TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,093,862
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,309,913

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,093,862 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 280 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under19c155,268$29,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,672.614,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb225…3d54backed Under15c67,261$10,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,184.719525.3%24 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf438…9559backed Under17c59,241$9,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,978.5414449.3%71 W · 73 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under17c56,967$9,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,700.193,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under16c25,200$4,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,032.0215950.3%80 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under16c22,529$3,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,514.728229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under15c21,416$3,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,226.964,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27db…3824backed Under16c12,100$1,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,935.967353.4%39 W · 34 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under17c10,128$1,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,722.071,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28aa…28f5backed Under24c10,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4004531.1%14 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under17c9,790$1,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,644.21,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Under14c7,734$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.7616357.1%93 W · 70 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under17c7,265$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240.091,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e98…9046backed Over80c7,237$5,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,447.841136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under16c7,000$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,13030626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under7c6,373$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.8858942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under16c6,188$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.562,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe34a…f5f0backed Over78c6,083$4,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.739848%47 W · 51 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Over80c6,072$4,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.5237944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Under21c5,955$1,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,250.641338.5%5 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.27per pick66cpaid-45%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3cd6…18e4backed Under17c5,776$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.986016.7%10 W · 50 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+48.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Under19c5,453$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.9451032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under18c5,198$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.581,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under16c5,092$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.0836031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Under14c5,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70029633.4%99 W · 197 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Under17c5,000$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.9742710.3%44 W · 383 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Over79c4,259$3,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.5363544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under16c4,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6401,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under17c3,972$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.2470244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under19c3,946$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.483,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over75c3,935$2,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.8175335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over80c3,750$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75035244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under15c3,665$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.622,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under16c3,333$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.2831851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over80c3,210$2,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.1971939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under17c3,035$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.672,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under15c3,009$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.3511558.3%67 W · 48 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0aae…5efabacked Under29c2,900$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8416338.1%24 W · 39 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under16c2,796$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.941,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc11…4b4abacked Under2c2,500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609910.1%10 W · 89 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick3cpaid+194.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x53eb…90ebbacked Under11c2,398$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2594641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Under16c2,281$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.9116325.8%42 W · 121 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-36.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8320…e302backed Under17c2,250$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.530137.2%112 W · 189 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under10c2,222$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.0366846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x969a…59ddbacked Under17c2,151$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.689247.8%44 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Under18c2,150$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38760511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef84…6872backed Under2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401375.1%7 W · 130 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick2cpaid+94.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Under16c1,875$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30043635.8%156 W · 280 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under18c1,567$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.168141.1%280 W · 401 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Over72c1,500$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42033149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Under17c1,468$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.4822643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Under13c1,458$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.724947.4%118 W · 131 L+14.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf418…ab79backed Over75c1,430$1,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.52466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Under18c1,412$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.2792732.1%298 W · 629 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c5b…0584backed Under11c1,364$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-54.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under10c1,364$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.3641331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under17c1,360$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.682,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under15c1,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under17c1,300$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.0584844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6102…1913backed Under11c1,273$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.0711637.1%43 W · 73 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8d…c822backed Under17c1,005$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.8220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1036234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16046546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3642…74eabacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013727%37 W · 100 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5544…fe9ebacked Over79c999.98$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2103036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Over78c943$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.7369826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under24c939.37$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.3933740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under16c937.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15067447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under6c931.45$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8921314.1%30 W · 183 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+135.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4aa7…736ebacked Under11c918.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022746.3%105 W · 122 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Under18c900$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16219224.5%47 W · 145 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37ab…cdafbacked Under3c823.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7210014%14 W · 86 L+11.0wins+0.11per pick3cpaid+445.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5be2…1b70backed Over74c817.68$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.63060%18 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under19c800$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.629450%147 W · 147 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Under17c725.31$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.2716759.9%100 W · 67 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb875…ac87backed Under17c705.88$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203525.7%9 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cb5…7ce9backed Under25c700$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1755563.6%35 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under17c700$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.397742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under26c666.87$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.391,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc827…ff0fbacked Under5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011412.3%14 W · 100 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick3cpaid+348.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Under16c591$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5623036.1%83 W · 147 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9d…930fbacked Under17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018037.2%67 W · 113 L+0.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7997…5e4bbacked Under16c588$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.0822452.2%117 W · 107 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under18c571.07$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.735719.6%70 W · 287 L-13.8wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Under18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036038.1%137 W · 223 L-15.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0dee…bbbcbacked Over76c526.32$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.322751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4f…88f0backed Under15c524.53$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.686533.8%22 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94e7…5ea4backed Over76c515.97$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.833351.5%17 W · 16 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick64cpaid-26.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x27b9…90d0backed Over79c510$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.116336.2%59 W · 104 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6999…ae54backed Over76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12024540.8%100 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x778c…061abacked Under20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008243.9%36 W · 46 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ef…c822backed Over80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10016053.1%85 W · 75 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9588852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Under14c499.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708348.2%40 W · 43 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Under11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016925.4%43 W · 126 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under9c452.69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.22,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9315…afc1backed Over78c446.6$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.66272.6%45 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under13c444.89$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.841,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under12c439.72$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7744130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.