TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$98,244
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$112,057

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,244 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over9c11,682$1,074 inLost-$1,073.983,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over6c4,410$277 inLost-$276.5251514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over10c3,000$300 inLost-$30022643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f0f…1366backed Over17c2,945$500 inLost-$50013043.8%57 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Over7c2,579$187 inLost-$187.2153629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over10c2,456$237 inLost-$236.542,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Over16c2,251$360 inLost-$360.1313736.5%50 W · 87 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over3c1,550$47 inLost-$46.954,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over13c1,538$200 inLost-$20035244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37d9…5442backed Over16c1,388$222 inLost-$22231435.7%112 W · 202 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67b4…55a0backed Over16c908.81$145 inLost-$145.41742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick28cpaid+42.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over2c788.41$14 inLost-$14.462,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over16c750$120 inLost-$12043826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over7c734.57$53 inLost-$53.392,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over6c676.38$43 inLost-$43.393,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over16c629.92$101 inLost-$100.792,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Over16c625$100 inLost-$10010748.6%52 W · 55 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f8d…cf69backed Over16c625$100 inLost-$10027742.2%117 W · 160 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3aa5…784abacked Over16c625$100 inLost-$1009917.2%17 W · 82 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid+29.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over17c499.99$85 inLost-$8545421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over15c415.15$63 inLost-$62.8471939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fc…2715backed Over16c406.25$65 inLost-$6512419.4%24 W · 100 L-10.7wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-40.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Over9c404$36 inLost-$35.5546223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb349…d14bbacked Over17c199.99$34 inLost-$3427637.7%104 W · 172 L+15.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa24a…5327backed Over16c187.5$30 inLost-$30520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-64.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa54a…f771backed Over14c183.67$26 inLost-$265228.8%15 W · 37 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over17c176.47$30 inLost-$3016535.2%58 W · 107 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae52…405cbacked Over17c164.59$28 inLost-$27.98616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-63.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over16c125$20 inLost-$201,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x783e…2eadbacked Over17c101.76$17 inLost-$17.31330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+32.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc5f…3c1abacked Over10c100$10 inLost-$1040%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over17c96.79$16 inLost-$16.498,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa10a…28b1backed Over17c88.24$15 inLost-$151241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-31.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f3…ceedbacked Over16c62.5$10 inLost-$106041.7%25 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6522…5ab3backed Over16c62.5$10 inLost-$1013945.3%63 W · 76 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.