TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$190,831
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$204,153

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,831 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 250 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8f3c…2f57backed Over65c20,000$13,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,069.672045%9 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked Under52c18,234$9,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,749.443351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Under33c15,000$4,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,049.8931947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over51c9,889$4,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,996.456,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5234…4c4fbacked Over68c5,490$3,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,733.26742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Under32c5,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,40013630.9%42 W · 94 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x33d9…d857backed Over70c4,303$3,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,012.07742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over59c3,552$2,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,086.5714463.2%91 W · 53 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under47c3,310$1,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,765.9375542.3%319 W · 436 L+1.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc62d…8fd8backed Over45c2,526$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.741643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under44c2,371$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.034,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over51c2,358$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20010338.8%40 W · 63 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6afc…f7ddbacked Over44c2,273$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.92152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under52c1,878$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.951,61534.9%564 W · 1,051 L-28.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc94a…d6c6backed Over52c1,798$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under49c1,779$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.9181234.7%282 W · 530 L-24.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4538…7d5cbacked Under66c1,746$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.56650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Over56c1,668$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.454040%16 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Under30c1,667$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.914138.3%54 W · 87 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Over14c1,544$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.5611437.7%43 W · 71 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over56c1,528$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.7877236.4%281 W · 491 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over54c1,469$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.2545249.6%224 W · 228 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under60c1,019$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.426139.3%24 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004938.8%19 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over67c999.99$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.9920040.5%81 W · 119 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Over5c910.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505635.7%20 W · 36 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x20c1…df04backed Over33c909.58$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30040%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Over43c887.99$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.844151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under43c871.7$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.7838649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under52c852.56$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.431,92342.4%815 W · 1,108 L-42.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under30c828.56$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.092,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over68c800$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54455351.9%287 W · 266 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over55c799.97$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.983655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over59c754.08$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.626451.6%33 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over54c731.55$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.4269742.5%296 W · 401 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad59…cb41backed Over70c719.99$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under45c710.36$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.0874644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbef…0c11backed Over71c704.23$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001275%9 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x034a…e968backed Under30c666.65$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.65475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+69.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a7a…7f10backed Under42c647.62$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.622100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+89.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Under43c625.12$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.3210634%36 W · 70 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over62c613.92$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.5716232.1%52 W · 110 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+19.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1d33…4af5backed Over63c603.17$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3803043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f83…0e8dbacked Under31c576.98$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.62520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-36.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over67c555$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.8529250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Under28c554.92$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.9212652.4%66 W · 60 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under37c540.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.5410850.9%55 W · 53 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93b2…34b5backed Over61c521.81$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.7728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-44.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over70c514.33$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.0385048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Over59c508.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006240.3%25 W · 37 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8374…f183backed Over64c472.09$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-41.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e7d…fa81backed Under58c447.67$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.21650%8 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+41.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67ff…3214backed Over25c445.76$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.4460%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over36c420$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.210221.6%22 W · 80 L-0.1wins0.00per pick22cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa68…8d45backed Over48c416.77$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-42.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9fae…0d19backed Under55c405.47$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over68c400.1$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.079345.2%42 W · 51 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Under33c369.7$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.72045%9 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+28.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Under41c363.64$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.553548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under31c360.44$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.3357847.8%276 W · 302 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbf6…0c70backed Under33c335.04$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.04633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+70.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb15c…604abacked Under30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.33757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+95.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under56c333$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.524143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Over57c310.71$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.05520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under44c305.39$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.1795332.5%310 W · 643 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Under33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.032653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0276…8454backed Under33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.032657.7%15 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54a2…5dfebacked Under33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.033246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.034254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7c2…190dbacked Over14c296.57$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.521637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd6b…ca1bbacked Over56c285.71$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f42…0524backed Over71c281.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ad7…49e0backed Under45c267.72$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.96742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over72c266.17$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.31,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e8a…acc5backed Over59c265.31$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.531060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54f6…b0f2backed Over71c261.04$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.34250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bcb…f3afbacked Over70c254.29$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1782147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75f1…907dbacked Over65c253$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.45520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-73%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed Under54c250$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x156e…cf6fbacked Over68c247.54$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.332330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e28…2ef4backed Under77c245.03$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4691…2a8abacked Over56c232.57$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.241540%6 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1468…2ca9backed Over44c226.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008122.2%18 W · 63 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over46c208.33$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.83425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23e4…e501backed Under29c206.9$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.92259.1%13 W · 9 L+4.8wins+0.22per pick37cpaid+93.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x24a3…7c66backed Over48c204.17$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Under30c200$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14035028.9%101 W · 249 L-19.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x55ab…40e8backed Under30c200$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1402138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over54c199.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.995754.4%31 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over44c195.6$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.137759.7%46 W · 31 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over71c190.33$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.41,16157.4%666 W · 495 L+40.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under31c184.03$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.651,58953.3%847 W · 742 L+39.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfcd…36dfbacked Under36c179.27$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.741752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…f401backed Over68c168.54$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.611369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+48%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c44…4b9dbacked Under30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+70.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08be…bea8backed Over69c166.67$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1153450%17 W · 17 L-4.7wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe582…7fd5backed Over60c166.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aa2…dc0abacked Over64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001163.6%7 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Over32c155.48$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.24134.1%14 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.