Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99804d5dd0fc8b7da6facd1a39bfb56f70b8fa418e42539b22514fd510e900e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Burnley FCof Arsenal FC, Burnley FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $197,968
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $205,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $197,968 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Burnley FC | 36c | 25,880$9,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,605.1 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…b9f0backed Arsenal FC | 73c | 21,060$15,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,364.85 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Arsenal FC | 62c | 18,354$11,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,412.98 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Burnley FC | 25c | 16,928$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,627.84 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Burnley FC | 28c | 16,678$4,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,026.79 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c58…a5a1backed Arsenal FC | 75c | 15,000$11,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,250 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Burnley FC | 29c | 13,272$3,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,451.55 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Burnley FC | 27c | 13,149$3,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,662.29 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Burnley FC | 28c | 9,177$2,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,607.41 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Burnley FC | 28c | 8,970$2,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,467.03 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed Arsenal FC | 74c | 8,076$5,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,976.23 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Arsenal FC | 71c | 6,782$4,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,815.33 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Arsenal FC | 60c | 6,112$3,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,652.34 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Arsenal FC | 72c | 4,418$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Burnley FC | 32c | 3,652$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,482.11 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x046b…340dbacked Arsenal FC | 74c | 3,365$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…7f92backed Arsenal FC | 75c | 3,316$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 76cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28d7…89edbacked Arsenal FC | 69c | 3,000$2,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Arsenal FC | 73c | 2,800$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Arsenal FC | 71c | 2,400$1,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,706.98 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Arsenal FC | 72c | 2,306$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668.11 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Burnley FC | 41c | 2,198$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.76 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Burnley FC | 38c | 2,062$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.45 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Arsenal FC | 73c | 1,918$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.14 | 210 | 56.7%119 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Burnley FC | 43c | 1,761$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.4 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4e…6478backed Arsenal FC | 51c | 1,558$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b71…c4d0backed Arsenal FC | 56c | 1,420$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Arsenal FC | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Arsenal FC | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Arsenal FC | 73c | 1,363$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69e3…761fbacked Arsenal FC | 73c | 1,261$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.54 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Burnley FC | 28c | 1,246$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.44 | 173 | 39.9%69 W · 104 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…b1eebacked Arsenal FC | 75c | 1,223$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.3 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Arsenal FC | 64c | 1,213$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.59 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Arsenal FC | 61c | 1,197$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.88 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Arsenal FC | 58c | 1,174$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Arsenal FC | 69c | 1,165$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Burnley FC | 29c | 1,068$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.96 | 240 | 47.5%114 W · 126 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…d445backed Arsenal FC | 53c | 1,064$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Arsenal FC | 54c | 1,007$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.98 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19f6…8e50backed Burnley FC | 29c | 903.52$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Burnley FC | 37c | 902.7$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.7 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb2…d2c3backed Arsenal FC | 62c | 900$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Arsenal FC | 72c | 846.35$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.38 | 144 | 63.2%91 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Burnley FC | 31c | 826.69$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.24 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Arsenal FC | 72c | 760.73$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Arsenal FC | 56c | 739.94$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Arsenal FC | 73c | 734.69$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.32 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Arsenal FC | 71c | 726.54$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.84 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Arsenal FC | 63c | 718.72$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…41b4backed Arsenal FC | 72c | 702.78$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Arsenal FC | 72c | 700$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1f…e7ccbacked Arsenal FC | 74c | 655.12$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…2f90backed Arsenal FC | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…bea8backed Arsenal FC | 73c | 575.34$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Burnley FC | 26c | 572.68$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.78 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Burnley FC | 27c | 566.81$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.56 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4493…6ae9backed Arsenal FC | 74c | 540.54$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Burnley FC | 27c | 524.24$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.56 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Burnley FC | 27c | 503.88$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.83 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9e…3fbcbacked Burnley FC | 27c | 484.89$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Arsenal FC | 63c | 471.35$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.75 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Burnley FC | 27c | 462.96$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.96 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x565a…3207backed Burnley FC | 41c | 443$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Burnley FC | 29c | 434.21$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.29 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Burnley FC | 28c | 425.92$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.04 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Arsenal FC | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3f…32b2backed Arsenal FC | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed Arsenal FC | 60c | 413.85$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.45 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x86c3…2020backed Arsenal FC | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Burnley FC | 37c | 408.76$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.76 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Burnley FC | 25c | 403.3$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.68 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3217…7d40backed Arsenal FC | 74c | 401.76$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.3 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Arsenal FC | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 102 | 21.6%22 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Burnley FC | 29c | 400$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3a…8ab7backed Arsenal FC | 74c | 399.49$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200d…895abacked Burnley FC | 64c | 377.87$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Burnley FC | 26c | 377.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.49 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Burnley FC | 27c | 372.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.85 | 288 | 59.7%172 W · 116 L | +19.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Burnley FC | 25c | 362.26$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.04 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c2…1e3abacked Arsenal FC | 71c | 350.7$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea3…a8aebacked Arsenal FC | 56c | 337.42$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Arsenal FC | 72c | 321$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.12 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Arsenal FC | 74c | 310.81$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Burnley FC | 32c | 309.8$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.78 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Burnley FC | 31c | 308.96$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.24 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Arsenal FC | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f4…a47fbacked Arsenal FC | 74c | 306.03$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Burnley FC | 28c | 300$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Burnley FC | 32c | 297.8$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79f7…ef5bbacked Arsenal FC | 70c | 284.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6947…d21bbacked Arsenal FC | 73c | 279.26$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Arsenal FC | 73c | 278.42$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.25 | 206 | 51.9%107 W · 99 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Burnley FC | 36c | 277.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.7 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e86…b58abacked Burnley FC | 27c | 274.07$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.07 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Arsenal FC | 73c | 272.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Burnley FC | 28c | 270.55$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.58 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f42…0524backed Arsenal FC | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f7…7647backed Arsenal FC | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Arsenal FC | 13c | 264.35$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)this page
- Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Burnley FC won
- Spread: Burnley FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Burnley FC (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.