TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$761,067
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$778,722

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $761,067 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 490 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c207,544$106,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100,883.84,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Under49c86,783$42,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,015.0817852.2%93 W · 85 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over52c67,415$35,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,125.382,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over51c50,000$25,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,538.932,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over52c50,000$26,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,999.8112254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over51c40,000$20,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,499.9923942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over43c39,039$16,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,718.264,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over52c36,673$19,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,018.522,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under51c29,698$15,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,635.953,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Over52c20,800$10,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,815.969839.8%39 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Under48c16,710$8,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,689.1910556.2%59 W · 46 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under53c15,195$8,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,165.044,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over43c15,015$6,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,525.462,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under47c14,744$6,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,841.5974447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed Under47c14,740$6,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,812.178940.4%36 W · 53 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked Under47c13,230$6,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,011.888631.4%27 W · 59 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over39c11,811$4,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,646.942,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Under47c9,106$4,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,826.2915441.6%64 W · 90 L+12.7wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Under47c8,730$4,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,626.847345.2%33 W · 40 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over37c7,888$2,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,951.578,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a19…1581backed Under67c7,711$5,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,539.262650%13 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under48c5,535$2,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,891.5737959.1%224 W · 155 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x158d…9c64backed Over47c5,417$2,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,567.9213454.5%73 W · 61 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under49c5,292$2,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,684.951,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over52c5,229$2,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,724.141,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under49c5,228$2,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,682.121,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50013811.6%16 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over52c4,796$2,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,471.291,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over52c4,292$2,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,237.53,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under48c4,284$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,213.282,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over50c4,169$2,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,082.931,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under48c4,167$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.6646550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over50c4,110$2,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,065.591,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Over53c3,774$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00025228.2%71 W · 181 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over50c3,755$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,889.765036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77ca…1cefbacked Over54c3,704$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002642.3%11 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-39.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Over53c3,300$1,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,748.9916946.2%78 W · 91 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over51c3,230$1,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,632.7473536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over51c3,059$1,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,573.142,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Under48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,559.9938026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over37c2,984$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.5222943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over17c2,913$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.442,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Over55c2,896$1,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,592.84663%29 W · 17 L+7.1wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over52c2,524$1,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,305.7787237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ac9…92d3backed Over52c2,480$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30022622.1%50 W · 176 L-1.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+48.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3cb…ac21backed Under54c2,195$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.613151.1%67 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under48c2,107$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092.941,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over46c2,100$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.791,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc151…2501backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007439.2%29 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Over53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06035446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.9970648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over53c1,969$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.5910051%51 W · 49 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e61…5ad4backed Under50c1,965$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.422347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over29c1,951$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.872,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under48c1,722$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.371,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x461e…5ce2backed Over53c1,509$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8008540%34 W · 51 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed Over51c1,500$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76511545.2%52 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Over52c1,461$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.9717625%44 W · 132 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b9e…d362backed Over53c1,447$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76711436.8%42 W · 72 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc29…422abacked Over52c1,369$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.025930.5%18 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Under47c1,363$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.5716633.7%56 W · 110 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over23c1,298$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.141,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d1e…9e97backed Over55c1,273$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70028251.4%145 W · 137 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over56c1,262$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.491,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Over54c1,259$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.7712740.9%52 W · 75 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb4d…bb58backed Over53c1,227$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.3134751%177 W · 170 L+19.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x45b9…f8d7backed Over48c1,124$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.871154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over47c1,100$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.9947127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under49c1,065$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.7988852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Over50c1,062$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53123540.4%95 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15bc…4a7ebacked Over53c1,045$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.8517042.4%72 W · 98 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa177…6e84backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51028337.1%105 W · 178 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed Over44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4403935.9%14 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a9e…0dfcbacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008341%34 W · 49 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72a3…785fbacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020049.5%99 W · 101 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53046546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dfe…3a5dbacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016943.2%73 W · 96 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under47c999.99$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5301,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Over39c999.99$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38519823.7%47 W · 151 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Over48c999.99$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.9945038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x03f9…a373backed Under48c999$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.051428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-52.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over52c995.69$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.7630220.2%61 W · 241 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x788c…8c15backed Over52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008036.3%29 W · 51 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7f0f…1366backed Over53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013043.8%57 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37d9…5442backed Over53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50031435.7%112 W · 202 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x512a…d537backed Over53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under48c928.88$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.761,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37be…d876backed Over52c913.23$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.8812048.3%58 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Over51c910$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46523736.3%86 W · 151 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbf7…ae63backed Under50c841.55$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.111040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-34.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under49c836.45$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.293,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39aa…7143backed Over53c800$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4243735.1%13 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-35.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x187d…062abacked Over51c784.31$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008027.5%22 W · 58 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Under49c777$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.2736123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x12dc…f3dfbacked Over53c754.72$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001450%7 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under47c737$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.9659752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e3…3792backed Over36c700$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2525549.1%27 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Under55c652$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.415246.7%71 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.