TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,065,394
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,082,617

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,065,394 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 654 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under70c119,226$83,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,816.954,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9790…628ebacked Over0c70,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-39.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Under65c66,078$42,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,288.0822348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over34c44,444$15,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,110.9642345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over24c38,670$9,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,389.883,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Over35c35,220$12,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,273.467642.1%32 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over27c28,001$7,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,642.951,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ed4…e181backed Over36c27,022$9,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,727.747416.2%12 W · 62 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick20cpaid+20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under68c24,557$16,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,886.7377152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under75c24,473$18,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,006.318,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over25c20,945$5,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,256.31,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under70c17,462$12,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,294.2866846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x258c…7c23backed Over24c17,026$4,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0052948.3%14 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over33c14,966$4,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,938.827823.1%18 W · 60 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9278…9a1bbacked Under67c12,867$8,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,266.7415453.9%83 W · 71 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over31c12,310$3,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,86039644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4587…7bc9backed Under65c12,308$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,307.693850%19 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over35c10,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ddc…e1aabacked Over0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011811.9%14 W · 104 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4582…619ebacked Over36c10,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6008735.6%31 W · 56 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-36.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Over34c9,808$3,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,334.824950.2%125 W · 124 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over22c9,022$2,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0061,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over26c8,365$2,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,211.331,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe214…c5cebacked Over35c8,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80022437.1%83 W · 141 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc289…ab37backed Under65c7,692$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,692.3116947.3%80 W · 89 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Over40c7,586$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00025336.8%93 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f4…7763backed Under65c7,336$4,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,567.6210749.5%53 W · 54 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x768b…bf0fbacked Over34c6,947$2,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,361.814459.1%26 W · 18 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+28.7%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Over7c6,366$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.6443737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Under64c6,000$3,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,159.9915128.5%43 W · 108 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over33c5,701$1,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,883.8631545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Over35c5,555$1,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,944.2414325.2%36 W · 107 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over8c5,553$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.2636250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ab6…05febacked Over36c5,500$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9806132.8%20 W · 41 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Under65c5,440$3,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,879.4751032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf32f…ef80backed Over37c5,405$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00011641.4%48 W · 68 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over14c5,160$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.8916150.9%82 W · 79 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over19c5,131$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.71,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Over35c5,000$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,75038026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef8d…b115backed Over31c4,229$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32610224.5%25 W · 77 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over27c4,181$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.252,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under68c4,177$2,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,323.473,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over30c3,771$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.2625339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over33c3,726$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.9477845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over36c3,573$1,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,286.1729138.8%113 W · 178 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ef2…3c33backed Under64c3,418$2,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.618247.8%87 W · 95 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under64c3,333$2,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.8331851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf182…6225backed Over36c3,267$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,175.985937.3%22 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under64c3,174$2,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.9425857.4%148 W · 110 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under71c3,056$2,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.858942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Over5c3,010$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.0716325.8%42 W · 121 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-36.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over35c3,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05047144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e47…34a2backed Over35c2,984$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.487342.5%31 W · 42 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over25c2,958$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.4315141.7%63 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x21df…af60backed Under72c2,853$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.932657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over26c2,785$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.51,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c73…6ee3backed Over36c2,778$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004250%21 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over9c2,755$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.7551514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Over32c2,700$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86437944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x167e…28d9backed Under78c2,656$2,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.291668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+52.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Over36c2,607$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.3627345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Under64c2,500$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90019850.5%100 W · 98 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Over35c2,500$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.9647643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under65c2,489$1,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.552,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over24c2,482$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.831,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Under65c2,433$1,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.5575335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Over35c2,400$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84044144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over21c2,375$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.571,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over25c2,346$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.561,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over22c2,245$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4944,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Over22c2,243$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.2479149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over35c2,214$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78333544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under64c2,100$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7561,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under64c2,048$1,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.281,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e73…ac97backed Under65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70012647.6%60 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x753d…2ce0backed Over25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004740.4%19 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Under68c2,000$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64010441.3%43 W · 61 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x491c…b765backed Over15c2,000$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30121955.3%121 W · 98 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Over35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.9848441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over33c1,992$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.481,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under64c1,969$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.112,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over35c1,898$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.4128526.3%75 W · 210 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over34c1,828$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63021641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Over22c1,803$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.6341551.8%215 W · 200 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4430…541fbacked Over14c1,800$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.869337.6%35 W · 58 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over3c1,756$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.752,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x8bb0…ca79backed Under65c1,753$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.665947.5%28 W · 31 L+6.1wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+5.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over32c1,666$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.1222943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Over22c1,663$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.5837223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under65c1,606$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.1730626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under64c1,603$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.9268141.1%280 W · 401 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3947…6c1ebacked Under65c1,538$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.462576%19 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3e63…0857backed Over4c1,502$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.99626.5%4 W · 58 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Under70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.573751.4%19 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45d3…9364backed Over36c1,408$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011934.5%41 W · 78 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over36c1,389$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x500a…6866backed Under64c1,388$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.59341.9%39 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9cc…d45fbacked Under77c1,365$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.642458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Over24c1,363$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.0445548.6%221 W · 234 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over37c1,338$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.0670244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.