TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3217…7d40

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
140
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: La Liga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT2347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$609Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$609.25
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Sean O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$494Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$131.45
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Derrick Lewis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Bo Nickal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$119.76
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Diego Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$162.05
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perrybacked Diaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.82
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Arnold Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$63.22
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Daniel Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC Fight Night: Modestas Bukauskas vs. Christian Edwards (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Modestas Bukauskas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$14.05
UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Malcolm Wellmaker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC Fight Night: Bernardo Sopaj vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Bernardo Sopaj · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
UFC Fight Night: Khaos Williams vs. Nikolay Veretennikov (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Nikolay Veretennikov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
UFC Fight Night: Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Ivan Erslan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.07
UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Vieira vs. Jacqueline Cavalcanti (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Jacqueline Cavalcanti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
UFC Fight Night: Cody Brundage vs. Andre Petroski (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Andre Petroski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC Fight Night: Tommy Gantt vs. Artur Minev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Tommy Gantt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$33.75
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Daniel Barez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Alice Ardelean · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.06
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+136.4%+$136.42
UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+900%+$900
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Khamzat Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Gilbert Burns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.69
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$676Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$675.91
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$984Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$838.18
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$200
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+105.1%+$29.54
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$36.08
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.6
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 201.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.6
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 204.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$52.48
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.66
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$18.86
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.68
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$79.99
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$450
Will Tyrese Haliburton Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.51
NBA Finals: Will any game go to overtime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$145.4
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$99
All 22 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.36
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.88
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$20.01
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$35.9
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$153
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.48
Set Handicap: Starodubtseva (-1.5) vs Wang (+1.5)backed Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.57
Roland Garros WTA: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Set Handicap: Navone (-1.5) vs Tien (+1.5)backed Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.01
Geneva Open: Mariano Navone vs Learner Tienbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Navone (+1.5)backed Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$22.66
Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Svitolina (+1.5)backed Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$47.18
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$43.17
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.71
Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Svitolina (+1.5)backed Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7.43
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elina Svitolina vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.03
Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Pegula (+1.5)backed Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$11.34
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Frances Tiafoe vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.18
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-58.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.86
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.3
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$67.27
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Benjamin Sesko: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$117.46
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.97
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Rockies vs. Diamondbacksbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$366.28
Phillies vs. Rangersbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$215.87
Tigers vs. Philliesbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$435.2
Cardinals vs. Padresbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$223.79
Diamondbacks vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$111.14
Rangers vs. Marinersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.09
Orioles vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+56.4%+$338.07
Royals vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$105.53
Twins vs. Guardiansbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$67.58
Astros vs. Red Soxbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.22
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.36
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$42.54
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$42.78
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$26.4
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$11.25
Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$92.93
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.39
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 9 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-43.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+65.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$322.81
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+231.4%+$693.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Firebacked Supah Hot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$22.75
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoevenbacked Rico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$43.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.92
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$68.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$44.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 12, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,099.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.