MLB · resolved market
Guardians vs. Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c925bbc4eb48f7757d830a909ad17287480b42f8d9782f0718cffb6176d8980
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Royalsof Guardians, Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $161,026
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $165,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,026 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Royals | 52c | 23,965$12,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,523.65 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Guardians | 48c | 19,353$9,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,287.3 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc4…f94fbacked Guardians | 47c | 14,064$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600.18 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Guardians | 49c | 11,316$5,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,535.82 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfab1…aa13backed Guardians | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Royals | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.32 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Royals | 52c | 4,091$2,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,963.55 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Guardians | 51c | 3,851$1,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963.82 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Guardians | 45c | 3,113$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.17 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Guardians | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Guardians | 50c | 2,473$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.27 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Royals | 53c | 2,334$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.07 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda7…e11fbacked Guardians | 73c | 2,240$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee1…dae8backed Guardians | 47c | 2,211$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.31 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…79e6backed Guardians | 3c | 2,099$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Royals | 52c | 2,077$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.09 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Guardians | 41c | 1,839$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.68 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Royals | 52c | 1,698$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.82 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Guardians | 44c | 1,641$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.8 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Guardians | 48c | 1,536$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.97 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Guardians | 40c | 1,410$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Royals | 51c | 1,284$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.05 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Guardians | 48c | 1,254$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.85 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Royals | 55c | 907.27$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.27 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Royals | 51c | 871.2$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.89 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Guardians | 48c | 870$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.6 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Guardians | 49c | 816.02$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Guardians | 54c | 724.28$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.11 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Guardians | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0447…60abbacked Guardians | 79c | 704.94$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef69…a854backed Royals | 52c | 684.07$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.35 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Guardians | 32c | 672.57$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.11 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Guardians | 67c | 662$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.16 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Guardians | 77c | 522.3$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Guardians | 48c | 499.98$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Royals | 73c | 462.86$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.86 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Royals | 52c | 426.92$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.92 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…76c1backed Guardians | 49c | 420.41$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -16.8wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Guardians | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…b932backed Guardians | 41c | 405.45$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.89 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Guardians | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Guardians | 48c | 400$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Royals | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…0f19backed Guardians | 50c | 378.57$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Guardians | 47c | 370.01$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.11 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Royals | 52c | 335.99$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.28 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Guardians | 48c | 333$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Royals | 52c | 320.83$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255e…4979backed Guardians | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Guardians | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Royals | 51c | 299.98$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e9…c21ebacked Royals | 51c | 290$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.1 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f8…a8cfbacked Guardians | 76c | 288.04$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Guardians | 47c | 286.79$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.69 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Guardians | 48c | 280$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Guardians | 37c | 272.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa21d…a769backed Royals | 67c | 250.48$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.66 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Royals | 52c | 239.98$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.99 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf15a…6df2backed Guardians | 64c | 236.1$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Guardians | 48c | 222$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Guardians | 49c | 212.24$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Royals | 54c | 209.68$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.65 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Guardians | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Guardians | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Guardians | 49c | 204.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…005fbacked Guardians | 76c | 200$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Royals | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Guardians | 48c | 184.95$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.78 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc12…1e02backed Guardians | 70c | 176$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…9d12backed Guardians | 50c | 170$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Royals | 67c | 168.46$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c1…d67bbacked Guardians | 53c | 156.79$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.36 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Guardians | 47c | 154.68$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.7 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Guardians | 53c | 150$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.22 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Guardians | 37c | 150$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…7be7backed Guardians | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Guardians | 78c | 145.02$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.81 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf521…fca3backed Guardians | 48c | 143.75$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0d…786fbacked Royals | 66c | 140$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…ba10backed Guardians | 42c | 135.88$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed Guardians | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Guardians | 48c | 133.33$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Guardians | 39c | 126.19$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…2018backed Guardians | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Royals | 52c | 122$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.56 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…4493backed Royals | 54c | 110$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bed…4eb5backed Royals | 65c | 108.63$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…2223backed Guardians | 78c | 107.69$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -5.0wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9523…7174backed Guardians | 48c | 106.26$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3d…d8d1backed Guardians | 24c | 100.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Guardians | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5930…f3fdbacked Guardians | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58ed…566abacked Guardians | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5d…1fd4backed Guardians | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb861…4c35backed Guardians | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c4…25e7backed Guardians | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8173…ae04backed Guardians | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Guardians | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…d9d7backed Guardians | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…1ccfbacked Royals | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.