TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,288
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,564

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,288 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb4d2…ce99backed No50c4,797$2,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,376.772,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3272…e542backed No30c3,332$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.125536.4%20 W · 35 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes13c1,918$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,663.868,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked Yes10c1,094$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984.3518843.1%81 W · 107 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Yes51c986.53$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.9258642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc367…3066backed Yes9c940.56$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.563522.9%8 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29bb…3aa6backed Yes12c834.72$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.728235.4%29 W · 53 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Yes12c833.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.3360821.9%133 W · 475 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bf2…6f25backed Yes12c833.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.331145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+86.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No51c793.15$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.862,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2f4…cddbbacked Yes40c744.21$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.214238.1%16 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2911…98a7backed Yes12c707.67$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.752317.4%4 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed No26c698.99$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.0927034.4%93 W · 177 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ec7…6aadbacked Yes10c694.55$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.552010%2 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661c…695bbacked Yes77c649.61$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.6111665.5%76 W · 40 L-0.3wins0.00per pick66cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No67c624.11$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.682,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No72c579.48$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.182,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x76a9…22cdbacked Yes38c504.18$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.182231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac45…9fd3backed Yes10c500$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4502646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8af…0550backed Yes11c454.55$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.5535614.3%51 W · 305 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1436…0121backed Yes12c416.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.673339.4%13 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdf1…2960backed Yes12c416.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.6716531.5%52 W · 113 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa8d…22d7backed Yes55c363.09$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.096141%25 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ec9…f819backed Yes65c322.76$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.113339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e08…b249backed Yes16c315.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.214647.8%22 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+21.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x382e…4f6bbacked Yes53c313.27$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.119437.2%35 W · 59 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7f7…e578backed Yes57c310.32$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.545028%14 W · 36 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-30%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e4e…8413backed Yes54c296.8$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.532568%17 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3099…3896backed Yes69c288.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.987255.6%40 W · 32 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ec…a234backed No29c267.08$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.036636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde4b…b1b9backed Yes47c227.07$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.0710038%38 W · 62 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe4a…bd70backed Yes21c217.57$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.571540%6 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+67.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b52…8ceebacked Yes14c209.37$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.372941.4%12 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+80.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked No77c205$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.6424541.2%101 W · 144 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x400b…8458backed No63c185.63$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.78616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-47.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb202…04adbacked Yes11c181.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.828071.3%57 W · 23 L+7.7wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+21.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x82e7…c61cbacked Yes54c177.87$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8213167.9%89 W · 42 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9f1…87cdbacked Yes8c177.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.51838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+26.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed No56c176.59$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8953448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No41c169.39$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.072,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xa611…2986backed Yes36c167.68$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.68520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-44.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No28c167$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.761,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bf7…0fb8backed Yes69c159.71$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7114358.7%84 W · 59 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5353…51b9backed Yes67c148.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.167948.1%38 W · 41 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+28.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c60…0e14backed Yes77c140.42$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.713565.7%23 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e50…d237backed Yes73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.996549.2%32 W · 33 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd58…a581backed Yes74c135.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.271963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb75…cf4ebacked Yes54c134.48$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.861866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1181…9102backed Yes65c134.42$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.053151.6%16 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bcb…f3afbacked Yes55c129.45$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.458646.5%40 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x862c…9d40backed Yes9c128.96$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.962630.8%8 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+35.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa923…c6edbacked Yes79c125.67$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.393821.1%8 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f01…13dfbacked Yes8c125$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1151100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.92per pick8cpaid+1,150%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x936a…928bbacked Yes56c122.43$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.433743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf347…87b3backed Yes35c121.5$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.53946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf3c…31cfbacked Yes12c120.96$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.96156.7%1 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick23cpaid-46.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5838…0179backed Yes44c118.18$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.182462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+33.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4e4c…a70abacked Yes60c115.98$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.983534.3%12 W · 23 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick25cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3fc…3841backed Yes50c112.2$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.218750.8%95 W · 92 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ad5…027dbacked Yes11c107.18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.39475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick36cpaid+213%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcda0…a51abacked Yes27c104.3$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.944949%24 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xacc5…efd9backed Yes79c101.27$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.274351.2%22 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1228…a86ebacked Yes71c99.99$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292524%6 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick17cpaid-16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x414b…2374backed No36c99.97$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.991163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed Yes35c96.3$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.615131.8%48 W · 103 L-16.2wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-43.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1f17…c1dbbacked No57c95$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.152888%23 W · 265 L-1.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1824…8854backed Yes50c94.77$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.679452.1%49 W · 45 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Yes12c93$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8498439.2%386 W · 598 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7503…2116backed Yes54c92.78$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.78540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-23.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0a4…72adbacked Yes70c92.76$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.666578.5%51 W · 14 L+8.7wins+0.13per pick65cpaid+21.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1f84…98f1backed Yes42c89.77$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.77616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-60.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf877…77c2backed Yes12c85.39$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.38333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+184.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffe1…3eafbacked Yes44c81.81$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.13250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed No57c77$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7617760.5%107 W · 70 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ad…e49ebacked Yes52c76.68$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.684339.5%17 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes21c73$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.971,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9aa1…36f6backed No64c72.14$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.938153.1%43 W · 38 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-16.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf9af…7245backed Yes64c70.31$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.319151.6%47 W · 44 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x419a…f415backed Yes66c69.49$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.49683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick72cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…3046backed Yes38c65.77$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.771735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x320a…c1f6backed No40c60.74$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.21136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0386…e196backed No57c52.9$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1417229.1%50 W · 122 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e4d…33b0backed Yes42c47.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6411950.4%60 W · 59 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa47…782ebacked No30c46.32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb174…af3fbacked Yes34c43.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.88650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6deb…dd13backed Yes49c40.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.664060%24 W · 16 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf770…6156backed Yes62c40.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.322441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cce…4b52backed Yes62c40.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3221938.8%85 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8087…abb1backed No79c40$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.64465.9%29 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32f4…c885backed Yes73c36.99$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.995653.6%30 W · 26 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8ee5…96d8backed Yes54c36.73$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.735463%34 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4b3…5178backed Yes57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.091838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e52…6577backed Yes43c35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.053650%18 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf37f…6161backed Yes50c33.98$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.09250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked Yes45c33.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3323943.5%104 W · 135 L-11.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac81…99a4backed Yes62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.261154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes37c30.08$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.082,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8981…ce82backed Yes68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.69830.6%30 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5783…caebbacked Yes79c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.32817.9%5 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc992…efddbacked Yes69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.991776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.