Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb453784e79163f941f20ee850c55948587d2d44adb4ded9865f4b808719ca2e

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $398,545
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $392,325

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $398,545 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8b7a…9e24backed Under	4c	50,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	132	34.1%45 W · 87 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	4c	36,363$1,544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,544.17	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Under	4c	31,698$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,299.6	427	10.3%44 W · 383 L	-12.6wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	5c	23,536$1,238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,237.52	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	4c	20,738$866 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$866.48	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under	4c	14,573$634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$634.47	306	26.5%81 W · 225 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under	4c	11,111$467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$466.66	318	51.9%165 W · 153 L	+16.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Under	4c	5,344$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.91	950	37.5%356 W · 594 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e78…3929backed Under	4c	5,175$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.26	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3cd6…18e4backed Under	5c	5,096$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.44	60	16.7%10 W · 50 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	+48.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under	4c	4,990$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.23	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under	1c	4,365$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.65	213	14.1%30 W · 183 L	+14.3wins	+0.07per pick	7cpaid	+135.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Under	4c	4,150$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.3	605	11.4%69 W · 536 L	-16.5wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-38%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ba2…1650backed Under	4c	4,047$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174	69	30.4%21 W · 48 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa425…a8bbbacked Under	4c	3,432$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.28	30	6.7%2 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x635d…7047backed Under	4c	3,355$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.7	175	6.9%12 W · 163 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+112.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe538…c28bbacked Under	4c	2,732$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.42	122	24.6%30 W · 92 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8320…e302backed Under	5c	2,700$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.9	301	37.2%112 W · 189 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2671…8de4backed Under	4c	2,653$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.01	200	13.5%27 W · 173 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Under	5c	2,273$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.55	265	34%90 W · 175 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Under	4c	2,264$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.56	565	41.1%232 W · 333 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Under	2c	2,237$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.54	719	39.1%281 W · 438 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-33%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b22…0c6fbacked Under	4c	2,071$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	71	8.5%6 W · 65 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-58.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8a…2562backed Under	5c	2,025$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	70	25.7%18 W · 52 L	+3.8wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef84…6872backed Under	2c	2,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	137	5.1%7 W · 130 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	2cpaid	+94.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	4c	1,716$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.64	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under	4c	1,700$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.35	589	42.6%251 W · 338 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Under	4c	1,700$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	197	23.4%46 W · 151 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	6c	1,615$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.9	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x778c…061abacked Under	5c	1,600$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	82	43.9%36 W · 46 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aa7…736ebacked Under	5c	1,578$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.02	227	46.3%105 W · 122 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under	6c	1,470$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.18	357	19.6%70 W · 287 L	-13.8wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under	4c	1,441$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.88	1,240	43.7%542 W · 698 L	+13.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Under	5c	1,336$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.46	658	35%230 W · 428 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Under	6c	1,274$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.82	372	23.4%87 W · 285 L	-25.7wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Under	6c	1,254$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.08	1,135	40.2%456 W · 679 L	+5.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under	8c	1,196$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	133	45.1%60 W · 73 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	4c	1,171$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.79	848	44.3%376 W · 472 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Under	4c	1,160$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.41	1,045	29.3%306 W · 739 L	-10.8wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe695…a59ebacked Under	5c	1,070$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	15	20%3 W · 12 L	+2.0wins	+0.13per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Under	4c	1,070$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.94	513	15.6%80 W · 433 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under	6c	1,046$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.38	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3636…4a00backed Under	4c	1,012$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.52	47	6.4%3 W · 44 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd66…48e4backed Under	4c	999.96$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	101	48.5%49 W · 52 L	+8.1wins	+0.08per pick	40cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Under	7c	968.21$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.82	469	39.4%185 W · 284 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under	4c	940$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.48	702	44.6%313 W · 389 L	+13.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Under	6c	935.7$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.52	1,111	24.3%270 W · 841 L	-32.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under	5c	800$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.44	294	50%147 W · 147 L	+7.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	5c	799.9$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.81	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under	6c	722.61$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.36	413	31%128 W · 285 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked Under	4c	716.99$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.4	142	19.7%28 W · 114 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ea8…0491backed Under	4c	699.98$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.4	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92eb…642cbacked Under	7c	678.59$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	93	22.6%21 W · 72 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b28…b87dbacked Under	9c	623.74$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.28	37	24.3%9 W · 28 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under	4c	605.53$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	977	42%410 W · 567 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x655a…8fadbacked Under	4c	570.2$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.56	107	15%16 W · 91 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2b4…3c5abacked Under	4c	541.89$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.3	108	15.7%17 W · 91 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Under	6c	500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under	4c	500$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.5	957	39.5%378 W · 579 L	-18.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d19…296ebacked Under	4c	465.12$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5e7…15dabacked Under	4c	461$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	53	50.9%27 W · 26 L	+2.7wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3096…58a3backed Under	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…e080backed Under	4c	382.86$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.08	39	25.6%10 W · 29 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-10%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Under	6c	350.88$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	139	48.2%67 W · 72 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under	7c	348.24$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.31	1,141	46.2%527 W · 614 L	+25.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under	4c	333.24$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.82	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2993…431fbacked Under	4c	329.53$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.17	134	38.1%51 W · 83 L	+4.6wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd4a…bd1abacked Under	4c	300$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	30	20%6 W · 24 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked Under	5c	288.81$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.36	312	32.4%101 W · 211 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b54…22cfbacked Under	7c	186.87$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.51	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	+44.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae81…087abacked Under	8c	121.97$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.31	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5this page
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5Over won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 5.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 6.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 7.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 8.5Under won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to AdvanceArgentina won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Cabo Verde won
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Cabo Verde won
Spread: Argentina (-3.5)Cabo Verde won
Spread: Argentina (-4.5)Cabo Verde won
Spread: Argentina (-5.5)Cabo Verde won
Spread: Cabo Verde (-1.5)Argentina won
Spread: Cabo Verde (-2.5)Argentina won
Spread: Cabo Verde (-3.5)Argentina won
Spread: Cabo Verde (-4.5)Argentina won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event