TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$135,021
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$168,238

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,021 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1420…9daabacked Over19c10,427$2,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,032.3210636.8%39 W · 67 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-29.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Under73c6,754$4,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,795.448949.4%44 W · 45 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over18c5,623$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.266,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over27c5,556$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50020545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over11c4,286$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.711,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Over26c4,024$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.1715233.6%51 W · 101 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe062…f949backed Under73c3,425$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.66771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed Over31c3,374$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.83357.6%19 W · 14 L+6.3wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+52.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under79c2,944$2,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.2288635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over27c2,857$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.759247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f8…d85abacked Under72c2,761$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over27c2,207$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.8685048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Under70c2,171$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.4320447.1%96 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked Under69c1,723$1,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.172040%8 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-35.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under69c1,565$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.281,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ad…eb58backed Under72c1,540$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.01250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c0b…bfc2backed Under75c1,500$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over29c1,400$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.9955751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b2f…cb55backed Under75c1,328$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfda…4fe6backed Over30c1,313$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.796346%29 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Under73c1,183$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.8322356.5%126 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc061…2336backed Under72c1,042$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.672050%10 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…98e3backed Under72c983.05$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.251172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+31.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Over28c982.9$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.6211437.7%43 W · 71 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over11c742.28$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.448950.1%245 W · 244 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bf0…72cebacked Over27c666.66$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a59…ba82backed Under75c600$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1503342.4%14 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-30.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under71c548.77$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.6157833%191 W · 387 L-29.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under75c500$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12610874.1%80 W · 28 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5113…f0babacked Over19c499.99$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954632.6%15 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over26c471.02$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.0941850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x340b…3efbbacked Over29c469.83$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.251010%1 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick33cpaid-80.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under69c463.71$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.754845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Over26c452.31$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.62653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6e46…60d6backed Under73c410$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.76960.9%42 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Over28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1124533.3%15 W · 30 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Over31c373.86$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.415635.7%20 W · 36 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Over28c360$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.85238.5%20 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over30c339.93$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.419724.7%24 W · 73 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9aa1…36f6backed Under76c333$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.46757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick70cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over30c316.67$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9535428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7816232.1%52 W · 110 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+19.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over17c299.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5110221.6%22 W · 80 L-0.1wins0.00per pick22cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Under72c298.61$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.615271.2%37 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under74c270.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4110850.9%55 W · 53 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under73c267.3$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.1775850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Under70c266.86$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.39850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7418…3f31backed Under75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.674959.2%29 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over28c250.1$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.751,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over27c250$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4333551.3%172 W · 163 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over14c250$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.577336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over13c222$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.863522.9%8 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Over11c218$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.944040%16 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68b3…97c8backed Under75c212.1$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.02560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over27c200.19$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.059345.2%42 W · 51 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under70c200.01$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.954852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e10…1186backed Under69c199.94$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.981353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick65cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c31…23cbbacked Under74c196.97$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.21771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7a6…aed7backed Under72c193.06$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.062788.9%24 W · 3 L+5.3wins+0.20per pick69cpaid+28.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed Over26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507436.5%27 W · 47 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over21c190$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.911839.8%47 W · 71 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4ec…1cc8backed Over27c178.48$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.191625%4 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-39.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd130…5863backed Under73c175.52$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.39771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+49.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509957.6%57 W · 42 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under77c162.64$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.911,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed Over26c153.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408536.5%31 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-1.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over28c149.98$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7439651.5%204 W · 192 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Over32c147.47$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.193215.6%5 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over15c142.37$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6922645.6%103 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf22b…8f84backed Under72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.891464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd043…9ce2backed Under73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.99580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1428859.7%172 W · 116 L+19.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x219a…a647backed Under75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.336363.5%40 W · 23 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2bea…c4b2backed Under75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.333357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e1b…94b2backed Under72c130$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.41668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x414c…f10bbacked Under73c128.53$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+73%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1413…4bddbacked Under75c126.67$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6720059.5%119 W · 81 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371e…0f81backed Under75c112.85$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.213956.4%22 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Under74c109.59$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.496338.1%24 W · 39 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-25.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked Over29c106.86$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.994526.7%12 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69e7…7cb7backed Under71c104$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.165662.5%35 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over28c101$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2827752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f42…a8febacked Under72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Under72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2819834.8%69 W · 129 L-17.3wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-26.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x811c…fd36backed Under75c93.33$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.334168.3%28 W · 13 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Over23c92$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.214330.2%13 W · 30 L-5.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-37.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa144…fc6cbacked Under70c85.71$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.717100%7 W · 0 L+3.3wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+119.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Under70c85.31$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.319858.2%57 W · 41 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over23c84$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3218842.6%80 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over15c82.93$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2936545.2%165 W · 200 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44ab…e7b6backed Under73c82.15$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.183650%18 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72ee…a848backed Under71c72.72$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.767948.1%38 W · 41 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Over28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209955.6%55 W · 44 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x49fa…6eebbacked Under74c70$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.28per pick59cpaid+37.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Over29c63.61$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2815046%69 W · 81 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1db…1619backed Over25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-57.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under71c59.75$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4422049.1%108 W · 112 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a84…4406backed Over28c55.84$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.711154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.