MLB · resolved market
Orioles vs. Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2d94dad11a8ca88f8f7d58641cecc8c0ac9e7a8f602dd3b0a3efa9d644eaf5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof Orioles, Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,019
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $165,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,019 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Cubs | 63c | 30,300$19,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,210.99 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Orioles | 36c | 16,498$5,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,961.85 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Cubs | 66c | 6,367$4,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,140.15 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Orioles | 37c | 5,530$2,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,071.52 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe84…779ebacked Orioles | 38c | 5,077$1,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.26 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cubs | 62c | 5,064$3,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.38 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Orioles | 34c | 3,481$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.99 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…9bf2backed Cubs | 62c | 3,444$2,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.72 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Cubs | 63c | 3,186$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.32 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Orioles | 35c | 2,361$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.63 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Orioles | 31c | 1,880$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.04 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Orioles | 38c | 1,843$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.03 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Cubs | 67c | 1,581$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.56 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cubs | 61c | 1,131$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.15 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Orioles | 37c | 1,103$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.11 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Cubs | 78c | 1,100$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Orioles | 37c | 1,100$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.99 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Orioles | 37c | 1,050$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.37 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Orioles | 22c | 1,003$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.28 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3217…7d40backed Cubs | 64c | 937.6$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.07 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Cubs | 62c | 798$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.24 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Orioles | 37c | 790$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.3 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Orioles | 30c | 788.46$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.47 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1957…7656backed Orioles | 13c | 784.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Cubs | 67c | 669.69$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.39 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Orioles | 34c | 601.47$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.47 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Orioles | 16c | 576.92$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…d9d7backed Orioles | 39c | 505.23$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.99 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Orioles | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Orioles | 21c | 480.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Orioles | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef69…a854backed Cubs | 67c | 450.09$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.09 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Cubs | 73c | 421.53$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.96 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dde…8a88backed Orioles | 33c | 418.9$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.33 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Orioles | 37c | 409.98$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.69 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Cubs | 65c | 369.07$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.16 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Orioles | 36c | 349.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6f…56ecbacked Orioles | 32c | 342.71$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Orioles | 38c | 342$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.96 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Orioles | 19c | 329$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.25 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Orioles | 39c | 327.18$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.6 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Orioles | 36c | 320.63$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.43 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cubs | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Cubs | 62c | 299.99$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.99 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Orioles | 37c | 299.98$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Orioles | 36c | 295.96$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.33 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Cubs | 63c | 286$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.82 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Orioles | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Cubs | 63c | 257.14$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.14 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…1174backed Cubs | 69c | 242.06$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.51 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…ad5ebacked Orioles | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Orioles | 35c | 228.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Orioles | 39c | 224.26$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.46 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Orioles | 35c | 214.41$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…9d12backed Cubs | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Orioles | 37c | 199.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Orioles | 38c | 195$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Orioles | 16c | 188$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Cubs | 75c | 186.25$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 145 | 65.5%95 W · 50 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Cubs | 62c | 185.79$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.24 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Orioles | 34c | 176.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Orioles | 38c | 163.16$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Cubs | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…da2cbacked Cubs | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Cubs | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 217 | 53.9%117 W · 100 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cubs | 63c | 157.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.82 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Cubs | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdd…742dbacked Orioles | 24c | 137.54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.19 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Orioles | 24c | 136.16$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Orioles | 35c | 132.63$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.42 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba6…09eabacked Orioles | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Orioles | 40c | 130.68$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.27 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Orioles | 19c | 129.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cubs | 65c | 121$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.75 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Cubs | 65c | 121$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.75 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Cubs | 63c | 120$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe7…2876backed Orioles | 26c | 116.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b890backed Cubs | 65c | 116$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 161 | 62.1%100 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75b6…8ad0backed Orioles | 27c | 115.16$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Orioles | 9c | 111.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Cubs | 65c | 111.49$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Cubs | 63c | 110.41$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Orioles | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1affbacked Orioles | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Orioles | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd32…c9c1backed Orioles | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Orioles | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Orioles | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec0…40dabacked Orioles | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed Cubs | 64c | 96.88$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Orioles | 37c | 91.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Orioles | 31c | 88.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…79e6backed Orioles | 39c | 87.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.01 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Orioles | 24c | 81.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Orioles | 32c | 79.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7d…7e36backed Cubs | 64c | 77.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Orioles | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Orioles | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Orioles | 25c | 66.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…3237backed Orioles | 38c | 66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.