton40c75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4512852.3%67 W · 61 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fdb…7ea3backed Shelton40c66.67$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-40.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed De Minaur61c65.04$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed De Minaur20c62$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1726746.1%123 W · 144 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed6…a111backed De Minaur60c60.32$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.193063.3%19 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e17…e4d4backed De Minaur61c54.02$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9515961%97 W · 62 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f1…1ebdbacked De Minaur60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7580…cb71backed De Minaur62c49.3$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.574751.1%24 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc921…5279backed De Minaur62c48.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Shelton43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.511,25850%629 W · 629 L-4.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Shelton48c44.52$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.012,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x863a…2b7bbacked De Minaur60c43.33$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd3a…0898backed De Minaur60c41.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Shelton40c37.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.525152.6%132 W · 119 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ca…198bbacked Shelton38c35$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.75459.3%32 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79b6…612ebacked De Minaur60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207565.3%49 W · 26 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaece…c992backed De Minaur61c33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.132955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Shelton54c30.57$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9510651.9%55 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddbc…28c3backed Shelton41c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.716761.1%102 W · 65 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-7.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Shelton69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9912253.3%65 W · 57 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x60d4…f1e4backed De Minaur64c23.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153360.6%20 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked De Minaur60c23.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146154.1%33 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid+2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed De Minaur60c22.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.52450%12 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+27.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.