TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,112
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,846

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,112 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x332a…c9a2backed Under28c9,050$2,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,533.977237.5%27 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under30c8,122$2,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,457.014,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over77c5,723$4,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,297.8822749.3%112 W · 115 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over72c4,523$3,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.754,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over74c3,055$2,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.752,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over75c2,001$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.2837223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under28c1,777$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.5185851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under20c1,498$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.777845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over75c1,333$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.3335244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over65c1,332$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.8622943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over56c761.73$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.162,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over72c694.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.4437955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under32c566.75$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.353,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5690…7a58backed Under19c559.2$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.258731%27 W · 60 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+35.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under24c543$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.092,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under24c543$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.092,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over73c499.98$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.9928337.1%105 W · 178 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5789…6407backed Under43c498.93$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.541250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Over72c417.86$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1177364.4%47 W · 26 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+1.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x336a…1915backed Under28c417.86$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1178748.3%42 W · 45 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5db…203fbacked Over66c363.71$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.71742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+30.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over72c339.14$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.962,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76ca…e170backed Under48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015455.8%86 W · 68 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under26c299.97$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.991,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Over73c287.67$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.6710562.9%66 W · 39 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Over57c274.64$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.1633438.6%129 W · 205 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6e1…06bbbacked Over73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9724162.2%150 W · 91 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfecb…4c05backed Over74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.278845.5%40 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67a9…c417backed Over74c265.64$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.073943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under23c265$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.253,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under24c260$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.21,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7ea…ea62backed Over67c249.99$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.57660.5%46 W · 30 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac5a…1ac8backed Under19c225.88$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.928231.7%26 W · 56 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick22cpaid+42%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over54c220$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.22,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fad…20d8backed Under48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9611847.5%56 W · 62 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Over73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5431156.6%176 W · 135 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Under15c194.61$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1945145%203 W · 248 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over74c192.94$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.948,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1897…2a42backed Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8240435.6%144 W · 260 L+1.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb54…8c93backed Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.575545.5%25 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-24.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Under27c168.49$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.491,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2584…8018backed Over54c165.25$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2512235.2%43 W · 79 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under23c164.16$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.313,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc07…cd29backed Over68c153.95$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.755455.6%30 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2671…8de4backed Under29c144.83$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4220013.5%27 W · 173 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x468a…3b4bbacked Over73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.991675%12 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+27.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x57b5…34abbacked Over69c128.45$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.972339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under31c123.45$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.271,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Under21c116.51$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.476160.7%37 W · 24 L+9.5wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+33.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf96b…9c4cbacked Under21c116.51$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4720553.7%110 W · 95 L+21.6wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb2e7…5041backed Over72c105$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.426738.2%102 W · 165 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x779c…699ebacked Over59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416250%31 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc8f…d0e4backed Under19c95.65$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1710137.6%38 W · 63 L+14.5wins+0.14per pick23cpaid+45.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xc0b1…460fbacked Over63c95.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.241650%8 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6310…aecabacked Over47c94.24$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.951442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick29cpaid+35.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b0e…4a25backed Over55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.916457.8%37 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under15c90$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.22,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Over55c89.09$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0928240.8%115 W · 167 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over72c82.61$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.131,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75af…3f8dbacked Over73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.494755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9996…72a8backed Over73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4924256.6%137 W · 105 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under26c63.17$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.651,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over72c62.04$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.371,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x50dc…ef30backed Over55c61.82$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.826152.5%32 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc24a…922bbacked Over73c61.64$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over56c58$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.521,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5793…f9d5backed Over72c55.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.563452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x764a…9175backed Under28c52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.564427.3%12 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e43…2578backed Over73c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.539956.6%226 W · 173 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over74c43.24$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2425455.9%142 W · 112 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9db…e0d1backed Over70c42.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.963135.5%11 W · 20 L-5.2wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-29.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2fb3…cf9abacked Over76c39.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.51070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Over65c35.58$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4917760.5%107 W · 70 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa270…ecadbacked Over71c29.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.728251.4%145 W · 137 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Over59c29.01$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0466932.1%215 W · 454 L+16.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f68…c81bbacked Over72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.781361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+31.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4e…8e54backed Over74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0310461.5%64 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c2c…88c6backed Over73c20.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5518562.2%115 W · 70 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1705…28f5backed Over73c20.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.551855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc47b…2e1ebacked Over72c17.86$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf547…607bbacked Over65c15.56$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.386165.6%40 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.