TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,923
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,158

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,923 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over41c1,000$410 inLost-$41028337.1%105 W · 178 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1b6…e0a0backed Under57c790.64$450 inWon+$341.117448.6%36 W · 38 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under60c499.99$300 inWon+$199.9970648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under58c448.89$260 inWon+$188.771,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under60c300.97$180 inWon+$120.9782537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Over36c257.27$94 inLost-$93.751859.8%310 W · 208 L+26.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under60c217.84$131 inWon+$87.142,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under47c207.46$98 inWon+$109.3958049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Under58c173.71$101 inWon+$72.9632044.1%141 W · 179 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd385…34fbbacked Under55c167.54$92 inWon+$75.392860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4886…6a97backed Over49c153.06$75 inLost-$755139.2%20 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f90…4c92backed Over40c150$60 inLost-$6020630.6%63 W · 143 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cef…2c8dbacked Over38c140.32$53 inLost-$53.2143460.4%262 W · 172 L+33.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over47c111.34$53 inLost-$52.758,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under61c83.02$51 inWon+$32.133,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3874…30f2backed Over52c58.08$30 inLost-$3010832.4%35 W · 73 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under62c50.87$32 inWon+$19.192,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under52c49.99$26 inWon+$2485851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38c5…dea8backed Over35c45$16 inLost-$15.752548%12 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd1f…fed5backed Over48c41.36$20 inLost-$2013526.7%36 W · 99 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under65c40$26 inWon+$14.22,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58a5…c5dcbacked Over54c38.07$21 inLost-$20.56560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x004c…ab0cbacked Over55c36.36$20 inLost-$2011170.3%78 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick69cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x49a1…1c02backed Over40c35.63$14 inLost-$14.22740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Under60c30.46$18 inWon+$12.1824947.4%118 W · 131 L+14.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over43c28.65$12 inLost-$12.323,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under64c26.73$17 inWon+$9.713,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under64c25$16 inWon+$9.186656.4%488 W · 378 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under64c25$16 inWon+$9.11,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under49c24.28$12 inWon+$12.42,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under59c20$12 inWon+$8.21,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b6f…fe71backed Under56c19.98$11 inWon+$8.867460.8%45 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5654…4495backed Over51c19.81$10 inLost-$10.161747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.