TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9aa1…36f6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
144
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT8153.1%43 W · 38 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-16.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 81 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.71
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.66
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.32
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.22
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.77
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32%+$13.34
Norway vs. England: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$33.3
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+98%+$50.49
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$71.64
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$654Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$171.67
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.22
Will Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+218.1%+$72.84
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$321.18
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+66.4%+$204.39
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.18
Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$124.02
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.25
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.5
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.93
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.16
Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+56.4%+$101.29
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$33.39
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$33.3
France vs. Sweden: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$12.65
Showing 25 of 81 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT4153.7%22 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$40.84
National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsenbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+140.8%+$29.81
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsenbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.36
Set Handicap: Pegula (-1.5) vs Kalinskaya (+1.5)backed Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15.3
Jannik Sinner vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+59.6%+$75.84
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$62.19
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.89
Wimbledon ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Ferybacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.85
Wimbledon WTA: Linda Noskova vs Elise Mertensbacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$138.45
Wimbledon WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Karolina Muchovabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.77
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Lehecka (+2.5)backed Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$52.02
Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$46.33
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Iva Jovicbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$98.57
Wimbledon WTA: Alexandra Eala vs Iga Swiatekbacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+291.9%+$78.95
Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$54.94
Wimbledon WTA: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iva Jovicbacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$62.21
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcanbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Wimbledon WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
Wimbledon WTA: Barbora Krejcikova vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.28
Set Handicap: Jovic (-1.5) vs Cristian (+1.5)backed Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.98
Set Handicap: Pegula (-1.5) vs Vidmanova (+1.5)backed Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$14.5
Bad Homburg Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.28
Grass Court Championships: Linda Noskova vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.93
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick70cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+39.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.76
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$67.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+59.3%+$33.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$104.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$92.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$100.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.72
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.