TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$552,970
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$584,612

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $552,970 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 323 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over40c70,000$28,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,999.9642345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over41c50,000$20,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,316.162,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Under59c41,793$24,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,135.1317642%74 W · 102 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e88…0e1fbacked Over0c40,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over41c34,320$13,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,982.262,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Over41c24,390$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00014248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa18d…9b51backed Under59c21,388$12,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,755.252536%9 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Under59c19,929$11,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,170.8712255.7%68 W · 54 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xda4a…1c05backed Under59c19,870$11,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,146.746662.1%41 W · 25 L+8.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+28.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under66c19,418$12,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,675.294,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Over41c17,225$7,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,062.0756541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under59c13,534$7,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,548.7874752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1fa…9c2cbacked Under60c13,152$7,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,263.665554.5%30 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Under60c12,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,80013746.7%64 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over32c12,000$3,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,849.9922643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe92d…ebe2backed Under60c10,200$6,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0781241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d75…3d44backed Under60c10,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,00010851.9%56 W · 52 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under60c9,800$5,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9641,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under60c9,000$5,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,629.9923949.4%118 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under59c8,634$5,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,549.041,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over5c8,179$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.1351514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26db…ba92backed Under60c8,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2004055%22 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Under77c7,992$6,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,877.9724058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under68c7,721$5,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,449.9428229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over35c5,870$2,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,037.9421722.1%48 W · 169 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebfd…fd63backed Over34c5,587$1,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,922.491070%7 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick42cpaid+49.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over23c4,495$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.6764446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over30c4,043$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.23,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under60c4,000$2,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,62010555.2%58 W · 47 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under60c4,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,60029250.7%148 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under75c3,994$2,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.2237650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfed1…eedbbacked Under60c3,839$2,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,535.727448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under59c3,076$1,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.1670244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x712e…0485backed Under60c3,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2006749.3%33 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6796…2617backed Over31c2,952$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.653625%9 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-37.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over11c2,721$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.3624533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Over11c2,596$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.5536235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x15e9…26bebacked Over40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.998052.5%42 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over19c2,470$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.6925339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over42c2,381$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00015034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over41c2,307$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94615141.7%63 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf83c…e423backed Over43c2,282$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.310537.1%39 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over34c2,166$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.7722943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under72c2,164$1,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.3119649.5%97 W · 99 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Under60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80010441.3%43 W · 61 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8762…0d85backed Under59c2,000$1,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8164052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.9770648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Over41c1,951$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80046223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under64c1,885$1,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.94,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over24c1,643$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.932,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over21c1,526$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.2427032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over34c1,471$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50035244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over42c1,429$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60021641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over30c1,421$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43036539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37d9…5442backed Over41c1,354$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55531435.7%112 W · 202 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x285a…3326backed Under60c1,260$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.067852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5282…38c6backed Over41c1,220$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011828%33 W · 85 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over40c1,212$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.813,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb7b…eac6backed Over41c1,198$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49117459.8%104 W · 70 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Over15c1,172$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.7236234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9a8…3592backed Over26c1,146$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010043%43 W · 57 L+10.5wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+57.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under60c1,101$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.662,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3d4…59dbbacked Over37c1,100$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40218449.5%91 W · 93 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under59c1,087$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.363,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under66c1,080$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.018,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Over41c1,020$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41818742.8%80 W · 107 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under66c1,019$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.2129740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5037242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Over41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41035446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3642…74eabacked Over40c987.79$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9913727%37 W · 100 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under60c983.91$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.032,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Over41c963.99$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.4722029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under57c941.31$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.942,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over42c933.88$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.731,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7dd9…f8d4backed Under76c916.96$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.071850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…b4b5backed Under60c833.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.334835.4%17 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Under60c800$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32017356.6%98 W · 75 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x780d…d20cbacked Over19c796.27$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504440.9%18 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over39c786.57$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.112,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Over5c772.72$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012528%35 W · 90 L+0.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid+43.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under80c751.05$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.0630642.8%131 W · 175 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over41c731.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30037955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over42c710.33$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.3483153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Under59c643$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.6315246.7%71 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over34c641.26$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.5471939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Over42c611$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.517632.9%25 W · 51 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under79c610.81$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.9425049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under60c606.68$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.621,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed Over2c604$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0827227.6%75 W · 197 L-0.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under59c600$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24697742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ea…6ebbbacked Over41c576.93$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.545621.4%12 W · 44 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-42.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over40c549.45$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.7863745.4%289 W · 348 L-2.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under59c537.87$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.332,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9124…f819backed Over39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006947.8%33 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Over11c507.56$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1853629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under70c506.33$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.3244130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Over40c501.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021029%61 W · 149 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Over40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20045038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Under60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20021166.4%140 W · 71 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf006…20c5backed Over40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.