TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score in Second Half

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,771
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,788

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,771 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes25c1,185$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.584,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes16c885.34$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.638,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes44c773.32$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.981,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x152f…a549backed Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005712.3%7 W · 50 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15e9…939ebacked Yes20c598.19$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.122924.1%7 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick27cpaid+69.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes17c566.16$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2541231.6%130 W · 282 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No38c480.48$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.782,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked No30c478.94$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.0563745.4%289 W · 348 L-2.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x780d…d20cbacked Yes19c472.27$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894440.9%18 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Yes17c384.97$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0912740.9%52 W · 75 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes17c365.76$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.181,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked No33c360.82$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.9724947.4%118 W · 131 L+14.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes16c286.69$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.032,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No28c191.7$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.62,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xacb7…c93fbacked Yes63c156$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.455541.8%23 W · 32 L-7.4wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes57c150$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.551458.8%302 W · 212 L+25.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0f0…d4bfbacked Yes50c97.55$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495139.2%20 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes35c94.13$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.522,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x0fe2…cfbcbacked No38c92.45$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.92922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-50.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x113f…ae4dbacked No33c85.93$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7817448.9%85 W · 89 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes17c70$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.93,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68ef…89cabacked Yes74c67.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028143.8%123 W · 158 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed No41c59.25$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.214955%82 W · 67 L+13.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+21.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1e62…79f1backed Yes65c58.31$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.926449.2%130 W · 134 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes44c54.55$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.141,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked No76c53$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7565036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed No69c52.34$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3187237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes20c51$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.312,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No32c49.22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.471,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes64c49$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.581,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed Yes58c47.81$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7319257.8%111 W · 81 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed No80c45$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.286656.4%488 W · 378 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf8…5d40backed Yes61c40.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255356.6%30 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Yes60c38.16$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9917760.5%107 W · 70 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No80c36.04$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.213,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ed2…03a3backed Yes62c33.81$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No40c31.54$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.92,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No36c30.95$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.812,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked No72c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.482537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No80c27.58$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.523,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes63c26.79$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.881,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x635b…2bdbbacked Yes41c24.52$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.062454.2%13 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+61.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed No65c20.17$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9720860.6%126 W · 82 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bc7…23f9backed No56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.93756.8%21 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Yes64c16$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2458642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.