TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7320…79e6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Fed Rates, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fed Rates at 54 out of 100; worst College Football at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 16, 2025, EDT3354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Braves vs. Nationalsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+59%+$41.29
Brewers vs. Rangersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Cubs vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+104.3%+$42.76
Guardians vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$309.34
Tigers vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+31%+$65.91
White Sox vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$48.1
Rangers vs. Marinersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Orioles vs. Cubsbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.01
Giants vs. Metsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$15.19
Brewers vs. Nationalsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$6.19
Royals vs. Blue Jaysbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$14.58
Yankees vs. Marlinsbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Twins vs. Guardiansbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$15.83
Dodgers vs. Raysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$5.92
Astros vs. Red Soxbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Diamondbacks vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Cardinals vs. Padresbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$92.79
White Sox vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Rangers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$5,283Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,283.35
Orioles vs. Cubsbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.96
Braves vs. Redsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$597Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+43.9%+$262.12
Rays vs. Yankeesbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Pirates vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$659Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$658.52
Diamondbacks vs. Tigersbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Blue Jays vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT+101.4%+$91.26
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-47.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+27.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 9, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vikings vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.98
Texans vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$3.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$572Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$645.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Pipsqueak+4backed Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$6.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Sep 10, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Yemen by September 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Angers SCO win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Earthquake 7.0 or above by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.66
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.